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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
10.10.2026 18:00
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Referee: Robin Hensgens, Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
Match Timeline
Twente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
A. Descotte · Assist: M. Ihattaren
Fortuna Sittard
⚽
34'
R. Propper · Assist: W. Weghorst
Twente
🔄
55'
M. Pjaca ↔ K. Hlynsson
Twente
🔄
67'
D. Weidmann ↔ T. van den Belt
Twente
🟨
74'
Bart van Rooij
Twente
🔄
75'
L. Zeefuik ↔ K. Peterson
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
81'
D. Rots ↔ L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
Twente
🔄
84'
I. Pinto ↔ S. Wylin
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
84'
M. Ihattaren ↔ S. Simons
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
90+1'
S. Zand ↔ D. Sinkgraven
Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard vs Twente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.7%
1.12 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.38 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
2.07 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Sittard Win 36.4%
Draw 18.3%
Twente Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Sittard1.45
Twente2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
WWDLW
22 GF / 23 GA
Twente Twente
WLDWL
52 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
2.48
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
10
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
15
4.57
Shots on Goal
7.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 13 matches
Twente Twente 21 matches
Fortuna Sittard Statistic Twente
8 Wins 13
1 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
22 Goals For 52
23 Goals Against 23
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 2.48
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
10 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 12
2 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 2
4.57 Shots On Goal 7.77
10.14 Total Shots 21.92
2.14 Corners 7.46
35.7% Ball Possession 60.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Twente's more proactive style and Fortuna Sittard's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Twente look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortuna Sittard expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Twente in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Twente having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Twente. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Fortuna Sittard Analysis

Fortuna Sittard sit 6 with 13 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ihattaren (3 goals), L. Zeefuik (3 goals), P. Brittijn (2 goals), with creative support from M. Ihattaren (2 assists), É. Michut (2 assists), L. Zeefuik (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Twente Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 16 points from 7 games, Twente bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:7 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on W. Weghorst (4 goals), Y. Taha (2 goals), D. Weidmann (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Taha (2 assists), S. Ørjasæter (2 assists), W. Weghorst (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 3 times, Twente won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:28 from Fortuna Sittard's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.8%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Sittard 4-3-3 / Twente 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fortuna Sittard 5, Twente 3
H2H summary: Fortuna Sittard wins 3, draws 1, Twente wins 10

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 27:7 20 20
W W W W D
2 8 6 1 1 26:10 16 19
W L W W W
3 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
L W D W W
4 8 5 2 1 16:8 8 17
D W W W D
5 8 4 3 1 22:10 12 15
D D W W L
6 8 4 2 2 20:14 6 14
W W D D L
7 8 4 2 2 14:15 -1 14
D W L W W
8 8 2 5 1 19:17 2 11
D D D D L
9 8 3 2 3 16:14 2 11
L D L D W
10 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L W D L D
11 8 2 3 3 13:14 -1 9
D D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:19 -8 8
W D W D L
13 8 2 2 4 14:25 -11 8
W L W D L
14 8 1 3 4 13:20 -7 6
D L L D L
15 8 1 3 4 7:14 -7 6
D L D L D
16 8 1 1 6 6:21 -15 4
L L L D L
17 8 0 3 5 9:19 -10 3
D D L L D
18 8 0 2 6 7:23 -16 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie