ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Kaplakriki
Referee: S. H. Thrastarson
FH hafnarfjordur
Match Timeline
Stjarnan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
A. Birgisson · Assist: K. Halldorsson
FH hafnarfjordur
14'
S. T. Ingimarsson · Assist: B. Ingason
Stjarnan
36'
O. Eggertsson
Stjarnan
42'
I. Olafsson · Assist: K. Halldorsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
60'
H. Aegisson ↔ T. Thorisson
Stjarnan
🔄
70'
B. Ingason ↔ A. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
70'
O. Eggertsson ↔ D. Matthiasson
Stjarnan
🔄
76'
A. Birgisson ↔ A. Gudjohnsen
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
76'
S. Hjaltested ↔ G. Gislason
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
76'
R. Saevarsson ↔ V. Vidarsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
86'
I. Olafsson ↔ B. Jonsson
FH hafnarfjordur
🔄
87'
J. Gunnarsson ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
🟨
90+2'
B. Waren
Stjarnan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
FH hafnarfjordur Win 21.5%
Draw 7%
Stjarnan Win 71.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
FH hafnarfjordur1.64
Stjarnan2.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur
WWDLW
17 GF / 30 GA
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WLDWL
31 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
2.07
2.31
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
10
BTTS Yes
14
8
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur 13 matches
Stjarnan Stjarnan 15 matches
FH hafnarfjordur Statistic Stjarnan
1 Wins 6
5 Draws 2
7 Losses 7
17 Goals For 31
30 Goals Against 32
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
2.31 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
10 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 10
0 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stjarnan having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Stjarnan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 10 points while FH hafnarfjordur sit 12 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stjarnan. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

FH hafnarfjordur Analysis

With 2 points from 9 games and a place of 12, FH hafnarfjordur still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 12:26 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan sit 9 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 18:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FH hafnarfjordur won 2 times, Stjarnan won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:33 from FH hafnarfjordur's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: FH hafnarfjordur wins 2, draws 4, Stjarnan wins 9

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 20 8 6 6 42:37 5 30
L D L L W
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
8 20 7 3 10 38:48 -10 24
W L W W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs