GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: G. Kikacheishvili
Gagra
Match Timeline
Dinamo Tbilisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
A. Andreychuk · Assist: S. Zoidze
Gagra
32'
A. Peikrishvili · Assist: M. Tsintsadze
Gagra
🔄
46'
R. Ramos ↔ I. Siradze
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
L. Tsikolia ↔ A. Yoro
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
62'
A. Peikrishvili ↔ P. Borges
Gagra
🔄
67'
Z. Tchavtchanidze ↔ O. Chochia
Gagra
🔄
69'
B. Osei ↔ N. K. Donkor
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
76'
A. Andreychuk ↔ G. Darsania
Gagra
🔄
76'
M. Vatsadze ↔ K. Doltmurziev
Dinamo Tbilisi
84'
Leo Santos · Assist: N. K. Donkor
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
85'
N. Ninua ↔ J. Onomah
Dinamo Tbilisi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.9%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gagra Win 29.9%
Draw 4.2%
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 65.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gagra1.13
Dinamo Tbilisi1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gagra Gagra
WWDLW
22 GF / 31 GA
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WLDWL
30 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
12
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gagra Gagra 21 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 23 matches
Gagra Statistic Dinamo Tbilisi
5 Wins 7
7 Draws 9
9 Losses 7
22 Goals For 30
31 Goals Against 29
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
12 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Dinamo Tbilisi's more proactive style and Gagra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dinamo Tbilisi having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dinamo Tbilisi. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Gagra Analysis

Gagra sit 9 with 17 points after 16 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 15:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Andreychuk (3 goals), D. Mujiri (3 goals), I. Skrypnyk (3 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (5 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 25 points after 16 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a 23:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Vatsadze (5 goals), A. Yoro (4 goals), N. K. Donkor (3 goals), with creative support from N. Ninua (7 assists), G. Gvasalia (2 assists), R. Ramos (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gagra won 6 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Gagra's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Gagra wins 6, draws 3, Dinamo Tbilisi wins 6

Lineups

Gagra
Formation
Dinamo Tbilisi
O. Vorobey
O. Vorobey
Claudinei
Claudinei
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Augusto
Augusto
V. Arsic
V. Arsic
I. Skrypnyk
I. Skrypnyk
M. Tsintsadze
🎯
M. Tsintsadze
S. Zoidze
🎯
S. Zoidze
A. Peikrishvili
A. Peikrishvili
Wanderson
Wanderson
A. Andreychuk
A. Andreychuk
G. Loria
G. Loria
Leo Santos
Leo Santos
N. Kurdic
N. Kurdic
A. Kalandadze
A. Kalandadze
S. Kharebashvili
S. Kharebashvili
N. Ninua
N. Ninua
B. Osei
B. Osei
R. Ramos
R. Ramos
L. Tsikolia
L. Tsikolia
G. Kharaishvili
G. Kharaishvili
M. Vatsadze
M. Vatsadze
Gagra 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Vorobey
40
Claudinei
14
Z. Tchavtchanidze
↓ 67'
2
Augusto
4
V. Arsic
8
I. Skrypnyk
6
M. Tsintsadze
🎯 32'
11
S. Zoidze
🎯 9'
21
A. Peikrishvili
⚽ 32' ↓ 62'
25
Wanderson
23
A. Andreychuk
⚽ 9' ↓ 76'
Substitutes
35
A. Dmitrievich
3
O. Chochia
↑ 67'
7
P. Borges
↑ 62'
13
L. Gobejishvili
17
G. Pipia
19
I. Katsiashvili
20
G. Darsania
↑ 76'
22
G. Sadghobelashvili
29
R. Adeyeye
Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Loria
6
Leo Santos
⚽ 84'
27
N. Kurdic
3
A. Kalandadze
5
S. Kharebashvili
22
N. Ninua
↓ 85'
24
B. Osei
↓ 69'
13
R. Ramos
↓ 46'
32
L. Tsikolia
↓ 46'
10
G. Kharaishvili
11
M. Vatsadze
↓ 76'
Substitutes
37
M. Makatsaria
7
K. Doltmurziev
↑ 76'
17
N. K. Donkor
🎯 84' ↑ 69'
18
T. Kvaratskhelia
19
I. Siradze
↑ 46'
20
R. Monteiro
21
D. Kvartskhava
25
J. Onomah
↑ 85'
26
A. Yoro
↑ 46'
Last matches: Gagra
11.07.26
Fri
Gagra
FC Urartu
2
2
D
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
28.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
02.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
16.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
1
1
D
09.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
5
3
W
30.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
6
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
20.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
3
2
W
07.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
21.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
L
17.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0
0
D
11.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
H2H: Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi
14.06.26
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
21.04.26
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
W
21.11.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
4
W
13.09.25
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
W
16.05.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
4
L
08.12.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
W
01.10.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
01.06.24
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
0
L
16.04.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
21.10.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
1
W
13.08.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
6
L
06.05.23
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
0
0
D
08.03.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
03.12.22
H2H
Dinamo Tbilisi
Gagra
2
1
L
Last matches: Gagra
11.07.26
Fri
Gagra
FC Urartu
2
2
D
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
02.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Gagra
Gareji
1
0
W
H2H at home: Gagra
14.06.26
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
16.05.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
4
L
01.10.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
16.04.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
13.08.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
6
L
08.03.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
L
Last matches: Dinamo Tbilisi
09.07.26
UEF
Dinamo Tbilisi
US Mondorf-les-bains
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Meshakhte
6
1
W
20.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dila
0
0
D
11.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Saburtalo
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ero
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Veres Rivne
0
2
L
10.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Auda
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
7
L
23.01.26
Fri
Dinamo Tbilisi
Rustavi
1
2
L
H2H away: Dinamo Tbilisi
14.06.26
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
L
16.05.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
4
W
01.10.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
16.04.24
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
W
13.08.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
6
W
08.03.23
H2H
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
3
5
W

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9
Gagra Home
19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2