CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
20.09.2026 13:00
Stadion Strelnice
Referee: P. Orel
FK Jablonec
Match Timeline
Zlin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
D. Smiga · Assist: M. Pisoja
Zlin
🟨
41'
Jakub Černín
Zlin
🔄
46'
M. Fukala ↔ D. Grygera
Zlin
🔄
46'
J. Stefan ↔ T. Hellebrand
Zlin
🔄
60'
J. Chramosta ↔ L. Jawo
FK Jablonec
🔄
60'
H. Ahl ↔ G. Kuol
FK Jablonec
🔄
61'
D. Smiga ↔ T. Poznar
Zlin
🔄
70'
S. Nebyla ↔ F. Zorvan
FK Jablonec
🔄
70'
D. Holly ↔ F. Vecheta
FK Jablonec
🔄
74'
D. Machalik ↔ P. Mbatshi
Zlin
🔄
83'
S. Alioum ↔ J. Slama
FK Jablonec
🔄
88'
↔ J. Didiba
Zlin
VAR
90+2'
Lamin Jawo
FK Jablonec
🟨
90+4'
Tomáš Poznar
Zlin
⚽
90'
G. Kuol · Assist: R. Sedlacek
FK Jablonec

FK Jablonec vs Zlin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.97
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.3%
1.48 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
2.05 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.97 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
FK Jablonec Win 74.3%
Draw 7.9%
Zlin Win 17.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Jablonec1.73
Zlin1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
WWDLW
45 GF / 24 GA
Zlin Zlin
WLDWL
24 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
11
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
3.29
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 26 matches
Zlin Zlin 19 matches
FK Jablonec Statistic Zlin
15 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
6 Losses 12
45 Goals For 24
24 Goals Against 33
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
11 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
3.29 Shots On Goal 2.25
9.64 Total Shots 12.63
3.79 Corners 5
43.5% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FK Jablonec's more proactive style and Zlin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Zlin. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FK Jablonec arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 13 points compared to Zlin in 16 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Jablonec expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Zlin in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zlin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

FK Jablonec Analysis

FK Jablonec approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 13 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 10:8 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Chramosta (1 goals), M. Polidar (1 goals), M. Cedidla (1 goals), with creative support from J. Chramosta (1 assists), M. Polidar (1 assists), R. Sedláček (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Zlin Analysis

Zlin sit 16 with 0 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 6:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Černín (2 goals), M. Fukala (1 goals), D. Šmiga (1 goals), with creative support from M. Pišoja (2 assists), S. Kanu (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Jablonec won 6 times, Zlin won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:12 from FK Jablonec's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: FK Jablonec 3-4-2-1 / Zlin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FK Jablonec wins 6, draws 8, Zlin wins 1

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 25:6 19 23
W W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 13:4 9 20
D W W W W
3 8 5 2 1 17:9 8 17
W L W W D
4 9 5 1 3 16:13 3 16
L W W L W
5 9 5 1 3 17:15 2 16
W L W W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:12 0 16
L W L W W
7 9 5 0 4 18:12 6 15
W W L L W
8 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D L W L D
9 9 4 2 3 8:9 -1 14
L W D W L
10 9 2 4 3 17:17 0 10
L L D W D
11 9 3 1 5 7:17 -10 10
D L L L W
12 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L W L D D
13 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
W W D L L
14 9 1 2 6 7:18 -11 5
D L L W L
15 9 0 4 5 7:16 -9 4
D L D D L
16
Zlin Away
9 0 1 8 8:19 -11 1
D L L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs