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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
26.09.2026 14:00
Highbury Stadium
Fleetwood Town
Match Timeline
Rochdale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
D. Brown · Assist: G. Middleton
Rochdale
⚽
14'
A. Flint · Assist: D. Brown
Rochdale
⚽
30'
M. Helm · Assist: A. Loupalo-Bi
Fleetwood Town
🟨
39'
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
Rochdale
🔄
64'
K. Hughes ↔ J. Batty
Fleetwood Town
🔄
64'
K. Taylor ↔ E. Francis
Rochdale
🔄
64'
J. Smith ↔ C. Hayes
Rochdale
🟨
69'
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
Rochdale
🟥
69'
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
Rochdale
🔄
70'
A. Murphy ↔ R. Coughlan
Fleetwood Town
🟨
73'
Raffaele Cirino
Fleetwood Town
🔄
84'
D. Brown ↔ E. Dieseruvwe
Rochdale
🔄
84'
G. Middleton ↔ D. Rodney
Rochdale
🔄
88'
H. Gilmour ↔ S. Sherring
Rochdale

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fleetwood Town Win 82.2%
Draw 6%
Rochdale Win 11.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleetwood Town1.6
Rochdale1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
WWDLW
19 GF / 10 GA
Rochdale Rochdale
WLDWL
14 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.27
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
6
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
7
3.43
Shots on Goal
2.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 13 matches
Rochdale Rochdale 11 matches
Fleetwood Town Statistic Rochdale
6 Wins 2
5 Draws 3
2 Losses 6
19 Goals For 14
10 Goals Against 20
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
3.43 Shots On Goal 2.43
13.86 Total Shots 7.57
5 Corners 3.57
49.7% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Fleetwood Town's more proactive style and Rochdale's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rochdale. Rochdale arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fleetwood Town expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Rochdale in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rochdale having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fleetwood Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 10 points compared to Rochdale in 24 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Fleetwood Town Analysis

Fleetwood Town are currently 7 in the standings with 10 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 7:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Loupalo-Bi (2 goals), R. Coughlan (1 goals), F. Potter (1 goals), with creative support from C. Evans (2 assists), R. Coughlan (1 assists), R. Bennett (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Rochdale Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 24, Rochdale still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Tasker (1 goals), Ethan Ebanks-Landell (1 goals), with creative support from Ryan East (1 assists), G. Middleton (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fleetwood Town won 4 times, Rochdale won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Fleetwood Town's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2 / Rochdale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fleetwood Town wins 4, draws 7, Rochdale wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League