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09.10.2025 16:00
Helsinki Olympic Stadium
Referee: S. Frappart
Finland
Match Timeline
Lithuania
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Artur Dolznikov
Lithuania
⚽
25'
P. Sirvys
Lithuania
⚽
48'
B. Kallman
Finland
VAR
49'
Benjamin Källman
Finland
⚽
55'
A. Markhiev · Assist: O. Antman
Finland
🔄
60'
P. Golubickas ↔ V. Slivka
Lithuania
🔄
60'
A. Dolznikov ↔ E. Jankauskas
Lithuania
🔄
61'
A. Markhiev ↔ R. Lod
Finland
🔄
65'
B. Kallman ↔ C. Terho
Finland
🟨
72'
Robert Ivanov
Finland
🔄
77'
V. Armalas ↔ G. Sirgedas
Lithuania
🔄
77'
G. Paulauskas ↔ N. Petkevicius
Lithuania
🔄
83'
L. Walta ↔ M. Peltola
Finland
🔄
83'
J. Lahteenmaki ↔ A. Stahl
Finland
🔄
83'
O. Antman ↔ T. Keskinen
Finland
🟨
90+4'
Topi Keskinen
Finland

Finland vs Lithuania Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Finland Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lithuania Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Finland1.09
Lithuania1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Finland Finland
WWDLW
8 GF / 21 GA
Lithuania Lithuania
WLDWL
9 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
0.82
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
5
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
3.2
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Finland Finland 11 matches
Lithuania Lithuania 11 matches
Finland Statistic Lithuania
2 Wins 0
1 Draws 3
8 Losses 8
8 Goals For 9
21 Goals Against 18
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
5 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 4
3.2 Shots On Goal 3.4
9 Total Shots 9
3 Corners 2
48.2% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Finland won 1 times, Lithuania won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Finland's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Finland 4-3-3 / Lithuania 5-4-1
H2H summary: Finland wins 1, draws 1, Lithuania wins 0

Standings

Group G
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 27:4 23 20
W D W W W
2 8 5 2 1 14:7 7 17
W D W W D
3 8 3 1 4 8:14 -6 10
L L W L W
4 8 1 2 5 4:19 -15 5
L W L D L
5 8 0 3 5 6:15 -9 3
L L L L D
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)