ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
The New Lawn
Forest Green
Match Timeline
Morecambe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
J. Buyabu · Assist: J. Clarke
Forest Green
23'
K. McAllister
Forest Green
🔄
54'
S. Etaluku ↔ N. Haughton
Forest Green
🔄
54'
J. Moore-Taylor ↔ G. Kircough
Forest Green
56'
G. Kircough · Assist: J. Clarke
Forest Green
🔄
60'
D. Mellor ↔ C. Doidge
Forest Green
🔄
65'
J. Buyabu ↔ N. Kengni
Forest Green
🔄
65'
K. McAllister ↔ R. Rees
Forest Green
🔄
65'
J. Nolan ↔ A. Fairclough
Morecambe
🔄
66'
Y. Songo'o ↔ J. Cain
Morecambe
🔄
66'
O. Wright ↔ D. Ogwuru
Morecambe
🔄
70'
P. Lewis ↔ K. Jameson
Morecambe
78'
R. Rees · Assist: T. Pemberton
Forest Green
🔄
82'
B. Tollitt ↔ M. Campbell
Morecambe
83'
R. Rees
Forest Green

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
89.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Forest Green Win 67.4%
Draw 0%
Morecambe Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Forest Green1.95
Morecambe1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Forest Green Forest Green
WWDLW
90 GF / 60 GA
Morecambe Morecambe
WLDWL
72 GF / 107 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
2.18
32
BTTS Yes
28
27
Over 2.5
33
5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Forest Green Forest Green 50 matches
Morecambe Morecambe 49 matches
Forest Green Statistic Morecambe
25 Wins 10
12 Draws 12
13 Losses 27
90 Goals For 72
60 Goals Against 107
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.18
32 BTTS Yes 28
43 Over 1.5 44
27 Over 2.5 33
17 Over 3.5 23
13 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 15
5 Shots On Goal 0
16 Total Shots 0
6 Corners 0
47% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Forest Green's more proactive style and Morecambe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Morecambe. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Morecambe having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Forest Green arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 78 points compared to Morecambe in 22 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Morecambe arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Forest Green Analysis

Forest Green sit 7 with 78 points after 45 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 12 draws, and 11 losses, while the 76:50 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. McAllister (15 goals), T. Knowles (10 goals), N. Haughton (7 goals), with creative support from K. McAllister (6 assists), T. Knowles (5 assists), N. Haughton (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 14 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Morecambe Analysis

Morecambe sit 22 with 38 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 25 defeats with a 66:95 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Nolan (18 goals), C. Popov (7 goals), G. Edwards (6 goals), with creative support from J. Nolan (7 assists), L. Payne (5 assists), J. Cain (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Forest Green won 6 times, Morecambe won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Forest Green's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Forest Green wins 6, draws 3, Morecambe wins 4

Lineups

Morecambe
Formation
Forest Green
M. Boney
M. Boney
R. Conte
R. Conte
T. Fogarty
T. Fogarty
L. Hogan
L. Hogan
T. Akindileni
T. Akindileni
G. Edwards
G. Edwards
P. Lewis
P. Lewis
J. Nolan
J. Nolan
Y. Songo'o
Y. Songo'o
B. Tollitt
B. Tollitt
O. Wright
O. Wright
F. Pagel
F. Pagel
T. Pemberton
🎯
T. Pemberton
L. Mendy
L. Mendy
J. Moore-Taylor
J. Moore-Taylor
J. Buyabu
J. Buyabu
T. Campbell
T. Campbell
J. Clarke
🎯
J. Clarke
S. Etaluku
S. Etaluku
K. McAllister
K. McAllister
T. Knowles
T. Knowles
D. Mellor
D. Mellor
Morecambe 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
41
M. Boney
3
R. Conte
28
T. Fogarty
16
L. Hogan
33
T. Akindileni
7
G. Edwards
17
P. Lewis
↓ 70'
36
J. Nolan
↓ 65'
24
Y. Songo'o
↓ 66'
18
B. Tollitt
↓ 82'
31
O. Wright
↓ 66'
Substitutes
25
A. Scales
10
J. Cain
↑ 66'
12
K. Jameson
↑ 70'
19
M. Campbell
↑ 82'
23
D. Ogwuru
↑ 66'
27
A. Fairclough
↑ 65'
42
C. Popov
Forest Green 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
F. Pagel
21
T. Pemberton
🎯 78'
6
L. Mendy
15
J. Moore-Taylor
↓ 54'
24
J. Buyabu
⚽ 13' ↓ 65'
18
T. Campbell
14
J. Clarke
🎯 13' 🎯 56'
28
S. Etaluku
↓ 54'
7
K. McAllister
⚽ 23' ↓ 65'
11
T. Knowles
44
D. Mellor
↓ 60'
Substitutes
42
H. Isted
3
N. Kengni
↑ 65'
8
N. Haughton
↑ 54'
9
C. Doidge
↑ 60'
25
G. Kircough
⚽ 56' ↑ 54'
26
C. Nwoko
45
R. Rees
⚽ 78' ⚽ 83' ↑ 65'
Last matches: Forest Green
29.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
0
1
L
18.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Hartlepool
1
2
L
11.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Braintree
3
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Truro City
1
1
D
03.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Brackley Town
4
0
W
28.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Eastleigh
4
2
W
25.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Tamworth
0
1
L
21.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Wealdstone
2
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Southend
0
2
L
07.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Aldershot Town
2
1
W
28.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Gateshead
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boston United
2
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
1
1
D
14.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Carlisle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Rochdale
1
2
L
07.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
York
1
2
L
03.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Woking
4
2
W
31.01.26
FA
Forest Green
Wealdstone
0
3
L
24.01.26
Nat
Forest Green
Scunthorpe
2
3
L
21.01.26
Nat
Forest Green
Altrincham
1
1
D
Last matches: Morecambe
18.04.26
Nat
Morecambe
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
11.04.26
Nat
Morecambe
Woking
1
5
L
06.04.26
Nat
Morecambe
Carlisle
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Morecambe
Rochdale
4
2
W
28.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Aldershot Town
0
2
L
25.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Hartlepool
2
3
L
21.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Yeovil Town
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Braintree
1
1
D
07.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Sutton Utd
5
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Wealdstone
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
York
0
1
L
25.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Gateshead
4
4
D
21.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Eastleigh
4
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Southend
1
5
L
10.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Tamworth
2
2
D
07.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Truro City
1
2
L
03.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Altrincham
1
1
D
24.01.26
Nat
Morecambe
Solihull Moors
0
2
L
21.01.26
Nat
Morecambe
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
17.01.26
Nat
Morecambe
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
H2H: Forest Green vs Morecambe
25.04.26
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
5
0
W
02.09.25
H2H
Morecambe
Forest Green
1
3
W
20.04.24
H2H
Morecambe
Forest Green
1
2
W
30.09.23
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
1
2
L
11.02.23
H2H
Morecambe
Forest Green
1
1
D
17.09.22
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
1
2
L
09.03.21
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
2
2
D
24.10.20
H2H
Morecambe
Forest Green
1
2
W
17.03.20
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
0
0
D
22.10.19
H2H
Morecambe
Forest Green
0
2
W
09.03.19
H2H
Morecambe
Forest Green
3
0
L
17.11.18
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
0
1
L
17.02.18
H2H
Morecambe
Forest Green
1
1
D
28.10.17
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
2
0
W
Last matches: Forest Green
11.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Braintree
3
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Brackley Town
4
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Wealdstone
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Aldershot Town
2
1
W
24.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boston United
2
3
L
14.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Carlisle
1
3
L
03.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Woking
4
2
W
31.01.26
FA
Forest Green
Wealdstone
0
3
L
21.01.26
Nat
Forest Green
Altrincham
1
1
D
03.01.26
Nat
Forest Green
FC Halifax Town
2
1
W
30.12.25
Nat
Forest Green
Truro City
1
1
D
13.12.25
FA
Forest Green
Weston-super-Mare
4
0
W
06.12.25
Nat
Forest Green
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
29.11.25
Nat
Forest Green
Southend
2
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
Forest Green
Gateshead
3
1
W
11.11.25
Nat
Forest Green
Tamworth
4
2
W
25.10.25
Nat
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
2
1
W
04.10.25
Nat
Forest Green
Rochdale
0
1
L
27.09.25
Nat
Forest Green
York
1
1
D
13.09.25
Nat
Forest Green
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
H2H at home: Forest Green
25.04.26
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
5
0
W
30.09.23
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
1
2
L
17.09.22
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
1
2
L
09.03.21
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
2
2
D
17.03.20
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
0
0
D
17.11.18
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
0
1
L
28.10.17
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
2
0
W
Last matches: Morecambe
11.04.26
Nat
Morecambe
Woking
1
5
L
03.04.26
Nat
Morecambe
Rochdale
4
2
W
21.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Yeovil Town
2
3
L
07.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Sutton Utd
5
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Morecambe
Wealdstone
3
2
W
25.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Gateshead
4
4
D
14.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Southend
1
5
L
03.02.26
Nat
Morecambe
Altrincham
1
1
D
21.01.26
Nat
Morecambe
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
13.01.26
FA
Morecambe
Kidderminster Harriers
2
6
L
30.12.25
Nat
Morecambe
Carlisle
0
1
L
21.12.25
Nat
Morecambe
Brackley Town
2
0
W
13.12.25
FA
Morecambe
Gateshead
3
0
W
29.11.25
Nat
Morecambe
Braintree
0
1
L
15.11.25
Nat
Morecambe
York
2
4
L
04.11.25
Nat
Morecambe
Hartlepool
1
1
D
25.10.25
Nat
Morecambe
Eastleigh
1
2
L
21.10.25
Nat
Morecambe
Boston United
4
0
W
14.10.25
FA
Morecambe
Chester
0
2
L
07.10.25
Nat
Morecambe
Scunthorpe
1
3
L
H2H away: Morecambe
25.04.26
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
5
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
1
2
W
17.09.22
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
1
2
W
09.03.21
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
2
2
D
17.03.20
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
0
0
D
17.11.18
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
0
1
W
28.10.17
H2H
Forest Green
Morecambe
2
0
L

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation