LATVIA VIRSLIGA
21.08.2026 15:00
Daugavas stadions
Referee: V. Mordatenko
FK Liepaja
Match Timeline
Grobiņa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
E. Oloko · Assist: A. Ogunniyi
FK Liepaja
🟨
25'
E. Oloko
FK Liepaja
🟨
43'
B. Straalman
FK Liepaja
🔄
46'
A. Baydal ↔ A. Aruna
Grobiņa
49'
E. Oloko
FK Liepaja
🔄
58'
M. Sidorovs ↔ I. Tyshchenko
Grobiņa
🔄
65'
A. Korobenko ↔ K. Iljins
FK Liepaja
🔄
65'
E. Rodolphe ↔ I. Mushindi
FK Liepaja
🔄
65'
A. Ogunniyi ↔ A. Leite
FK Liepaja
🔄
75'
D. Patijcuks ↔ K. Leidsman
FK Liepaja
78'
Dodo · Assist: I. Tyshchenko
Grobiņa
🔄
80'
A. Haidara ↔ B. Melnis
FK Liepaja
84'
K. Leidsman · Assist: E. Oloko
FK Liepaja
🔄
88'
A. Puzirevskis ↔ D. Dobrecovs
Grobiņa
🟨
90+1'
D. Druzinins
Grobiņa
🟨
90+3'
A. Aruna
Grobiņa

FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FK Liepaja Win 86.2%
Draw 6.9%
Grobiņa Win 6.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Liepaja1.59
Grobiņa1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
WWDLW
54 GF / 58 GA
Grobiņa Grobiņa
WLDWL
32 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
22
BTTS Yes
17
23
Over 2.5
12
1.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 37 matches
Grobiņa Grobiņa 33 matches
FK Liepaja Statistic Grobiņa
16 Wins 6
5 Draws 12
16 Losses 15
54 Goals For 32
58 Goals Against 59
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
22 BTTS Yes 17
31 Over 1.5 25
23 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 5
10 Failed To Score 13
1.5 Shots On Goal 0
6 Total Shots 0
2.25 Corners 0
20.5% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Grobiņa having the stronger overall control. FK Liepaja arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 34 points compared to Grobiņa in 8 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Grobiņa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Grobiņa.

FK Liepaja Analysis

FK Liepaja approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 34 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a 33:37 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Grobiņa Analysis

With 21 points from 26 games and a place of 8, Grobiņa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 18:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 6 times, Grobiņa won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.1%)
Predicted formations: FK Liepaja 4-2-3-1 / Grobiņa 4-4-2
H2H summary: FK Liepaja wins 6, draws 1, Grobiņa wins 5

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 23 4 2 70:21 49 73
W D W D W
2 29 20 7 2 84:30 54 67
D D L D W
3 29 17 6 6 47:29 18 57
D W D W W
4 30 12 6 12 41:43 -2 42
D D W L W
5 30 10 8 12 35:35 0 38
L D L D W
6 28 10 5 13 29:38 -9 35
W W D D L
7 30 8 8 14 32:48 -16 32
D L W W L
8 30 5 10 15 20:51 -31 25
D L W L L
9 30 5 8 17 43:60 -17 23
L W L L L
10 29 3 6 20 29:75 -46 15
D L L L L