CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tim Hortons Field
Referee: S. Bowman
Forge
Match Timeline
Cavalry FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Daniel Nimick
Forge
🟨
15'
Amer Didic
Cavalry FC
🟨
34'
Rezart Rama
Forge
🟨
56'
Rezart Rama
Forge
🟥
56'
Rezart Rama
Forge
🔄
64'
H. Massunda ↔ M. Bourgeois
Forge
🔄
64'
T. Borges ↔ N. Jensen
Forge
🔄
69'
N. Edwards ↔ C. Elva
Cavalry FC
🔄
74'
I. Oketokoun ↔ M. Babouli
Forge
🔄
74'
M. Filion ↔ B. Wright
Forge
🔄
84'
A. Pearlman ↔ J. Herdman
Cavalry FC
🔄
85'
S. Camargo ↔ A. Musse
Cavalry FC
🔄
85'
H. Paton ↔ M. Baldisimo
Cavalry FC
🟨
90+3'
Eryk Kobza
Cavalry FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 50.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
73.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
50.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Forge Win 26.9%
Draw 26.9%
Cavalry FC Win 46.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forge1
Cavalry FC1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forge Forge
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WLDWL
5 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
2
2.5
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forge Forge 4 matches
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 2 matches
Forge Statistic Cavalry FC
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
4 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 2
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
2.5 Shots On Goal 3.5
7.25 Total Shots 8
3.25 Corners 1.5
22.8% Ball Possession 21%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cavalry FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Forge expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Cavalry FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cavalry FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Forge Analysis

Forge arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 6 points after 2 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 3:0 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Paton (1 goals), B. Wright (1 goals), M. Filion (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 6 points from 2 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 5:2 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Paton (2 goals), D. Klomp (1 goals), Goteh Ntignee (1 goals), with creative support from T. Warschewski (1 assists), J. Herdman (1 assists), Sergio Camargo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Forge won 6 times, Cavalry FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Forge's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.2%)
Predicted formations: Forge 3-4-1-2 / Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Forge wins 6, draws 4, Cavalry FC wins 5
Stats
Forge Forge
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 0
8 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
274 Total passes 493
214 Passes accurate 426
1.50 expected_goals 0.47
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Forge
Formation
Cavalry FC
D. Bertaud
D. Bertaud
R. Rama
R. Rama
D. Nimick
D. Nimick
A. Batisse
A. Batisse
M. Jevremovic
M. Jevremovic
A. Aromatario
A. Aromatario
B. Paton
B. Paton
H. Massunda
H. Massunda
T. Borges
T. Borges
M. Filion
M. Filion
I. Oketokoun
I. Oketokoun
N. Ingham
N. Ingham
A. Pearlman
A. Pearlman
D. Klomp
D. Klomp
A. Didic
A. Didic
Fewo
Fewo
H. Paton
H. Paton
E. Kobza
E. Kobza
N. Edwards
N. Edwards
S. Camargo
S. Camargo
G. Ntignee
G. Ntignee
T. Warschewski
T. Warschewski
Forge 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
D. Bertaud
G
24
R. Rama
🟨 34' 🟨 56' 🟥 56'
D
5
D. Nimick
🟨 9'
D
8
A. Batisse
D
3
M. Jevremovic
D
23
A. Aromatario
M
6
B. Paton
M
17
H. Massunda
↓ 64'
19
T. Borges
↓ 64'
M
12
M. Filion
↓ 74'
7
I. Oketokoun
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
36
D. Bontis
18
M. Babouli
↑ 74'
F
9
B. Wright
↑ 74'
F
87
M. Bourgeois
↑ 64'
M
32
Z. Bruno
D
22
N. Jensen
↑ 64'
M
20
K. Tavernier
F
Cavalry FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
29
N. Ingham
G
16
A. Pearlman
↓ 84'
D
4
D. Klomp
D
55
A. Didic
🟨 15'
D
5
Fewo
8
H. Paton
↓ 85'
M
24
E. Kobza
🟨 90+3'
M
17
N. Edwards
↓ 69'
M
10
S. Camargo
↓ 85'
M
20
G. Ntignee
M
9
T. Warschewski
F
Substitutes
21
J. Holliday
G
15
L. Laing
D
3
C. Ofori
7
A. Musse
↑ 85'
F
14
C. Elva
↑ 69'
F
6
M. Baldisimo
↑ 85'
M
11
J. Herdman
↑ 84'
F
Last matches: Forge
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
Last matches: Cavalry FC
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
H2H: Forge vs Cavalry FC
31.05.26
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
11.10.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Forge
1
1
D
30.08.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Forge
4
1
L
31.05.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
09.11.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Forge
2
1
L
27.10.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
07.09.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
W
21.07.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Forge
1
1
D
08.06.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Forge
1
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
W
28.10.23
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
W
14.10.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
Forge
1
2
W
Last matches: Forge
01.07.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H at home: Forge
31.05.26
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
31.05.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
27.10.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
07.09.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
W
28.10.23
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Cavalry FC
31.05.26
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
L
18.04.26
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
1
W
31.05.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
05.04.25
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
L
27.10.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
1
W
07.09.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
L
13.04.24
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Forge
Cavalry FC
2
1
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Forge Home
12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)