Fluminense
Match Timeline
Bahia
Fluminense vs Bahia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Fluminense Win 71.7%
Draw 5.1%
Bahia Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense1.5
Bahia1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fluminense
WWDLW
41 GF / 31 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
18
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
12
5.54
Shots on Goal
4.95
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fluminense
25 matches
Bahia
20 matches
| Fluminense | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 41 | Goals For | 31 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.54 | Shots On Goal | 4.95 |
| 14.67 | Total Shots | 13.58 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 5.74 |
| 60.6% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 8 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Fluminense's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Fluminense 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Fluminense wins 8, draws 3, Bahia wins 4