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CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
18.10.2026 16:00
Stadion Strelnice

FK Jablonec vs Plzen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FK Jablonec Win 63.7%
Draw 5%
Plzen Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Jablonec1.73
Plzen1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Jablonec FK Jablonec
WWDLW
47 GF / 25 GA
Plzen Plzen
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
2.15
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
12
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
14
3.75
Shots on Goal
5.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 28 matches
Plzen Plzen 20 matches
FK Jablonec Statistic Plzen
16 Wins 8
6 Draws 6
6 Losses 6
47 Goals For 43
25 Goals Against 36
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
12 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
3.75 Shots On Goal 5.15
11.06 Total Shots 12.15
4.25 Corners 4.77
46.1% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Jablonec expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Plzen in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plzen having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Plzen. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FK Jablonec Analysis

FK Jablonec come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 17 points from 10 matches. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Antonín Růsek (2 goals), Saidou Alioum Moubarak (1 goals), Jan Chramosta (1 goals), with creative support from Richard Sedláček (2 assists), Saidou Alioum Moubarak (1 assists), Jan Chramosta (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Plzen Analysis

Plzen sit 10 with 13 points after 10 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 20:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Christophe Kabongo (3 goals), Amar Memić (2 goals), Baboucarr Faal (2 goals), with creative support from Patrik Hrošovský (3 assists), Amar Memić (2 assists), Cheick Souaré (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Jablonec won 1 times, Plzen won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:38 from FK Jablonec's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: FK Jablonec 3-4-2-1 / Plzen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FK Jablonec wins 1, draws 5, Plzen wins 9

Standings

Czech Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 26:6 20 26
W W W W W
2 10 6 2 2 13:6 7 20
L D W W W
3 10 6 0 4 20:12 8 18
W W W L L
4 9 5 2 2 17:12 5 17
L W L W W
5 10 5 2 3 17:14 3 17
D L W W L
6 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D L W L
7 10 5 2 3 18:16 2 17
D W L W W
8 10 5 1 4 12:13 -1 16
L L W L W
9 10 4 2 4 10:13 -3 14
L L W D W
10
Plzen Away
10 3 4 3 20:17 3 13
W L L D W
11 9 3 3 3 10:11 -1 12
W L W L D
12 10 3 1 6 7:18 -11 10
L D L L L
13 10 2 2 6 11:20 -9 8
W D L L W
14 10 2 2 6 9:16 -7 8
L W W D L
15 10 1 4 5 9:16 -7 7
W D L D D
16 10 0 1 9 8:20 -12 1
L D L L L
Play-offs
Play Offs
Relegation Play-offs