BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio do Maracanã
Referee: D. Lacerda
Fluminense
Match Timeline
RB Bragantino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Eduardo Sasha · Assist: J. Herrera
RB Bragantino
🔄
33'
J. Millan ↔ J. Freytes
Fluminense
🔄
46'
Jemmes ↔ Ignacio
Fluminense
🔄
56'
J. Savarino ↔ John Kennedy
Fluminense
🔄
56'
K. Serna ↔ A. Canobbio
Fluminense
🟨
58'
Eduardo Sasha
RB Bragantino
🟨
64'
Alix Vinicius
RB Bragantino
🟥
64'
Agustin Sant Anna
RB Bragantino
🔄
67'
Eduardo Sasha ↔ A. Hurtado
RB Bragantino
🔄
68'
J. Herrera ↔ H. Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🔄
79'
Hercules ↔ G. Cano
Fluminense
🔄
85'
Fernando Santos ↔ Pedro Henrique
RB Bragantino
🔄
85'
Eric Ramires ↔ Matheus Fernandes
RB Bragantino
🟨
90+5'
Juan Pablo Freytes
Fluminense
🟨
90+5'
Ignácio
Fluminense
🟥
90+4'
John Kennedy
Fluminense
🟨
90+5'
Henry Mosquera
RB Bragantino
🟨
90'
Tiago Volpi
RB Bragantino
🟥
90+4'
Fabinho
RB Bragantino
🔄
90+2'
Rodriguinho ↔ Fabinho
RB Bragantino
90'
Ignacio · Assist: A. Canobbio
Fluminense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fluminense Win 60.2%
Draw 7.4%
RB Bragantino Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense1.41
RB Bragantino1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fluminense Fluminense
WWDLW
43 GF / 31 GA
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
WLDWL
27 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
18
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
9
5.54
Shots on Goal
5.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fluminense Fluminense 26 matches
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 19 matches
Fluminense Statistic RB Bragantino
13 Wins 10
6 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
43 Goals For 27
31 Goals Against 20
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
18 BTTS Yes 9
22 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 4
5.54 Shots On Goal 5.28
14.67 Total Shots 16.33
4.92 Corners 5.56
60.6% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. RB Bragantino seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors RB Bragantino.

Fluminense Analysis

Placed 3 with 31 points from 18 outings, Fluminense continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 28:23 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by John Kennedy (9 goals), A. Canobbio (4 goals), Hércules (3 goals), with creative support from Luciano Acosta (4 assists), J. Savarino (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Matheus Reis unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

RB Bragantino Analysis

RB Bragantino arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 29 points after 18 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 25:19 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by I. Pitta (5 goals), Lucas Barbosa (4 goals), Juninho Capixaba (3 goals), with creative support from Henry Mosquera (3 assists), I. Pitta (2 assists), Lucas Barbosa (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Fabricio, Eduardo Santos, R. Tavares unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 7 times, RB Bragantino won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:18 from Fluminense's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Fluminense 4-2-3-1 / RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Fluminense 3, RB Bragantino 8
H2H summary: Fluminense wins 7, draws 4, RB Bragantino wins 4
Stats
Fluminense Fluminense
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
13
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
2
11 Corner Kicks 4
6 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 2
67% Ball Possession 33%
25 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 2
13 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 2
14 Shots insidebox 4
11 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
578 Total passes 294
512 Passes accurate 223
1.56 expected_goals 0.89
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

Fluminense
Formation
RB Bragantino
Fabio
Fabio
Guga
Guga
Jemmes
Jemmes
J. Millan
J. Millan
Rene
Rene
Hercules
Hercules
Martinelli
Martinelli
J. Savarino
J. Savarino
L. Acosta
L. Acosta
K. Serna
K. Serna
Hulk
Hulk
Tiago Volpi
Tiago Volpi
A. Sant'Anna
A. Sant'Anna
Alix Vinicius
Alix Vinicius
Gustavo Marques
Gustavo Marques
Caue Nascimento
Caue Nascimento
Eric Ramires
Eric Ramires
J. Herrera
🎯
J. Herrera
Lucas Barbosa
Lucas Barbosa
Rodriguinho
Rodriguinho
Fernando Santos
Fernando Santos
Eduardo Sasha
Eduardo Sasha
Fluminense 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Fabio
G
23
Guga
D
44
Jemmes
↓ 46'
D
29
J. Millan
↓ 33'
D
6
Rene
D
35
Hercules
↓ 79'
M
8
Martinelli
M
11
J. Savarino
↓ 56'
M
32
L. Acosta
M
90
K. Serna
↓ 56'
M
7
Hulk
F
Substitutes
27
Marcelo Pitaluga
G
16
Nonato
M
4
Ignacio
⚽ 90' ↑ 46' 🟨 90+5'
D
9
John Kennedy
↑ 56' 🟥 90+4'
F
46
Julio Fidelis
D
94
Otavio
M
14
G. Cano
↑ 79'
F
30
Y. Soteldo
F
13
Guilherme Arana
D
17
A. Canobbio
🎯 90' ↑ 56'
F
22
J. Freytes
↑ 33' 🟨 90+5'
D
19
R. Castillo
F
RB Bragantino 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
18
Tiago Volpi
🟨 90'
G
23
A. Sant'Anna
🟥 64'
D
4
Alix Vinicius
🟨 64'
D
16
Gustavo Marques
D
51
Caue Nascimento
D
7
Eric Ramires
↓ 85'
M
32
J. Herrera
🎯 27' ↓ 68'
M
21
Lucas Barbosa
M
20
Rodriguinho
↓ 90+2'
M
11
Fernando Santos
↓ 85'
M
8
Eduardo Sasha
⚽ 27' ↓ 67' 🟨 58'
F
Substitutes
1
Cleiton
G
5
Fabinho
↑ 90+2' 🟥 90+4'
M
15
I. Sosa
M
22
Gustavo Neves
M
30
H. Mosquera
↑ 68' 🟨 90+5'
F
17
Vinicinho
F
14
Pedro Henrique
↑ 85'
35
Matheus Fernandes
↑ 85'
M
3
Eduardo Santos
D
2
G. Rodriguez
D
34
A. Hurtado
↑ 67'
D
57
Marcelinho
M
Last matches: Fluminense
30.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
Gremio
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
Last matches: RB Bragantino
26.07.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Internacional
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vitoria
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Palmeiras
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Remo
4
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Flamengo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
1
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
15.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
H2H: Fluminense vs RB Bragantino
17.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
4
2
L
06.04.25
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
28.07.24
H2H
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
0
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
22.10.23
H2H
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
1
0
L
04.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
13.11.22
H2H
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
0
1
W
24.07.22
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
26.09.21
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
13.06.21
H2H
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
2
2
D
10.06.21
H2H
Bragantino
Fluminense
2
1
L
03.06.21
H2H
Fluminense
Bragantino
2
0
W
30.11.20
H2H
Fluminense
Bragantino
0
0
D
19.08.20
H2H
Bragantino
Fluminense
2
1
L
Last matches: Fluminense
30.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
0
0
D
12.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
3
2
W
12.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Botafogo
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Fluminense
Gremio
2
1
W
H2H at home: Fluminense
17.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
04.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
24.07.22
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
26.09.21
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
03.06.21
H2H
Fluminense
Bragantino
2
0
W
30.11.20
H2H
Fluminense
Bragantino
0
0
D
Last matches: RB Bragantino
24.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama
3
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Santos
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Bahia
0
2
L
13.03.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Gremio
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Corinthians
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
RB Bragantino
Coritiba
1
0
W
H2H away: RB Bragantino
17.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
L
14.04.24
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
2
D
04.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
L
24.07.22
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
L
26.09.21
H2H
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
2
1
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 5 2 38:16 22 47
W L W W W
2 20 11 6 3 37:18 19 39
D D W W L
3 21 11 4 6 28:19 9 37
D W W W W
4 21 9 7 5 30:25 5 34
D D D D L
5 21 8 8 5 29:25 4 32
D D D W W
6 20 9 4 7 26:20 6 31
D D W W W
7 21 8 6 7 27:30 -3 30
W L W D W
8 20 8 5 7 34:32 2 29
W D W L D
9 21 7 8 6 22:20 2 29
D D W W W
10 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
W D W L W
11 21 7 6 8 25:28 -3 27
L D L L W
12 20 7 5 8 25:23 2 26
D L L D L
13 21 7 5 9 22:31 -9 26
L L D W L
14 20 6 5 9 23:27 -4 23
W D W L W
15 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
D L W L L
16 21 5 7 9 23:27 -4 22
D L L L L
17 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
D L L W D
18 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
D L L L L
19 21 5 6 10 24:34 -10 21
L W L W L
20 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10
?
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation

Missing Players

Fluminense 3 missing
-
Vitor Eudes
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Samuel Xavier
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Matheus Reis
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
RB Bragantino 8 missing
-
Fabricio
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
Eduardo Santos
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
Juninho Capixaba
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Vanderlan
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Davi Gomes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Fabinho
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
Gabriel
Missing Fixture Rest
OUT
-
G. Rodriguez
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT