NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Fredrikstad Stadion
Referee: Mischa Kellerhals, Norway
Fredrikstad
Match Timeline
Sandefjord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
M. Melchior ↔ J. Vester
Sandefjord
🟨
26'
O. Ohlenschlaeger
Fredrikstad
39'
F. Holme · Assist: M. Nilsson
Fredrikstad
🔄
46'
S. Owusu ↔ I. Amundsen
Fredrikstad
🔄
64'
F. Ghebreyohannes ↔ S. Rafn
Fredrikstad
🔄
64'
B. Faraas ↔ G. Wesseh
Fredrikstad
🔄
70'
S. Mork ↔ D. Skaarud
Sandefjord
🔄
70'
B. Berntsen ↔ F. Apetorgbor
Sandefjord
🔄
70'
E. Patoulidis ↔ J. Dunsby
Sandefjord
🔄
77'
O. Ohlenschlaeger ↔ L. Owusu
Fredrikstad
🔄
88'
M. Nilsson ↔ J. Jezierski
Fredrikstad
🔄
89'
X. Lambrix ↔ H. Krogelien
Sandefjord

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.36
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.1%
1.36
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Fredrikstad Win 54.2%
Draw 19.8%
Sandefjord Win 25.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad1.38
Sandefjord1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WWDLW
33 GF / 39 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
34 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
16
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
14
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 24 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 24 matches
Fredrikstad Statistic Sandefjord
9 Wins 11
6 Draws 5
9 Losses 8
33 Goals For 34
39 Goals Against 33
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
16 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 4
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.38
10.93 Total Shots 13.92
4.14 Corners 5.77
48% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sandefjord. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sandefjord in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sandefjord arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Fredrikstad Analysis

Fredrikstad are currently 12 in the standings with 14 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 15:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel Eid (2 goals), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (2 goals), Rocco Robert Shein (1 goals), with creative support from Daniel Eid (1 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), Rocco Robert Shein (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 15 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 13:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), Evangelos Patoulidis (3 goals), Sebastian Holm Mathisen (2 goals), with creative support from Vetle Walle Egeli (2 assists), Ruben Alte (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 4 times, Sandefjord won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Fredrikstad 3-4-3 / Sandefjord 4-3-3
Missing players: Fredrikstad 4, Sandefjord 1
H2H summary: Fredrikstad wins 4, draws 3, Sandefjord wins 2
Stats
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
8
6 Corner Kicks 5
12 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 8
9 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
373 Total passes 617
302 Passes accurate 548
1.45 expected_goals 0.95
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fredrikstad
Formation
Sandefjord
Martin Borsheim
Martin Borsheim
Solomon Owusu
Solomon Owusu
Fredrik Holmé
Fredrik Holmé
Ulrik Fredriksen
Ulrik Fredriksen
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Daniel Eid
Daniel Eid
Max Nilsson
🎯
Max Nilsson
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
Benjamin Faraas
Benjamin Faraas
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
Salim Laghzaoui
Salim Laghzaoui
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Rasmus Holten
Rasmus Holten
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli
Sander Risan Mörk
Sander Risan Mörk
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis
Edvard Pettersen
Edvard Pettersen
Marcus Melchior
Marcus Melchior
Bendik Berntsen
Bendik Berntsen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Fredrikstad 4-3-3
Starting XI
77
Martin Borsheim
G
28
Solomon Owusu
↓ 46'
D
4
Fredrik Holmé
⚽ 39'
D
12
Ulrik Fredriksen
D
19
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
↓ 64'
D
16
Daniel Eid
M
14
Max Nilsson
🎯 39' ↓ 88'
M
20
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
↓ 77' 🟨 26'
M
7
Benjamin Faraas
↓ 64'
F
23
Henrik Langaas Skogvold
F
9
Salim Laghzaoui
F
Substitutes
38
Isak Helstad Amundsen
↑ 46'
D
5
Simen Rafn
↑ 64'
D
29
Gabriel Wesseh
↑ 64'
M
24
Leonard Owusu
↑ 77'
M
21
Jakub Jezierski
↑ 88'
M
1
Oystein Ovretveit
G
3
Aleksander Andresen
D
6
Samuel Leach Holm
M
10
Johannes Núñez
F
Sandefjord 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
Elias Hadaya
G
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
D
13
Rasmus Holten
D
44
Xander Lambrix
↓ 89'
D
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
D
6
Sander Risan Mörk
↓ 70'
M
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
↓ 70'
M
14
Edvard Pettersen
M
20
Marcus Melchior
↓ 10'
M
19
Bendik Berntsen
↓ 70'
M
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
F
Substitutes
37
Jakob Vester
↑ 10'
M
27
Jakob Maslo Dunsby
↑ 70'
F
32
Daniel Skaarud
↑ 70'
F
17
Foster Apetorgbor
↑ 70'
F
16
Hakon Krogelien
↑ 89'
D
1
Alf Grønneberg
G
2
Martin Hellan
D
31
Henrik Skretteberg
D
21
Jakob Swift
M
Last matches: Fredrikstad
27.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Rosenborg
0
4
L
17.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
L
11.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
3
L
28.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
0
0
D
20.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
L
02.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Brann
1
3
L
25.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Kristiansund BK
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
07.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Tromso
0
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
3
2
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
Last matches: Sandefjord
26.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
L
12.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
30.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Molde
1
2
L
25.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
16.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
3
L
10.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Aalesund
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
18.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Rosenborg
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
L
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Start
3
2
W
02.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Ranheim
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stabaek
2
1
W
20.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Aalborg
4
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Skeid
2
2
D
H2H: Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
25.05.26
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
26.10.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
0
D
21.04.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
3
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
2
2
D
01.12.24
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
0
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
0
W
08.03.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
2
0
W
27.09.16
H2H
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
2
1
L
30.04.16
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
2
L
Last matches: Fredrikstad
11.07.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Lillestrom
0
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
IF Elfsborg
0
0
D
20.06.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Start
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
25.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Viking
1
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eli
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
3
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
ODD Ballklubb
4
1
W
17.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
04.02.26
Fri
Fredrikstad
jerv
3
2
W
28.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
07.08.25
UEF
Fredrikstad
FC Midtjylland
1
3
L
H2H at home: Fredrikstad
21.04.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
3
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
0
W
08.03.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
2
0
W
30.04.16
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
2
L
Last matches: Sandefjord
18.07.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Viking
1
2
L
30.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Molde
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
1
3
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Tromso
1
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Brann
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eli
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Stromsgodset
2
2
D
15.03.26
Eli
Sandefjord
Valerenga
0
1
L
06.02.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Valerenga
2
5
L
23.01.26
Fri
Sandefjord
Lillestrom
2
1
W
H2H away: Sandefjord
21.04.25
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
3
1
L
28.04.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
0
L
08.03.24
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
2
0
L
30.04.16
H2H
Fredrikstad
Sandefjord
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 3.28
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.61
Draw 2.36
Home 2.84
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.25 1.55
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 1.95
Over 3.0 2.23
Over 3.25 2.52
Over 3.5 2.78
Over 4.5 5.17
Under 1.5 4.22
Under 2.25 2.47
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.66
Under 3.25 1.53
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.16
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.50
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.30
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.60
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.11
Draw 3.32
Home 2.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.06
Home 2.89
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.14
Draw 2.55
Home 2.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.25
Over 2.0 1.31
Over 2.25 1.56
Over 2.5 1.76
Over 2.75 1.86
Over 3.0 2.15
Over 3.25 2.39
Over 3.5 2.64
Over 3.75 3.14
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.60
Over 4.5 4.95
Over 4.75 6.25
Over 5.0 8.90
Over 5.5 9.70
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.10
Under 1.0 9.30
Under 1.25 5.31
Under 1.5 3.92
Under 1.75 3.46
Under 2.0 3.05
Under 2.25 2.46
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.81
Under 3.0 1.60
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.38
Under 3.75 1.27
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.45
Home 2.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.35
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.65
Home 2.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.46
Over 2.5 1.64
Over 2.75 1.80
Over 3.0 2.06
Over 3.25 2.32
Over 3.5 2.60
Over 3.75 3.05
Over 4.0 3.95
Over 4.5 4.60
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.0 3.25
Under 2.25 2.48
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.87
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.5 1.15

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 2 2 41:11 30 38
W W W W W
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 15 8 1 6 22:18 4 25
L L W W L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 15 6 3 6 23:26 -3 21
W L L L D
8 15 6 2 7 22:27 -5 20
L W W L W
9 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
10 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Fredrikstad 4 missing
-
S. Kvile
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
K. Okpaleke
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
S. Sorlokk
Questionable Foot Injury
OUT
-
S. Leach
Questionable Injury
OUT
Sandefjord 1 missing
-
F. Loftesnes-Bjune
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT