Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Liepaja
24 matches
Super Nova
20 matches
| FK Liepaja | Statistic | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 9 | Losses | 10 |
| 38 | Goals For | 24 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Super Nova. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Super Nova having the stronger overall control.
Placed 4 with 22 points from 16 outings, FK Liepaja continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 21:23 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by K. Leidsman (5 goals), D. Gueye (4 goals), Fellipe Vieira (4 goals), with creative support from Fellipe Vieira (2 assists), A. Korobenko (2 assists), C. Amatkarijo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 20 points from 16 outings, Super Nova continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 18:23 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Glaudans (4 goals), V. Lizunovs (4 goals), M. Oss (3 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 11 times, Super Nova won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:19 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Lineups
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Austria Vienna
FK Liepaja
Dečić
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Liepaja
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
Paide
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Paide
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
Trans Narva
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 45 | 65 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
FK Liepaja
Home
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Away
|
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 7 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | -29 | 21 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | -41 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|