BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: L. Casagrande
Fortaleza EC
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Luiz Fernando
Fortaleza EC
13'
Fellipe Mateus · Assist: Nicolas
Criciuma
29'
Ruan Carvalho
Fortaleza EC
🟨
32'
Lucas Emanoel
Fortaleza EC
🟨
48'
Ryan Gustavo
Fortaleza EC
50'
Bruno Alves · Assist: Romarinho
Criciuma
🟨
56'
Marcelo Hermes
Criciuma
🟨
60'
Ruan Rodrigues Carvalho
Criciuma
🔄
64'
Romarinho ↔ Waguininho
Criciuma
🔄
67'
Mauricio Junior ↔ Rodriguinho
Fortaleza EC
🔄
67'
Pierre ↔ Lucas Sasha
Fortaleza EC
🔄
71'
Nicolas ↔ R. Otero
Criciuma
🔄
71'
Fellipe Mateus ↔ Hiago Alves
Criciuma
🔄
77'
Lucas Emanoel ↔ Paulo Baya
Fortaleza EC
77'
Bruno Alves
Fortaleza EC
🔄
82'
Ruan Carvalho ↔ Leo Mana
Criciuma
🔄
82'
Bruno Alves ↔ Bidu
Criciuma
🔄
88'
Ryan ↔ Ronald
Fortaleza EC
🔄
88'
Mailton ↔ Welliton
Fortaleza EC
🟨
90+5'
Rodriguinho
Fortaleza EC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 85.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
66.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
85.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza EC Win 38.5%
Draw 30.8%
Criciuma Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza EC0.65
Criciuma0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
WWDLW
3 GF / 5 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
0
3
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 4 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 4 matches
Fortaleza EC Statistic Criciuma
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
3 Goals For 3
5 Goals Against 2
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
3 Shots On Goal 3
10.5 Total Shots 14
3.75 Corners 6.25
37% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Criciuma's more proactive style and Fortaleza EC's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Criciuma. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Fortaleza EC Analysis

Fortaleza EC are currently 8 in the standings with 7 points from 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 3:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. B. Miritello (1 goals), Maílton (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma sit 7 with 7 points after 4 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 3:2 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jhonata Robert (1 goals), Rómulo Otero (1 goals), Waguininho (1 goals), with creative support from Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza EC won 3 times, Criciuma won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Fortaleza EC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (69.2%)
Predicted formations: Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1 / Criciuma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza EC wins 3, draws 1, Criciuma wins 1
Stats
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
Criciuma Criciuma
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 3
18 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 3
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
334 Total passes 429
260 Passes accurate 348
0.59 expected_goals 0.93
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
Formation
Criciuma
Vinicius Silvestre
Vinicius Silvestre
E. Britez
E. Britez
Kaua Rocha
Kaua Rocha
Lucas Gazal
Lucas Gazal
Mailton
Mailton
Pierre
Pierre
Ryan
Ryan
Mauricio Junior
Mauricio Junior
T. Pochettino
T. Pochettino
Luiz Fernando
Luiz Fernando
Lucas Emanoel
Lucas Emanoel
Airton
Airton
Ruan Carvalho
Ruan Carvalho
Bruno Alves
⚽ 2
Bruno Alves
Luciano Castan
Luciano Castan
Marcinho
Marcinho
Gui Lobo
Gui Lobo
Thiaguinho
Thiaguinho
Marcelo Hermes
Marcelo Hermes
Romarinho
🎯
Romarinho
Fellipe Mateus
Fellipe Mateus
Nicolas
🎯
Nicolas
Fortaleza EC 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
Vinicius Silvestre
G
2
E. Britez
D
33
Kaua Rocha
D
3
Lucas Gazal
D
22
Mailton
↓ 88'
M
5
Pierre
↓ 67'
M
37
Ryan
↓ 88' 🟨 48'
M
13
Mauricio Junior
↓ 67'
M
7
T. Pochettino
F
32
Luiz Fernando
⚽ 8'
F
19
Lucas Emanoel
↓ 77' 🟨 32'
F
Substitutes
15
Magrao
G
12
Brenno
G
4
Luan Freitas
D
29
Rodrigo
M
8
Ronald
↑ 88'
M
75
Rodriguinho
↑ 67' 🟨 90+5'
M
38
Lucca Prior
M
88
Lucas Sasha
↑ 67'
M
20
Matheus Rossetto
M
31
Welliton
↑ 88'
F
77
Paulo Baya
↑ 77'
F
11
Vitinho
F
Criciuma 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
32
Airton
G
43
Ruan Carvalho
⚽ 29' ↓ 82' 🟨 60'
D
34
Bruno Alves
⚽ 50' ⚽ 77' ↓ 82'
D
4
Luciano Castan
D
6
Marcinho
M
8
Gui Lobo
M
50
Thiaguinho
M
22
Marcelo Hermes
🟨 56'
M
11
Romarinho
🎯 50' ↓ 64'
F
7
Fellipe Mateus
⚽ 13' ↓ 71'
F
9
Nicolas
🎯 13' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
70
Pedro Santos
G
91
R. Otero
↑ 71'
M
13
Waguininho
↑ 64'
F
41
Jean Irmer
M
2
Leo Mana
↑ 82'
D
31
Hiago Alves
↑ 71'
M
38
Sandry
M
21
Joao Carlos
F
20
Bidu
↑ 82'
F
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
22.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
CRB
1
1
D
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
09.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Avai
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Operario-PR
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
0
4
L
Last matches: Criciuma
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H: Fortaleza EC vs Criciuma
19.04.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
10.08.24
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
1
0
W
24.07.24
H2H
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
08.09.18
H2H
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
0
L
23.05.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
2
0
W
Last matches: Fortaleza EC
18.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
1
0
W
03.07.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
2
1
W
16.06.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Londrina
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Goias
4
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Juventude
2
1
W
31.03.26
Ser
Fortaleza EC
Cuiaba
0
0
D
H2H at home: Fortaleza EC
19.04.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
W
10.08.24
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
1
0
W
23.05.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
2
0
W
Last matches: Criciuma
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H away: Criciuma
19.04.26
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
3
2
L
10.08.24
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
1
0
L
23.05.18
H2H
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
2
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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