LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
Referee: V. Spasjonnikovs
FS Jelgava
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
A. Kangars · Assist: L. Prior
FS Jelgava
🟨
25'
O. Rubenis
Auda
26'
R. Melkis · Assist: G. Zaleiko
FS Jelgava
34'
J. Vergara · Assist: E. Daskevics
Auda
🟨
45'
G. Kacanovs
FS Jelgava
49'
J. Vergara · Assist: T. Hrvoj
Auda
🟨
53'
A. Janovskis
FS Jelgava
🟨
57'
W. Fofana
Auda
🔄
61'
W. Fofana ↔ M. Diagne
Auda
🔄
61'
O. Rubenis ↔ S. Aranda
Auda
🔄
64'
A. Janovskis ↔ R. Becers
FS Jelgava
🔄
64'
G. Kacanovs ↔ A. Petersons
FS Jelgava
🔄
70'
R. Melkis ↔ G. Patika
FS Jelgava
🟨
73'
A. Kangars
FS Jelgava
78'
H. Ibrahim · Assist: Y. Traore
Auda
🔄
85'
G. Zaleiko ↔ A. Butovskis
FS Jelgava
🟨
90+3'
A. Butovskis
FS Jelgava
🔄
90'
J. Vergara ↔ O. Camara
Auda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.5%
-
Probability Distribution
FS Jelgava Win 15%
Draw 7%
Auda Win 77.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FS Jelgava0.89
Auda1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
WWDLW
9 GF / 22 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
13 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 12 matches
Auda Auda 11 matches
FS Jelgava Statistic Auda
2 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 3
9 Goals For 13
22 Goals Against 12
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Auda's more proactive style and FS Jelgava's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Auda. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 13 points while FS Jelgava sit 8 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FS Jelgava have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Auda having the stronger overall control.

FS Jelgava Analysis

FS Jelgava approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 5 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:13 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Hasek (2 goals), G. Kacanovs (1 goals), with creative support from A. Dvorak (1 assists), D. Holoubek (1 assists), J. Novikovs (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auda Analysis

Auda arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 13 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Vergara (4 goals), H. Ibrahim (2 goals), B. Diedhiou (1 goals), with creative support from J. Vergara (2 assists), T. Hrvoj (2 assists), E. Bongemba (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FS Jelgava won 2 times, Auda won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:27 from FS Jelgava's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: FS Jelgava wins 2, draws 3, Auda wins 9

Lineups

FS Jelgava
Formation
Auda
A. Dvorak
A. Dvorak
A. Janovskis
A. Janovskis
J. Novikovs
J. Novikovs
A. Kangars
A. Kangars
L. Prior
🎯
L. Prior
G. Kacanovs
G. Kacanovs
G. Zaleiko
🎯
G. Zaleiko
D. Holoubek
D. Holoubek
F. Hasek
F. Hasek
T. Rataj
T. Rataj
R. Melkis
R. Melkis
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
🎯
T. Hrvoj
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
D. Melniks
D. Melniks
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
Y. Traore
🎯
Y. Traore
E. Daskevics
🎯
E. Daskevics
H. Ibrahim
H. Ibrahim
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
W. Fofana
W. Fofana
J. Vergara
⚽ 2
J. Vergara
FS Jelgava 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Dvorak
7
A. Janovskis
↓ 64' 🟨 53'
13
J. Novikovs
4
A. Kangars
⚽ 15' 🟨 73'
25
L. Prior
🎯 15'
21
G. Kacanovs
↓ 64' 🟨 45'
29
G. Zaleiko
🎯 26' ↓ 85'
10
D. Holoubek
24
F. Hasek
17
T. Rataj
8
R. Melkis
⚽ 26' ↓ 70'
Substitutes
30
S. Belanik
12
M. Velika
9
R. Becers
↑ 64'
26
A. Butovskis
↑ 85' 🟨 90+3'
22
M. Pudil
19
A. Petersons
↑ 64'
20
G. Patika
↑ 70'
28
A. Deklavs
18
E. Smaukstelis
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
2
T. Hrvoj
🎯 49'
4
M. Ouedraogo
21
D. Melniks
71
O. Rubenis
↓ 61' 🟨 25'
20
Y. Traore
🎯 78'
17
E. Daskevics
🎯 34'
14
H. Ibrahim
⚽ 78'
8
E. Bongemba
10
W. Fofana
↓ 61' 🟨 57'
7
J. Vergara
⚽ 34' ⚽ 49' ↓ 90'
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
22
A. Ogunji
9
M. Diagne
↑ 61'
80
S. Aranda
↑ 61'
79
I. Kone
6
R. Kragliks
11
O. Camara
↑ 90'
18
A. Arroyo
26
H. Lusweki
Last matches: FS Jelgava
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
01.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Panevėžys
0
2
L
Last matches: Auda
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
10.02.26
Fri
Auda
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
16.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
2
2
D
H2H: FS Jelgava vs Auda
21.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
27.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
05.07.25
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
15.05.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
3
1
W
30.03.25
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
21.10.24
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
28.07.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
3
L
23.05.24
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
0
D
28.10.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
2
L
06.08.23
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
0
L
01.06.23
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
0
L
19.04.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
0
D
01.09.22
H2H
Auda
FS Jelgava
6
1
L
Last matches: FS Jelgava
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
08.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
H2H at home: FS Jelgava
21.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
27.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
15.05.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
3
1
W
28.07.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
3
L
13.04.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
0
D
28.10.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
2
L
19.04.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
0
D
Last matches: Auda
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
0
0
D
H2H away: Auda
21.04.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
W
27.09.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
15.05.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
3
1
L
28.07.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
3
W
13.04.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
0
D
28.10.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
2
W
19.04.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Auda
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 38:11 27 43
?
2 16 12 3 1 50:17 33 39
?
3
Auda Away
16 11 1 4 32:20 12 34
?
4 16 6 4 6 21:23 -2 22
?
5 16 6 2 8 18:23 -5 20
?
6 16 5 3 8 19:24 -5 18
?
7 16 3 6 7 12:30 -18 15
?
8 16 2 7 7 29:30 -1 13
?
9 16 2 7 7 10:26 -16 13
?
10 16 0 4 12 13:38 -25 4
?