ITALY › SERIE A

29.08.2026 16:30

Fiorentina

0 - 3

Frosinone

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Referee: Giuseppe Collu, Italy

Fiorentina

Match Timeline

Frosinone

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 88.9%

Odds 1.22

1 agree / 0 disagree

BTTS

Yes

Probability 86%

Odds 1.80

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds 1.80

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	88.9%	1.22	▥
BTTS	Yes	86%	1.80	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	1.80	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	87.3%	1.27	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	2.50	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	8.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Fiorentina Win 49.4%

Draw 11.1%

Frosinone Win 39.5%

Expected Goals (xG)

Fiorentina1.83

Frosinone1.46

Recent Form (Last 5)

Fiorentina

WWDLW

19 GF / 12 GA

Frosinone

WLDWL

10 GF / 7 GA

Key Stats

2.38

Average Goals Scored

1.43

1.5

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.5

Shots on Goal

4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fiorentina 8 matches

Frosinone 7 matches

Fiorentina	Statistic	Frosinone
4	Wins	3
2	Draws	2
2	Losses	2
19	Goals For	10
12	Goals Against	7
2.38	Avg Goals Scored	1.43
1.5	Avg Goals Conceded	1
5	BTTS Yes	4
6	Over 1.5	4
5	Over 2.5	3
5	Over 3.5	2
2	Clean Sheets	2
1	Failed To Score	1
5.5	Shots On Goal	4.5
11.5	Total Shots	16.5
3.5	Corners	3.5
39%	Ball Possession	45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina won 2 times, Frosinone won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:8 from Fiorentina's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)

Predicted formations: Fiorentina 4-3-3 / Frosinone 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Fiorentina 3, Frosinone 1

H2H summary: Fiorentina wins 2, draws 3, Frosinone wins 2

Standings

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Como	3	2	1	0	7:3	4	7	W W D
2	AS Roma	2	2	0	0	8:0	8	6	W W
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6	W W
4	AC Milan	2	2	0	0	4:1	3	6	W W
5	Juventus	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6	W W
6	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6	W W
7	Lazio	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6	W W
8	Udinese	2	1	1	0	4:3	1	4	W D
9	Frosinone Away	2	1	0	1	3:1	2	3	W L
10	Napoli	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3	L W
11	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3	W L
12	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3	L W
13	Lecce	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3	L W
14	Torino	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0	L L
15	Bologna	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0	L L
16	Parma	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0	L L
17	Monza	2	0	0	2	3:7	-4	0	L L
18	Venezia	2	0	0	2	0:4	-4	0	L L
19	Fiorentina Home	2	0	0	2	0:7	-7	0	L L
20	Genoa	3	0	0	3	1:7	-6	0	L L L

Champions League league stage

Europa League league stage

Play-offs

Relegation