Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fleetwood Town
Rochdale
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fleetwood Town
13 matches
Rochdale
11 matches
| Fleetwood Town | Statistic | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 6 |
| 19 | Goals For | 14 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.43 | Shots On Goal | 2.43 |
| 13.86 | Total Shots | 7.57 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.57 |
| 49.7% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fleetwood Town's more proactive style and Rochdale's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rochdale. Rochdale arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fleetwood Town expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Rochdale in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rochdale having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fleetwood Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 10 points compared to Rochdale in 24 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Fleetwood Town are currently 7 in the standings with 10 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 7:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Loupalo-Bi (2 goals), R. Coughlan (1 goals), F. Potter (1 goals), with creative support from C. Evans (2 assists), R. Coughlan (1 assists), R. Bennett (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 24, Rochdale still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Tasker (1 goals), Ethan Ebanks-Landell (1 goals), with creative support from Ryan East (1 assists), G. Middleton (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fleetwood Town won 4 times, Rochdale won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Fleetwood Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 9 | 18 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 15 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Rochdale
Away
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Fleetwood Town
Home
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
D
|