Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Fluminense Win 71.7%
Draw 5.1%
Bahia Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fluminense1.5
Bahia1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fluminense
WWDLW
41 GF / 31 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
18
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
12
5.54
Shots on Goal
4.95
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fluminense
25 matches
Bahia
20 matches
| Fluminense | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 41 | Goals For | 31 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.54 | Shots On Goal | 4.95 |
| 14.67 | Total Shots | 13.58 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 5.74 |
| 60.6% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 8 times, Bahia won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Fluminense's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Fluminense 4-2-3-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Fluminense wins 8, draws 2, Bahia wins 5
Last matches: Fluminense
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
3
2
W
Last matches: Bahia
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H: Fluminense vs Bahia
05.02.26
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
07.12.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
10.09.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
28.08.25
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
1
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
3
3
D
04.08.24
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
W
17.04.24
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
2
1
L
31.10.23
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
1
0
L
24.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
1
W
05.12.21
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
2
0
L
30.08.21
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
04.02.21
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
0
1
W
11.10.20
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
W
12.10.19
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
26.05.19
H2H
Bahia
Fluminense
3
2
L
Last matches: Fluminense
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
3
2
W
12.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Botafogo
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Fluminense
Gremio
2
1
W
H2H at home: Fluminense
07.12.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
10.09.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
04.08.24
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
W
24.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
1
W
30.08.21
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
11.10.20
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
W
12.10.19
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
07.12.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
L
10.09.25
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
L
04.08.24
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
L
24.06.23
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
1
L
30.08.21
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
L
11.10.20
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
1
0
L
12.10.19
H2H
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
L