NORWAY ELITESERIEN
01.08.2026 14:00
Fredrikstad Stadion
Referee: Mischa Kellerhals, Norway
Fredrikstad
Match Timeline
Sandefjord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
M. Melchior ↔ J. Vester
Sandefjord
🟨
26'
Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
Fredrikstad
39'
F. Holme · Assist: M. Nilsson
Fredrikstad
🔄
46'
S. Owusu ↔ I. Amundsen
Fredrikstad
🔄
64'
F. Ghebreyohannes ↔ S. Rafn
Fredrikstad
🔄
64'
B. Faraas ↔ G. Wesseh
Fredrikstad
🔄
70'
E. Patoulidis ↔ J. Dunsby
Sandefjord
🔄
70'
S. Mork ↔ D. Skaarud
Sandefjord
🔄
70'
B. Berntsen ↔ F. Apetorgbor
Sandefjord
🔄
77'
O. Ohlenschlaeger ↔ L. Owusu
Fredrikstad
🔄
88'
M. Nilsson ↔ J. Jezierski
Fredrikstad
🔄
89'
X. Lambrix ↔ H. Krogelien
Sandefjord

Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fredrikstad Win 54.2%
Draw 19.8%
Sandefjord Win 25.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad1.38
Sandefjord1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WWDLW
33 GF / 39 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
34 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
16
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
14
3.57
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 24 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 24 matches
Fredrikstad Statistic Sandefjord
9 Wins 11
6 Draws 5
9 Losses 8
33 Goals For 34
39 Goals Against 33
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
16 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 4
3.57 Shots On Goal 4.21
11 Total Shots 13.57
4.14 Corners 5.71
48% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sandefjord. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Sandefjord in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sandefjord arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Fredrikstad Analysis

Fredrikstad are currently 12 in the standings with 14 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 15:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel Eid (2 goals), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (2 goals), Rocco Robert Shein (1 goals), with creative support from Daniel Eid (1 assists), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), Rocco Robert Shein (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 15 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 13:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), Evangelos Patoulidis (3 goals), Sebastian Holm Mathisen (2 goals), with creative support from Vetle Walle Egeli (2 assists), Ruben Alte (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 5 times, Sandefjord won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:8 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Fredrikstad 3-4-3 / Sandefjord 4-3-3
Missing players: Fredrikstad 4, Sandefjord 1
H2H summary: Fredrikstad wins 5, draws 3, Sandefjord wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen