Fortuna Sittard
Match Timeline
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
48.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Fortuna Sittard Win 37.3%
Draw 13.9%
Ajax Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortuna Sittard1.58
Ajax2.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortuna Sittard
WWDLW
18 GF / 17 GA
Ajax
WLDWL
46 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
2.42
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
8
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
14
5
Shots on Goal
8.7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortuna Sittard
10 matches
Ajax
19 matches
| Fortuna Sittard | Statistic | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 12 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 18 | Goals For | 46 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.42 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 8.7 |
| 9.2 | Total Shots | 22.5 |
| 1.8 | Corners | 7.7 |
| 32.4% | Ball Possession | 63.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 0 times, Ajax won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:49 from Fortuna Sittard's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.14 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Fortuna Sittard 5-4-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
Missing players: Fortuna Sittard 6, Ajax 3
H2H summary: Fortuna Sittard wins 0, draws 2, Ajax wins 12
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 20 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Away
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 14 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Fortuna Sittard
Home
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19:17 | 2 | 11 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 11 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 8 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 6 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | -15 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | -16 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie