BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: D. Freitas da Silva
Floresta
Match Timeline
Ferroviária
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
Rhuan
Ferroviária
🔄
60'
Jhony Douglas ↔ Danrley
Floresta
🔄
60'
Daniel ↔ Matheus Martins
Floresta
🟨
67'
Denis Junior
Ferroviária
🔄
75'
Gabriel Ticianelli ↔ Gadu
Ferroviária
🔄
76'
Garraty ↔ Matheusinho
Floresta
🔄
79'
Schilling Arthur ↔ Vinicius Meireles
Ferroviária
🔄
79'
Vinni Faria ↔ Abner
Ferroviária
🔄
80'
Allison ↔ Pedro Estevam
Ferroviária
🔄
82'
Nonato ↔ Guilherme Borges
Floresta
🔄
90+2'
Lucas Rodrigues ↔ Nicolas Silva
Ferroviária

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
83.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
50.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Floresta Win 33.3%
Draw 50%
Ferroviária Win 16.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Floresta1.9
Ferroviária1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Floresta Floresta
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Ferroviária Ferroviária
WLDWL
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Floresta Floresta 2 matches
Ferroviária Ferroviária 2 matches
Floresta Statistic Ferroviária
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
3 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 5
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ferroviária. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferroviária having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Floresta Analysis

With - points from - games and a place of -, Floresta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted - wins, - draws, and - defeats, and the -:- goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on Daniel (2 goals), Jhony Douglas (1 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

Ferroviária Analysis

Ferroviária sit - with - points after - matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a -:- goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on Denilson (1 goals), Vinni Faria (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. In football terms they often show a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Floresta won 0 times, Ferroviária won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Floresta's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83.3%)
H2H summary: Floresta wins 0, draws 1, Ferroviária wins 1

Lineups

Floresta
Formation
Ferroviária
Dheimison
Dheimison
Eliandro
Eliandro
Eduardo
Eduardo
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
Islan
Islan
Caique
Caique
Jhony Douglas
Jhony Douglas
Nonato
Nonato
Daniel
Daniel
Garraty
Garraty
Jeam
Jeam
Denis Junior
Denis Junior
Lucas Rodrigues
Lucas Rodrigues
Guilherme Ferreira
Guilherme Ferreira
Rhuan
Rhuan
Denilson Chaves
Denilson Chaves
Rafael Carillho
Rafael Carillho
David Souza
David Souza
Schilling Arthur
Schilling Arthur
Vinni Faria
Vinni Faria
Gabriel Ticianelli
Gabriel Ticianelli
Allison
Allison
Floresta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Dheimison
15
Eliandro
30
Eduardo
4
Joao Victor
23
Islan
29
Caique
5
Jhony Douglas
↓ 60'
17
Nonato
↓ 82'
19
Daniel
↓ 60'
13
Garraty
↓ 76'
9
Jeam
Substitutes
1
Jeferson Souza
22
Tiepo
6
Diego Matos
8
Danrley
↑ 60'
10
Matheusinho
↑ 76'
14
Valdo
16
Marcelinho
20
Vitinho
21
Matheus Martins
↑ 60'
26
Thailor
27
Marco Antonio
28
Guilherme Borges
↑ 82'
Ferroviária 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
Denis Junior
🟨 67'
2
Lucas Rodrigues
↓ 90+2'
4
Guilherme Ferreira
6
Rhuan
🟨 45'
9
Denilson Chaves
18
Rafael Carillho
20
David Souza
23
Schilling Arthur
↓ 79'
25
Vinni Faria
↓ 79'
37
Gabriel Ticianelli
↓ 75'
38
Allison
↓ 80'
Substitutes
24
I. Carvalho
14
Jhonatan Garcia
16
Vinicius Meireles
↑ 79'
17
M. Cantarelli
21
F. G. Ferreira Januario
27
Nicolas Silva
↑ 90+2'
32
Abner
↑ 79'
33
Pedro Estevam
↑ 80'
39
Gadu
↑ 75'
41
M. Ortega
Last matches: Floresta
11.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Caxias
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
27.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Barra
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Brusque
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Figueirense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Paysandu
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Amazonas
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Floresta
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Maranhão
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
Last matches: Ferroviária
12.07.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Ituano
3
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Caxias
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Inter De Limeira
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Barra
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Amazonas
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Brusque
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Anápolis
1
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Guarani Campinas
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Maringá
2
3
L
H2H: Floresta vs Ferroviária
20.04.26
H2H
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
04.05.24
H2H
Floresta
Ferroviária
1
4
L
Last matches: Floresta
27.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Barra
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Figueirense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Amazonas
3
2
W
04.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Maranhão
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
H2H at home: Floresta
20.04.26
H2H
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
04.05.24
H2H
Floresta
Ferroviária
1
4
L
Last matches: Ferroviária
12.07.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Ituano
3
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Ferroviária
AO Itabaiana
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Amazonas
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviária
Maringá
2
3
L
H2H away: Ferroviária
20.04.26
H2H
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
04.05.24
H2H
Floresta
Ferroviária
1
4
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation