Login Register
12.10.2026 17:00
Tim Hortons Field
Forge
Live Timeline
York United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
Noah Jensen
Forge
⚽
9'
Nana Ampomah · Assist: M. Bourgeois
Forge
🔄
11'
Nana Ampomah ↔ Ben Paton
Forge
⚽
28'
Antoine Batisse · Assist: D. Nimick
Forge
VAR
30'
Antoine Batisse
Forge
🔄
45'
Oswaldo Leon ↔ Sebastian Gonzales
York United
🔄
45'
Juan Córdova ↔ Carlos Guzman
York United
🔄
45'
Jorge Ariel Almagro Albán ↔ Kevonte Tyrique Jaaziah Clarke
York United
⚽
46'
Marko Jevremović
Forge
🔄
67'
Lucas Cavallini ↔ Ismael Oketokoun Hassane
Forge
🔄
68'
Kembo·Kibato ↔ Shola Jimoh
York United
🔄
68'
Rezart Rama ↔ Levonte Johnson
Forge
🔄
68'
Antoine Batisse ↔ aghilas sadek
Forge

Forge vs York United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.8%
1.37 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.39 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.34 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.95 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 77.8%
Draw 4.6%
York United Win 17.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1.8
York United1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
42 GF / 24 GA
York United York United
WLDWL
41 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.58
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
2.15
13
BTTS Yes
21
12
Over 2.5
17
2.96
Shots on Goal
2.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 27 matches
York United York United 26 matches
Forge Statistic York United
15 Wins 7
7 Draws 9
5 Losses 10
42 Goals For 41
24 Goals Against 56
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 2.15
13 BTTS Yes 21
17 Over 1.5 23
12 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 15
12 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
2.96 Shots On Goal 2.72
8.96 Total Shots 7.08
3.59 Corners 2
27.9% Ball Possession 26.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and York United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Forge arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 48 points compared to York United in 7 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward York United. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Forge Analysis

Forge come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 48 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 38:20 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Bourgeois (2 goals), N. Jensen (1 goals), I. Oketokoun (1 goals), with creative support from N. Jensen (2 assists), I. Oketokoun (2 assists), H. Massunda (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

York United Analysis

York United are currently 7 in the standings with 27 points from 24 matches. The record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 39:54 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Yeates (3 goals), L. Accettola (3 goals), T. Skublak (2 goals), with creative support from J. Almagro (4 assists), O. Bassett (2 assists), S. Yeates (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 10 times, York United won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:13 from Forge's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Forge 4-3-3 / York United 4-3-3
H2H summary: Forge wins 10, draws 4, York United wins 1

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2
Forge Home
25 15 6 4 41:20 21 51
W D D D W
3 26 13 4 9 40:41 -1 43
W W W L L
4 26 9 7 10 37:35 2 34
D D D D L
5 26 9 5 12 40:47 -7 32
D W W L W
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 25 6 9 10 40:56 -16 27
L W L D L
8 26 2 8 16 30:57 -27 14
L L L W D