BRAZIL › SERIE B
02.05.2026 23:30
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: A. Policarpo Bento
Fortaleza EC
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Lucas Gazal
Fortaleza EC
⚽
24'
Gege
Goias
🟨
26'
Paulo Baya
Fortaleza EC
🟨
30'
Nicolas
Goias
🔄
30'
Cadu ↔ Anselmo Ramon
Goias
🔄
46'
Paulo Baya ↔ Welliton
Fortaleza EC
🔄
46'
Kaua Rocha ↔ Vitinho
Fortaleza EC
⚽
54'
Vitinho · Assist: Mauricio Junior
Fortaleza EC
🟨
56'
Ryan Gustavo
Fortaleza EC
🟨
56'
Vitinho
Fortaleza EC
⚽
61'
Vitinho · Assist: Pierre
Fortaleza EC
🔄
64'
Rodrigo Soares ↔ Diego Caito
Goias
🔄
65'
Baldoria ↔ Brayann
Goias
🔄
70'
T. Pochettino ↔ Rodriguinho
Fortaleza EC
🔄
70'
Ryan ↔ Lucas Sasha
Fortaleza EC
🟨
72'
Diego Caito
Goias
🔄
76'
Pierre ↔ Rodrigo
Fortaleza EC
⚽
78'
J. B. Miritello · Assist: E. Britez
Fortaleza EC
🔄
80'
Jean Carlos ↔ Pedrinho
Goias
🔄
80'
Luquinhas ↔ E. Garcia
Goias
🟨
83'
Nicolas
Goias
🟥
83'
Nicolas
Goias
⚽
90'
J. B. Miritello · Assist: Mailton
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC vs Goias Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
58.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza EC Win 87%
Draw 0%
Goias Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza EC1.13
Goias1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WWDLW
6 GF / 7 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
6 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
3
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 6 matches
Goias Goias 6 matches
Fortaleza EC Statistic Goias
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
6 Goals For 6
7 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 1.67
11.33 Total Shots 7.83
4.33 Corners 3.33
38% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Goias. Fortaleza EC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 11 points compared to Goias in 16 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fortaleza EC expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Goias in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control. Goias arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 11 points after 6 matches. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 6:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. B. Miritello (1 goals), Luiz Fernando (1 goals), Maílton (1 goals), with creative support from Ruan Carvalho (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goias Analysis

Goias sit 16 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Anselmo Ramon (2 goals), Cadu (1 goals), E. Garcia (1 goals), with creative support from Anselmo Ramon (1 assists), Juninho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 7 times, Goias won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:9 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1 / Goias 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Fortaleza EC wins 7, draws 2, Goias wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 6 8 43:31 12 54
W W D W L
2 30 14 9 7 49:27 22 51
D L D W W
3 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11
Goias Away
29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 30 11 9 10 40:31 9 42
D W W L W
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 30 7 7 16 39:43 -4 28
L L W W L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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