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--.--.---- --:--
Fluminense
FT
2 - 0
Bahia
Fluminense
Match Timeline
Bahia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Erick
Bahia
🟨
45+3'
J. Millan
Fluminense
🟨
45+5'
Rodrigo
Bahia
🟨
45+5'
Willian Jose
Bahia
🔄
46'
Guga ↔ Samuel Xavier
Fluminense
🔄
46'
Jemmes ↔ Ignacio
Fluminense
🔄
46'
John Kennedy ↔ Hulk
Fluminense
🔄
46'
K. Serna ↔ R. Castillo
Fluminense
🔄
46'
J. Millan ↔ J. Freytes
Fluminense
🔄
46'
L. Acosta ↔ Riquelme Felipe
Fluminense
🔄
46'
J. Savarino ↔ Y. Soteldo
Fluminense
🔄
46'
Martinelli ↔ Otavio
Fluminense
🔄
46'
Ronaldo Strada ↔ G. Herrera
Bahia
🔄
46'
S. Ramos ↔ Kanu
Bahia
🔄
46'
David Duarte ↔ Fred Lippert
Bahia
🔄
46'
Ze Guilherme ↔ Luiz Gustavo
Bahia
🔄
46'
Marcos Victor ↔ R. Gomez
Bahia
🔄
46'
Nicolas Acevedo ↔ Caio Alexandre
Bahia
🔄
46'
Erick ↔ Michel Araujo
Bahia
🔄
46'
Ademir ↔ M. Sanabria
Bahia
🔄
46'
Erick Pulga ↔ Everaldo
Bahia
🟨
64'
Luiz Gustavo
Bahia
🟨
65'
Kanu
Bahia
⚽
67'
Hulk
Fluminense
🔄
68'
Rene ↔ Thiago Silva
Fluminense
🔄
77'
↔ G. Cano
Fluminense
🔄
78'
↔ David Martins
Bahia
🔄
78'
↔ Ruan Pablo
Bahia
⚽
85'
G. Cano
Fluminense
🟨
90+4'
Fluminense
Fluminense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fluminense Win 71.7%
Draw 5.1%
Bahia Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense1.5
Bahia1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fluminense Fluminense
WWDLW
41 GF / 31 GA
Bahia Bahia
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
18
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
12
5.54
Shots on Goal
4.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fluminense Fluminense 25 matches
Bahia Bahia 20 matches
Fluminense Statistic Bahia
12 Wins 9
6 Draws 5
7 Losses 6
41 Goals For 31
31 Goals Against 26
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
18 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
5.54 Shots On Goal 4.95
14.67 Total Shots 13.58
4.92 Corners 5.74
60.6% Ball Possession 55.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 8 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Fluminense's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Fluminense 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Fluminense wins 8, draws 3, Bahia wins 4

Lineups

Fluminense
Formation
Bahia
Fabio
Fabio
Guga
↓
Guga
Jemmes
↓
Jemmes
J. Millan
↓
J. Millan
Rene
↓
Rene
Martinelli
↓
Martinelli
Hercules
Hercules
L. Acosta
↓
L. Acosta
J. Savarino
↓
J. Savarino
K. Serna
↓
K. Serna
John Kennedy
↓
John Kennedy
Ronaldo Strada
↓
Ronaldo Strada
Marcos Victor
↓
Marcos Victor
David Duarte
↓
David Duarte
S. Ramos
↓
S. Ramos
Ze Guilherme
↓
Ze Guilherme
Nicolas Acevedo
↓
Nicolas Acevedo
Erick
↓
Erick
Rodrigo
Rodrigo
Erick Pulga
↓
Erick Pulga
Ademir
↓
Ademir
Willian Jose
Willian Jose
Fluminense 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Fabio
23
Guga
↓ 46'
44
Jemmes
↓ 46'
29
J. Millan
↓ 46' 🟨 45+3'
6
Rene
↓ 68'
8
Martinelli
↓ 46'
35
Hercules
32
L. Acosta
↓ 46'
11
J. Savarino
↓ 46'
90
K. Serna
↓ 46'
9
John Kennedy
↓ 46'
Substitutes
27
Marcelo Pitaluga
2
Samuel Xavier
↑ 46'
3
Thiago Silva
↑ 68'
4
Ignacio
↑ 46'
7
Hulk
⚽ 67' ↑ 46'
10
PH Ganso
14
G. Cano
⚽ 85' ↑ 77'
16
Nonato
19
R. Castillo
↑ 46'
21
Igor Rabello
22
J. Freytes
↑ 46'
28
Riquelme Felipe
↑ 46'
30
Y. Soteldo
↑ 46'
46
Julio Fidelis
94
Otavio
↑ 46'
Bahia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Ronaldo Strada
↓ 46'
44
Marcos Victor
↓ 46'
33
David Duarte
↓ 46'
21
S. Ramos
↓ 46'
66
Ze Guilherme
↓ 46'
5
Nicolas Acevedo
↓ 46'
14
Erick
↓ 46' 🟨 36'
11
Rodrigo
🟨 45+5'
16
Erick Pulga
↓ 46'
7
Ademir
↓ 46'
12
Willian Jose
🟨 45+5'
Substitutes
17
G. Herrera
↑ 46'
91
J. C. Neres dos Santos I.
4
Kanu
↑ 46' 🟨 65'
83
Fred Lippert
↑ 46'
43
Luiz Gustavo
↑ 46' 🟨 64'
31
R. Gomez
↑ 46'
8
Caio Alexandre
↑ 46'
6
Jean Lucas
63
David Martins
↑ 78'
15
Michel Araujo
↑ 46'
23
M. Sanabria
↑ 46'
77
Ruan Pablo
↑ 78'
9
A. Veliz
27
Everaldo
↑ 46'
Last matches: Fluminense
22.08.26
Ser
Fluminense
Remo
2
1
W
18.08.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Fluminense
Palmeiras
3
2
W
11.08.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Fluminense
Botafogo
1
1
D
30.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
Gremio
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
Last matches: Bahia
23.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
09.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
H2H: Fluminense vs Bahia
30.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
0
0
D
12.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
05.02.26
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
10.09.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
28.08.25
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
1
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
3
3
D
04.08.24
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
W
17.04.24
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
2
1
L
31.10.23
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
1
0
L
24.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
1
W
05.12.21
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
2
0
L
30.08.21
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
04.02.21
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
0
1
W
11.10.20
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
W
Last matches: Fluminense
22.08.26
Ser
Fluminense
Remo
2
1
W
15.08.26
Ser
Fluminense
Palmeiras
3
2
W
11.08.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
30.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
0
0
D
17.07.26
Ser
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
3
2
W
12.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Botafogo
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Fluminense
Gremio
2
1
W
H2H at home: Fluminense
30.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
0
0
D
12.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
07.12.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
10.09.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
04.08.24
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
W
24.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
1
W
30.08.21
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
11.10.20
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
23.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.08.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
30.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
0
0
D
12.07.26
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
L
07.12.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
L
10.09.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
L
04.08.24
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
L
24.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
1
L
30.08.21
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
L
11.10.20
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
L