Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FK Liepaja
20 matches
BFC Daugavpils
20 matches
| FK Liepaja | Statistic | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 31 | Goals For | 21 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward BFC Daugavpils. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward BFC Daugavpils having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
FK Liepaja sit 8 with 12 points after 11 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 10:17 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Gueye (2 goals), D. Patijcuks (2 goals), I. Patrikejevs (2 goals), with creative support from A. Korobenko (1 assists), A. Ogunniyi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 14 points from 11 outings, BFC Daugavpils continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 14:18 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Garzha (4 goals), J. Yakubu (4 goals), R. Ndjiki (3 goals), with creative support from R. Ndjiki (3 assists), Z. Ouled-Haj-M'hand (3 assists), A. Garzha (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Liepaja won 8 times, BFC Daugavpils won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from FK Liepaja's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Lineups
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
BFC Daugavpils
Šiauliai
BFC Daugavpils
Hegelmann Litauen
BFC Daugavpils
Flora Tallinn
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Liepaja
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
Paide
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
Suduva Marijampole
BFC Daugavpils
Šiauliai
BFC Daugavpils
Flora Tallinn
BFC Daugavpils
FK Trakai
BFC Daugavpils
TransINVEST Vilnius
BFC Daugavpils
Panevėžys
BFC Daugavpils
Vllaznia Shkodër
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 38:11 | 27 | 43 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 39 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 32:20 | 12 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Home
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
?
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
BFC Daugavpils
Away
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
| 7 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:30 | -18 | 15 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 13 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 13 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13:38 | -25 | 4 |
?
|