Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Flamengo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Flamengo1.6
Sao Paulo1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Flamengo
WWDLW
48 GF / 21 GA
Sao Paulo
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
12
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
7
5.82
Shots on Goal
4.11
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Flamengo
25 matches
Sao Paulo
18 matches
| Flamengo | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 48 | Goals For | 23 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 0.84 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.82 | Shots On Goal | 4.11 |
| 15.64 | Total Shots | 11.83 |
| 4.64 | Corners | 6.56 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Flamengo won 7 times, Sao Paulo won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Flamengo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Flamengo 4-2-3-1 / Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Flamengo wins 7, draws 4, Sao Paulo wins 4
Last matches: Flamengo
11.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Benfica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Lausanne
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
River Plate
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Gremio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
30.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Atletico-MG
4
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Fluminense
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Santos
3
1
W
03.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Corinthians
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Remo
3
0
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H: Flamengo vs Sao Paulo
29.01.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
L
06.11.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
2
D
12.07.25
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
19.01.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
0
0
D
04.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
0
L
18.04.24
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
07.12.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
0
L
24.09.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
17.09.23
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
13.08.23
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
15.09.22
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
25.08.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
3
W
06.08.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
0
2
W
17.04.22
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
3
1
W
14.11.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
0
4
W
Last matches: Flamengo
08.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
Lausanne
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Flamengo
River Plate
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Coritiba
3
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Cusco
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Palmeiras
0
3
L
21.05.26
CON
Flamengo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Flamengo
Vasco DA Gama
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Bahia
2
0
W
17.04.26
CON
Flamengo
Independiente Medellin
4
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Flamengo
Santos
3
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Remo
3
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Flamengo
Internacional
1
1
D
H2H at home: Flamengo
12.07.25
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
18.04.24
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
13.08.23
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
15.09.22
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
17.04.22
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
3
1
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
H2H away: Sao Paulo
12.07.25
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
18.04.24
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
17.09.23
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
0
1
W
13.08.23
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
15.09.22
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
17.04.22
H2H
Flamengo
Sao Paulo
3
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Flamengo
Home
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B