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07.10.2026 22:00
Popayan
Match Timeline
Union Magdalena
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
W. Sagrera
Union Magdalena
⚽
15'
D. Cortes
Popayan
🟨
21'
J. Cuero
Popayan
🟨
33'
J. Andrade
Popayan
⚽
34'
J. Farias
Union Magdalena
🔄
46'
J. Cuero ↔ P. Urrutia
Popayan
🟨
48'
Popayan
Popayan
🟨
53'
Popayan
Popayan
🟨
61'
O. Surmay
Union Magdalena
🟨
64'
Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena
🔄
70'
M. Ballesteros ↔ J. Vasquez
Union Magdalena
🔄
70'
J. Farias ↔ J. Mercado
Union Magdalena
🔄
70'
O. Surmay ↔ J. Giraldo
Union Magdalena
🔄
70'
R. Rodriguez ↔ J. Lerma
Union Magdalena
🔄
76'
L. Perez ↔ J. M. Mancilla Mina
Popayan
🔄
76'
D. Cortes ↔ M. Lucumi
Popayan
🟨
84'
W. Sagrera
Union Magdalena
🟥
84'
W. Sagrera
Union Magdalena
🔄
85'
F. Mosquera ↔ V. Prado
Union Magdalena

Popayan vs Union Magdalena Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 79%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
79%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Popayan Win 35.5%
Draw 14.7%
Union Magdalena Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Popayan1.16
Union Magdalena1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Popayan Popayan
W W W W D
13 GF / 6 GA
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
W D W L L
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
16
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Popayan Popayan 25 matches
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 32 matches
Popayan Statistic Union Magdalena
7 Wins 15
9 Draws 8
9 Losses 9
32 Goals For 45
33 Goals Against 31
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
16 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 25
12 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Popayan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Union Magdalena having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Union Magdalena. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Popayan come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Popayan Analysis

Popayan sit 12 with 30 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 32:33 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 52 points from 31 matches. The record of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 44:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Popayan won 1 times, Union Magdalena won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Popayan's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
H2H summary: Popayan wins 1, draws 1, Union Magdalena wins 3

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)