Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
27 matches
Sao Paulo
19 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 8 |
| 56 | Goals For | 24 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 2.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.83 | Shots On Goal | 4.05 |
| 15.39 | Total Shots | 12.16 |
| 4.57 | Corners | 6.58 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sao Paulo having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sao Paulo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sao Paulo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Flamengo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 34 points compared to Sao Paulo in 8 on 25, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Flamengo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 34 points after 17 matches. The record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 31:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pedro (10 goals), Samuel Lino (4 goals), Giorgian De Arrascaeta (3 goals), with creative support from Samuel Lino (6 assists), Pedro (4 assists), Guillermo Varela (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
With 25 points from 18 games and a place of 8, Sao Paulo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 23:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jonathan Calleri (5 goals), Luciano (5 goals), Ferreirinha (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Jonathan Calleri (1 assists), Luciano (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 6 times, Sao Paulo won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Flamengo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Flamengo
6
1
12
2
1
1
Lineups
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Mirassol
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Internacional
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Olimpia
Flamengo
Benfica
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Gremio
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Santos
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Vitoria
Flamengo
Olimpia
Flamengo
Lausanne
Flamengo
River Plate
Flamengo
Coritiba
Flamengo
Cusco
Flamengo
Palmeiras
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
Bahia
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
Flamengo
Santos
Flamengo
Remo
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Gremio
Sao Paulo
Remo
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
Internacional
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Santos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Home
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|