NORWAY ELITESERIEN
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Fredrikstad Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fredrikstad Win 27.5%
Draw 3.5%
Bodo/Glimt Win 69%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad1.2
Bodo/Glimt2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WWDLW
40 GF / 40 GA
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WLDWL
75 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
2.88
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
17
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
21
3.89
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 28 matches
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 26 matches
Fredrikstad Statistic Bodo/Glimt
13 Wins 21
6 Draws 3
9 Losses 2
40 Goals For 75
40 Goals Against 22
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 2.88
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
17 BTTS Yes 11
22 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 15
6 Clean Sheets 13
6 Failed To Score 2
3.89 Shots On Goal 6.5
11.28 Total Shots 16.55
4 Corners 7.14
47.4% Ball Possession 63.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bodo/Glimt's more proactive style and Fredrikstad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Bodo/Glimt. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bodo/Glimt look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Bodo/Glimt carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 41 points while Fredrikstad sit 8 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Bodo/Glimt in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bodo/Glimt having the stronger overall control.

Fredrikstad Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Fredrikstad have collected 23 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 18:27 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (3 goals), Daniel Eid (2 goals), Fredrik Holmé (2 goals), with creative support from Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (1 assists), Daniel Eid (1 assists), Fredrik Holmé (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Bodo/Glimt approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 41 points after 17 outings. With 13 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 43:12, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Kasper Høgh (7 goals), Andreas Helmersen (6 goals), Håkon Evjen (5 goals), with creative support from Ole Didrik Blomberg (5 assists), Kasper Høgh (4 assists), Fredrik Sjøvold (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 0 times, Bodo/Glimt won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:16 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Fredrikstad 3-4-3 / Bodo/Glimt 4-3-3
H2H summary: Fredrikstad wins 0, draws 1, Bodo/Glimt wins 6

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen