NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Fredrikstad Stadion
Referee: Marius Grotta, Norway
Fredrikstad
Match Timeline
Start
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
J. Cornelius · Assist: H. Lorentzen
Start
🟨
50'
Steve Mvoué
Start
🔄
56'
S. Leach ↔ M. Nilsson
Fredrikstad
🔄
56'
S. Laghzaoui ↔ B. Faraas
Fredrikstad
🔄
59'
S. Mvoue ↔ L. Gausdal
Start
65'
D. Eid
Fredrikstad
🔄
70'
O. Jebali ↔ O. Toure
Start
🔄
70'
H. Lorentzen ↔ A. F. Gurendal
Start
🔄
72'
J. Cornelius ↔ J. Ampofo
Start
75'
O. Ohlenschlaeger · Assist: D. Eid
Fredrikstad
🟨
83'
Altin Ujkani
Start
🔄
85'
S. Sorlokk ↔ F. Ghebreyohannes
Fredrikstad
🔄
89'
H. Skogvold ↔ J. Norbye
Fredrikstad
🟨
90+5'
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fredrikstad
🟨
90+3'
Altin Ujkani
Start
🟥
90+3'
Altin Ujkani
Start

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds 1.81
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
1.81
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
2.11
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70%
1.38
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Fredrikstad Win 100%
Draw 0%
Start Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad1.83
Start1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WWDLW
29 GF / 27 GA
Start Start
WLDWL
23 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
2
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
3.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 17 matches
Start Start 19 matches
Fredrikstad Statistic Start
8 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 10
29 Goals For 23
27 Goals Against 38
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 2
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.55
11.6 Total Shots 11
4.5 Corners 3.45
47% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Start in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Start having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Fredrikstad arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 10 points compared to Start in 16 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Start. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Fredrikstad Analysis

Fredrikstad sit 11 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:18 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on R. R. Shein (2 goals), S. Hestnes (2 goals), D. Eid (1 goals), with creative support from R. R. Shein (1 assists), S. Hestnes (1 assists), D. Eid (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 10 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 10:26, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Cornelius (2 goals), O. Toure (2 goals), E. Reitan (1 goals), with creative support from Erlend Segberg (2 assists), T. Strannegard (2 assists), J. Cornelius (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 5 times, Start won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fredrikstad 3-5-2 / Start 5-3-2
Missing players: Fredrikstad 4, Start 5
H2H summary: Fredrikstad wins 5, draws 3, Start wins 1
Stats
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Start Start
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
2 Corner Kicks 1
15 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 0
13 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
589 Total passes 362
481 Passes accurate 260
1.45 expected_goals 0.65
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Fredrikstad
Formation
Start
M. Borsheim
M. Borsheim
F. Holme
F. Holme
U. Fredriksen
U. Fredriksen
S. Rafn
S. Rafn
D. Eid
🎯
D. Eid
S. Leach
S. Leach
R. R. Shein
R. R. Shein
S. Sorlokk
S. Sorlokk
O. Ohlenschlaeger
O. Ohlenschlaeger
H. Skogvold
H. Skogvold
S. Laghzaoui
S. Laghzaoui
J. Larsen
J. Larsen
E. Reitan
E. Reitan
O. Jebali
O. Jebali
J. Norheim
J. Norheim
A. Ujkani
A. Ujkani
T. Strannegard
T. Strannegard
S. Mvoue
S. Mvoue
E. Segberg
E. Segberg
M. Ugland
M. Ugland
H. Lorentzen
🎯
H. Lorentzen
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius
Fredrikstad 3-4-3
Starting XI
77
M. Borsheim
G
4
F. Holme
D
12
U. Fredriksen
D
5
S. Rafn
D
16
D. Eid
⚽ 65' 🎯 75'
M
6
S. Leach
↓ 56'
M
21
R. R. Shein
M
13
S. Sorlokk
↓ 85'
M
20
O. Ohlenschlaeger
⚽ 75'
F
23
H. Skogvold
↓ 89'
F
9
S. Laghzaoui
↓ 56'
F
Substitutes
1
O. Ovretveit
G
19
F. Ghebreyohannes
↑ 85' 🟨 90+5'
D
14
M. Nilsson
↑ 56'
M
26
J. Nysveen
D
3
A. Andresen
D
7
B. Faraas
↑ 56'
M
18
J. Norbye
↑ 89'
D
15
E. Granaas
M
35
E. Nordrum
D
Start 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Larsen
G
29
E. Reitan
D
5
O. Jebali
↓ 70'
D
6
J. Norheim
D
3
A. Ujkani
🟨 83' 🟨 90+3' 🟥 90+3'
D
16
T. Strannegard
D
10
S. Mvoue
↓ 59' 🟨 50'
M
23
E. Segberg
M
18
M. Ugland
M
20
H. Lorentzen
🎯 8' ↓ 70'
F
17
J. Cornelius
⚽ 8' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
24
S. Strand-Kolbjornsen
G
39
D. C. Birkenes
G
13
S. Griesbeck
M
14
M. Soomets
M
27
O. Toure
↑ 70'
D
7
A. F. Gurendal
↑ 70'
F
30
L. Gausdal
↑ 59'
M
2
F. Palerud
D
22
J. Ampofo
↑ 72'
F
Last matches: Fredrikstad
25.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Toronto FC
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
jerv
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
2
2
D
28.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
FC Midtjylland
0
2
L
Last matches: Start
25.05.26
Eli
Start
Valerenga
2
0
W
20.05.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
L
16.05.26
Eli
Start
Viking
3
6
L
03.05.26
Eli
Start
Tromso
1
1
D
30.04.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Start
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Start
Molde
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Start
Lillestrom
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Start
Tromso
0
1
L
21.03.26
Eli
Start
Aalesund
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Start
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Start
Sandefjord
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Start
Bryne
2
2
D
24.02.26
Fri
Start
Rosenborg
1
2
L
17.02.26
Fri
Start
Donn
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Start
Lyn
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Start
Viking
0
4
L
03.02.26
Fri
Start
Vindbjart
2
0
W
H2H: Fredrikstad vs Start
29.05.26
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
03.09.23
H2H
Start
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
11.06.23
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
3
1
W
31.07.22
H2H
Start
Fredrikstad
1
0
L
18.04.22
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
1
0
W
26.09.21
H2H
Start
Fredrikstad
2
6
W
18.08.21
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
2
D
17.09.17
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
02.04.17
H2H
Start
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
Last matches: Fredrikstad
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
25.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
04.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
jerv
3
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
07.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
FC Midtjylland
1
3
L
H2H at home: Fredrikstad
29.05.26
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
11.06.23
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
3
1
W
18.04.22
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
1
0
W
18.08.21
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
2
D
17.09.17
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
Last matches: Start
16.05.26
Eli
Start
Viking
3
6
L
30.04.26
Eli
Start
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Start
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
11.04.26
Eli
Start
Lillestrom
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eli
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Start
Tromso
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Start
KFUM Oslo
0
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
Start
Sandefjord
2
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Start
Bryne
2
2
D
24.02.26
Fri
Start
Rosenborg
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Start
Lyn
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Start
Viking
0
4
L
H2H away: Start
29.05.26
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
L
11.06.23
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
3
1
L
18.04.22
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
1
0
L
18.08.21
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
2
D
17.09.17
H2H
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.31
Draw 3.99
Home 1.81
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.74
Draw 2.44
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.25 1.56
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 2.75 1.98
Over 3.0 2.30
Over 3.25 2.61
Over 3.5 2.90
Over 4.5 5.45
Under 1.5 4.25
Under 2.25 2.51
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 2.75 1.91
Under 3.0 1.66
Under 3.25 1.53
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.90
Home 1.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.38
Home 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.62
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.24
Draw 3.90
Home 1.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.26
Home 2.27
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.63
Home 2.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.24
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.55
Over 2.5 1.74
Over 2.75 1.93
Over 3.0 2.15
Over 3.25 2.42
Over 3.5 2.68
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.55
Over 4.5 4.90
Over 4.75 6.15
Over 5.0 8.70
Over 5.5 9.30
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.70
Under 1.0 8.60
Under 1.25 5.41
Under 1.5 3.90
Under 1.75 3.54
Under 2.0 3.12
Under 2.25 2.48
Under 2.5 2.11
Under 2.75 1.89
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.45
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.75
Home 1.78
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.38
Home 2.28
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.80
Home 2.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.0 1.25
Over 2.25 1.43
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 3.75 3.00
Over 4.0 3.80
Over 4.25 4.10
Over 4.5 4.40
Under 1.5 4.25
Under 2.0 3.40
Under 2.25 2.55
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 2.75 1.93
Under 3.0 1.70
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.45
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.18
Under 4.5 1.16

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 0 1 29:10 19 27
W W W W W
2 13 7 4 2 18:14 4 25
D D L W D
3 11 7 2 2 28:11 17 23
D W W W L
4 11 6 1 4 17:11 6 19
L L W L W
5 11 6 1 4 18:13 5 19
W L W L W
6 10 5 2 3 17:16 1 17
D W L W D
7 11 4 2 5 13:16 -3 14
W W L W L
8 11 4 2 5 10:13 -3 14
L D L W W
9 11 4 2 5 13:17 -4 14
W L W L D
10 11 4 2 5 15:20 -5 14
W D W L L
11 12 4 1 7 24:20 4 13
L L L W W
12 11 3 3 5 12:17 -5 12
D W L L D
13 11 2 5 4 15:20 -5 11
D D W W L
14 11 3 2 6 11:18 -7 11
L L W L L
15 11 2 3 6 9:18 -9 9
D L L W L
16
Start Away
12 1 4 7 13:28 -15 7
L W L L D

Missing Players

Fredrikstad 4 missing
-
S. Kvile
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Owusu
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
L. Owusu
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Nunez
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
Start 5 missing
-
J. Meyer
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Torkildsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
K. Tonnesen
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
E. Schulze
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Nordal
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT