Frosinone vs Mantova Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
49.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
60.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Frosinone
Mantova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Frosinone
39 matches
Mantova
38 matches
| Frosinone | Statistic | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 13 |
| 12 | Draws | 7 |
| 4 | Losses | 18 |
| 73 | Goals For | 45 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 5.77 | Shots On Goal | 4.68 |
| 16.85 | Total Shots | 13.89 |
| 6.03 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 56.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Frosinone's more proactive style and Mantova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Frosinone expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Mantova in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mantova having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Frosinone arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 78 points compared to Mantova in 10 on 46, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mantova.
Frosinone approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 78 points after 37 outings. The return of 22 wins, 12 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 71:34, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Ghedjemis (14 goals), A. Raimondo (10 goals), G. Calo (9 goals), with creative support from G. Calo (14 assists), Giorgi Kvernadze (5 assists), Ilario Monterisi (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Mantova are currently 10 in the standings with 46 points from 37 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 17 losses, while the 45:52 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Mancuso (8 goals), F. Ruocco (7 goals), T. Marras (7 goals), with creative support from Simone Trimboli (7 assists), Nicolò Radaelli (4 assists), Federico Artioli (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Frosinone won 3 times, Mantova won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:5 from Frosinone's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 |
Frosinone
Home
|
38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Mantova
Away
|
38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|