NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Fredrikstad Stadion
Referee: M. S. Kringstad
Fredrikstad
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
P. Christiansen · Assist: N. Fuglestad
Viking
59'
G. Stensness · Assist: Z. Tripic
Viking
🔄
63'
F. Holme ↔ F. Ghebreyohannes
Fredrikstad
🔄
63'
H. Skogvold ↔ S. Laghzaoui
Fredrikstad
65'
O. Ohlenschlaeger
Fredrikstad
🔄
70'
N. Fuglestad ↔ E. Austbo
Viking
🔄
70'
J. Bell ↔ T. Moi
Viking
🔄
75'
S. Sorlokk ↔ E. Granaas
Fredrikstad
🟨
78'
Kristoffer Askildsen
Viking
🔄
89'
Z. Tripic ↔ A. Baertelsen
Viking
🟨
90+5'
Tobias Moi
Viking
🔄
90'
L. Owusu ↔ K. Okpaleke
Fredrikstad
🔄
90'
H. Heggheim ↔ S. Bjorshol
Viking
🔄
90'
S. Kvia-Egeskog ↔ O. Visted
Viking

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Fredrikstad Win 44%
Draw 0%
Viking Win 56%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad1.49
Viking2.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WWDLW
23 GF / 18 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
35 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
2.69
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
8
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
9
4.2
Shots on Goal
6.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 12 matches
Viking Viking 13 matches
Fredrikstad Statistic Viking
7 Wins 10
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
23 Goals For 35
18 Goals Against 11
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.69
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
8 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 0
4.2 Shots On Goal 6.4
12.4 Total Shots 16.4
5.4 Corners 5.6
50% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Viking's more proactive style and Fredrikstad's more cautious structure. Viking seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Viking. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Viking in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 12 points while Fredrikstad sit 8 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Viking look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Fredrikstad Analysis

Fredrikstad are currently 8 in the standings with 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 3:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. R. Shein (2 goals), S. Hestnes (2 goals), D. Eid (1 goals), with creative support from J. Nunez (1 assists), L. Owusu (1 assists), O. Ohlenschlaeger (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with F. Holme unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 12 points after 5 outings. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 5:3, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Heggheim (3 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (3 goals), N. Fuglestad (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Tripic (5 assists), P. Christiansen (3 assists), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Austbo, M. Roseth, V. Berisha unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 1 times, Viking won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:14 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fredrikstad 5-4-1 / Viking 4-4-2
Missing players: Fredrikstad 1, Viking 5
H2H summary: Fredrikstad wins 1, draws 2, Viking wins 5
Stats
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Viking Viking
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 6
10 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
401 Total passes 552
315 Passes accurate 462
0.85 expected_goals 2.46
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fredrikstad
Formation
Viking
M. Borsheim
M. Borsheim
D. Eid
D. Eid
F. Holme
F. Holme
U. Fredriksen
U. Fredriksen
J. Norbye
J. Norbye
S. Sorlokk
S. Sorlokk
S. Leach
S. Leach
L. Owusu
L. Owusu
R. R. Shein
R. R. Shein
O. Ohlenschlaeger
O. Ohlenschlaeger
H. Skogvold
H. Skogvold
L. Belko
L. Belko
H. Heggheim
H. Heggheim
G. Stensness
G. Stensness
H. Falchener
H. Falchener
K. Haugen
K. Haugen
N. Fuglestad
🎯
N. Fuglestad
K. Askildsen
K. Askildsen
J. Bell
J. Bell
Z. Tripic
🎯
Z. Tripic
P. Christiansen
P. Christiansen
S. Kvia-Egeskog
S. Kvia-Egeskog
Fredrikstad 5-3-2
Starting XI
77
M. Borsheim
G
16
D. Eid
D
4
F. Holme
↓ 63'
D
12
U. Fredriksen
D
18
J. Norbye
D
13
S. Sorlokk
↓ 75'
D
6
S. Leach
M
24
L. Owusu
↓ 90'
M
21
R. R. Shein
M
20
O. Ohlenschlaeger
⚽ 65'
F
23
H. Skogvold
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
O. Ovretveit
G
19
F. Ghebreyohannes
↑ 63'
D
14
M. Nilsson
M
26
J. Nysveen
D
2
K. Okpaleke
↑ 90'
D
5
S. Rafn
D
3
A. Andresen
D
9
S. Laghzaoui
↑ 63'
M
15
E. Granaas
↑ 75'
M
Viking 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
L. Belko
G
5
H. Heggheim
↓ 90'
D
6
G. Stensness
⚽ 59'
D
25
H. Falchener
D
28
K. Haugen
D
23
N. Fuglestad
🎯 45' ↓ 70'
M
7
K. Askildsen
🟨 78'
M
8
J. Bell
↓ 70'
M
10
Z. Tripic
🎯 59' ↓ 89'
M
20
P. Christiansen
⚽ 45'
F
26
S. Kvia-Egeskog
↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
13
S. Escobar
G
18
S. Bjorshol
↑ 90'
D
21
A. Baertelsen
↑ 89'
D
2
H. J. Haugen
D
11
H. Mikaelsson
F
17
E. Austbo
↑ 70'
F
24
V. Auklend
D
29
T. Moi
↑ 70' 🟨 90+5'
M
15
O. Visted
↑ 90'
M
Last matches: Fredrikstad
27.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
0
4
L
17.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
11.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
3
L
28.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
0
0
D
20.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Viking
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
13.02.26
Fri
Viking
AIK Stockholm
4
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Viking
Start
4
0
W
H2H: Fredrikstad vs Viking
25.04.26
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
23.11.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
0
1
L
22.06.25
H2H
Viking
Fredrikstad
3
0
L
01.03.25
H2H
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
0
L
22.09.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
3
2
W
21.04.24
H2H
Viking
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
03.03.24
H2H
Viking
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
07.06.23
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
Last matches: Fredrikstad
11.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
0
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
0
0
D
20.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
04.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
jerv
3
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
07.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
FC Midtjylland
1
3
L
H2H at home: Fredrikstad
25.04.26
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
23.11.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
0
1
L
22.09.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
3
2
W
07.06.23
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
Last matches: Viking
26.07.26
Eli
Viking
Aalesund
1
1
D
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Viking
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Viking
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
13.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
1
D
31.07.25
UEF
Viking
Koper
5
3
W
H2H away: Viking
25.04.26
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
W
23.11.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
0
1
W
22.09.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
3
2
L
07.06.23
H2H
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 37:11 26 35
W W W W D
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 14 6 2 6 22:24 -2 20
W W L W L
8 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
9 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:26 -6 18
L L L D D
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Fredrikstad 1 missing
-
F. Holme
Questionable Injury
OUT
Viking 5 missing
-
E. Austbo
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Roseth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
V. Berisha
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
V. Vevatne
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
A. Ostbo
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT