Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56%
|
3.00 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.70 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
12.00 |
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FS Jelgava
28 matches
FK Liepaja
33 matches
| FS Jelgava | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 14 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 14 | Losses | 14 |
| 29 | Goals For | 48 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.58 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 2 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. FK Liepaja arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FK Liepaja. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FS Jelgava expected to line up in 5-4-1 and FK Liepaja in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control.
So far, FS Jelgava have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 25 points from 22 matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 24:38 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
FK Liepaja sit 4 with 28 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 28:34, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 3 times, FK Liepaja won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:24 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Auda
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
Riga
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
FS Jelgava
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 |
FS Jelgava
Home
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|