FRANCE LIGUE 3
19.09.2026 12:45
Stade Robert Bobin

Fleury 91 vs Thionville Lusitanos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fleury 91 Win 17.7%
Draw 3.9%
Thionville Lusitanos Win 78.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleury 911.25
Thionville Lusitanos2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleury 91 Fleury 91
WWDLW
12 GF / 19 GA
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
WLDWL
23 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
2.56
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
6
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleury 91 Fleury 91 10 matches
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos 9 matches
Fleury 91 Statistic Thionville Lusitanos
2 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 1
12 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 12
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 2.56
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
6 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Thionville Lusitanos having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Thionville Lusitanos. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Thionville Lusitanos carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 11 points while Fleury 91 sit 15 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Fleury 91 Analysis

Fleury 91 sit 15 with 5 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 8:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Thionville Lusitanos Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 11 points from 5 games, Thionville Lusitanos bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 12:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fleury 91 won 2 times, Thionville Lusitanos won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Fleury 91's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
H2H summary: Fleury 91 wins 2, draws 0, Thionville Lusitanos wins 0

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 12:2 10 14
W D W W W
2 6 4 0 2 12:5 7 12
W W L W L
3 6 3 3 0 7:4 3 12
D D W D W
4 6 3 2 1 12:10 2 11
L D D W W
5 6 2 4 0 7:2 5 10
D W W D D
6 6 2 3 1 7:6 1 9
W D D W D
7 6 3 0 3 10:11 -1 9
W L L W W
8 6 3 0 3 5:8 -3 9
W L W L W
9 6 2 2 2 4:6 -2 8
L D D W L
10 6 2 2 2 6:8 -2 8
W D W L D
11 6 2 2 2 6:2 4 8
D W W L L
12 6 2 2 2 10:7 3 8
W W L L D
13 6 2 1 3 5:6 -1 7
L D L W L
14 6 2 1 3 6:8 -2 7
L D L W L
15 6 1 2 3 5:9 -4 5
L D D L W
16 6 1 1 4 3:7 -4 4
L D W L L
17 6 1 1 4 5:13 -8 4
D L L L W
18 6 1 0 5 3:11 -8 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation