SERBIA SUPER LIGA
20.09.2026 17:00
Rajko Mitić Stadion

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.3%
1.14
BTTS No
50.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
2.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
1.45
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.53
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
FK Crvena Zvezda Win 78.3%
Draw 4.2%
Radnicki NIS Win 17.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Crvena Zvezda1.74
Radnicki NIS0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
WWDLW
49 GF / 22 GA
Radnicki NIS Radnicki NIS
WLDWL
12 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
0.92
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
10
BTTS Yes
3
14
Over 2.5
4
4.93
Shots on Goal
4.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda 23 matches
Radnicki NIS Radnicki NIS 13 matches
FK Crvena Zvezda Statistic Radnicki NIS
15 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 7
49 Goals For 12
22 Goals Against 15
2.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
0.96 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
10 BTTS Yes 3
20 Over 1.5 9
14 Over 2.5 4
10 Over 3.5 2
10 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 7
4.93 Shots On Goal 4.88
10.27 Total Shots 14.38
3.27 Corners 4.75
41.5% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FK Crvena Zvezda's more proactive style and Radnicki NIS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FK Crvena Zvezda expected to line up in 3-2-4-1 and Radnicki NIS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radnicki NIS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FK Crvena Zvezda come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. FK Crvena Zvezda arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to Radnicki NIS in 13 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Radnicki NIS.

FK Crvena Zvezda Analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 19 points after 7 outings. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 18:2, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Ivanić (2 goals), Dimitrije Šarić (2 goals), A. Katai (1 goals), with creative support from A. Katai (3 assists), M. Ivanić (2 assists), M. Abu Fani (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Radnicki NIS Analysis

Radnicki NIS are currently 13 in the standings with 5 points from 7 matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 3:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Shestyuk (1 goals), with creative support from M. Spasić (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda won 13 times, Radnicki NIS won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:4 from FK Crvena Zvezda's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2-4-1 / Radnicki NIS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FK Crvena Zvezda wins 13, draws 2, Radnicki NIS wins 0

Standings

Super Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 1 0 21:3 18 25
W W D W W
2 10 7 1 2 21:10 11 22
D W W W W
3 9 5 2 2 17:9 8 17
W W D D W
4 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
D L D W L
5 10 3 5 2 14:15 -1 14
D D D W L
6 10 3 4 3 10:11 -1 13
D D W D L
7 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
L W L W W
8 8 3 2 3 12:9 3 11
L W L W L
9 9 3 2 4 11:16 -5 11
D L L L W
10 10 2 3 5 13:21 -8 9
L L D L W
11 9 2 2 5 17:19 -2 8
D L L W L
12 8 2 2 4 6:8 -2 8
W L D L D
13 9 2 2 5 5:15 -10 8
L D D W L
14 10 0 3 7 6:19 -13 3
D D L L L
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