LATVIA VIRSLIGA
09.08.2026 13:00
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Referee: A. Anufrijevs
FS Jelgava
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
G. Zaleiko
FS Jelgava
45'
J. Minins
Auda
🟨
46'
O. Rubenis
Auda
🔄
46'
T. Hrvoj ↔ O. Rubenis
Auda
🔄
46'
W. Fofana ↔ B. Pena
Auda
🔄
46'
K. Kone ↔ H. Lusweki
Auda
🟨
54'
R. Kragliks
Auda
🟨
58'
M. Fofana
Auda
🔄
65'
F. Hasek ↔ R. Becers
FS Jelgava
🔄
65'
T. Rataj ↔ G. Patika
FS Jelgava
🔄
74'
M. Fofana ↔ M. Fofana
Auda
🟨
75'
M. Fofana
Auda
🟨
85'
J. Gerold
Auda
🔄
85'
M. Pudil ↔ G. Kacanovs
FS Jelgava
🔄
85'
A. Petersons ↔ A. Dreimanis
FS Jelgava
🟨
90+1'
G. Kacanovs
FS Jelgava
🟨
90+4'
B. Pena
Auda
🟨
90+6'
E. Daskevics
Auda
🔄
90'
G. Zaleiko ↔ E. Smaukstelis
FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava vs Auda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FS Jelgava Win 28.7%
Draw 17.8%
Auda Win 53.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FS Jelgava1.04
Auda1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
WWDLW
30 GF / 51 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
48 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
13
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 30 matches
Auda Auda 30 matches
FS Jelgava Statistic Auda
7 Wins 17
7 Draws 6
16 Losses 7
30 Goals For 48
51 Goals Against 33
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
13 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 23
12 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Auda's more proactive style and FS Jelgava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Auda. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 43 points while FS Jelgava sit 7 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FS Jelgava expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Auda in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Auda having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. FS Jelgava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

FS Jelgava Analysis

FS Jelgava sit 7 with 25 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 12 defeats with a 25:43 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auda Analysis

Placed 3 with 43 points from 23 outings, Auda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 38:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 2 times, Auda won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:23 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: FS Jelgava 5-4-1 / Auda 4-3-3
H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 2, draws 4, Auda wins 9

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 23 4 2 70:21 49 73
W D W D W
2 29 20 7 2 84:30 54 67
D D L D W
3
Auda Away
29 17 6 6 47:29 18 57
D W D W W
4 30 12 6 12 41:43 -2 42
D D W L W
5 30 10 8 12 35:35 0 38
L D L D W
6 28 10 5 13 29:38 -9 35
W W D D L
7 30 8 8 14 32:48 -16 32
D L W W L
8 30 5 10 15 20:51 -31 25
D L W L L
9 30 5 8 17 43:60 -17 23
L W L L L
10 29 3 6 20 29:75 -46 15
D L L L L