LITHUANIA A LYGA
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LFF stadionas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
82.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win 61.6%
Draw 4.2%
Džiugas Telšiai Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.54
Džiugas Telšiai1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
WWDLW
62 GF / 54 GA
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai
WLDWL
43 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
20
BTTS Yes
16
25
Over 2.5
13
0.83
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 35 matches
Džiugas Telšiai Džiugas Telšiai 31 matches
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Statistic Džiugas Telšiai
17 Wins 12
5 Draws 11
13 Losses 8
62 Goals For 43
54 Goals Against 37
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
20 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 21
25 Over 2.5 13
14 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 7
0.83 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
1.17 Corners 0
14.2% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Zalgiris Vilnius expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Džiugas Telšiai in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Džiugas Telšiai having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Džiugas Telšiai. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 34 points after 21 outings. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 33:24, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Džiugas Telšiai Analysis

Džiugas Telšiai arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 37 points after 23 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 34:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 10 times, Džiugas Telšiai won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:12 from FK Zalgiris Vilnius's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2-3-1 / Džiugas Telšiai 5-4-1
H2H summary: FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 10, draws 3, Džiugas Telšiai wins 2
Last matches: FK Zalgiris Vilnius
16.08.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Banga
2
3
L
13.08.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HNK Hajduk Split
0
4
L
06.08.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HNK Hajduk Split
2
5
L
30.07.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Dinamo Tbilisi
7
2
W
27.07.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
3
2
W
23.07.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
3
L
19.07.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
3
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Petrovac
2
1
W
09.07.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Petrovac
3
1
W
05.07.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Šiauliai
3
0
W
28.06.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
20.06.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Banga
0
3
L
16.06.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Panevėžys
3
0
W
12.06.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Trakai
3
2
W
31.05.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
1
0
W
24.05.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
1
3
L
17.05.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
1
L
10.05.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
06.05.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Šiauliai
3
1
W
03.05.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Panevėžys
1
2
L
Last matches: Džiugas Telšiai
09.08.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
4
3
W
03.08.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
1
D
26.07.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
1
L
19.07.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
1
0
W
03.07.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris
0
0
D
28.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
0
D
21.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
17.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
12.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
4
3
W
30.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
4
0
W
24.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
3
2
W
16.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
0
1
L
09.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Trakai
1
0
W
05.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris
2
2
D
01.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
3
0
W
26.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
3
L
19.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Suduva Marijampole
2
3
L
12.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
1
0
W
05.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
0
W
22.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
0
D
H2H: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai
28.06.26
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
0
D
26.04.26
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
3
W
21.02.26
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
3
L
05.10.25
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
W
19.07.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
1
D
02.03.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
3
0
W
09.11.24
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
1
W
19.06.24
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
4
W
21.04.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
3
1
W
07.02.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
27.08.23
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
4
1
W
22.06.23
H2H
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
W
Last matches: FK Zalgiris Vilnius
16.08.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Banga
2
3
L
06.08.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HNK Hajduk Split
2
5
L
30.07.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Dinamo Tbilisi
7
2
W
19.07.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
3
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Petrovac
2
1
W
16.06.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Panevėžys
3
0
W
12.06.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Trakai
3
2
W
24.05.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
1
3
L
06.05.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Šiauliai
3
1
W
17.04.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Banga
1
1
D
05.04.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
0
3
L
16.03.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
10.03.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
1
0
W
27.02.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Panevėžys
4
1
W
21.02.26
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Ogre United
2
1
W
08.02.26
Fri
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Šiauliai
4
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Wigry Suwałki
1
2
L
02.11.25
A L
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
3
1
W
H2H at home: FK Zalgiris Vilnius
21.02.26
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
3
L
19.07.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
0
W
02.03.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
1
W
25.01.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
3
0
W
18.08.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
1
W
21.04.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
3
1
W
07.02.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
27.08.23
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
4
1
W
Last matches: Džiugas Telšiai
09.08.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
4
3
W
03.08.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
1
D
26.07.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
1
L
17.06.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
05.05.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Kauno Žalgiris
2
2
D
19.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Suduva Marijampole
2
3
L
05.04.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
0
W
22.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
0
D
15.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
1
0
W
11.03.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Trakai
2
0
W
28.02.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
21.02.26
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Tukums
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
0
2
L
21.01.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Tauras
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
Džiugas Telšiai
Panevėžys
1
1
D
08.11.25
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Šiauliai
2
2
D
23.10.25
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Hegelmann Litauen
1
4
L
26.09.25
A L
Džiugas Telšiai
Banga
1
0
W
H2H away: Džiugas Telšiai
21.02.26
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
3
W
19.07.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
0
L
02.03.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
1
L
25.01.25
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
3
0
L
18.08.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
1
L
21.04.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
3
1
L
07.02.24
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
27.08.23
H2H
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
4
1
L

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 10 8 4 41:16 25 38
D W W W D
2 23 10 7 6 34:27 7 37
W D L W D
3 21 9 9 3 29:17 12 36
W W D W W
4 23 10 6 7 28:21 7 36
W L W L W
5 24 10 6 8 33:32 1 36
D L W W L
6 22 10 4 8 35:27 8 34
L W W W D
7 22 6 5 11 21:38 -17 23
W D L D L
8 24 4 10 10 26:41 -15 22
L L L W L
9 23 2 7 14 22:50 -28 13
L L L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L