FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Project Liv Arena
Referee: D. Antamo
FF Jaro
Match Timeline
VPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Antti-Ville Räisänen
VPS
12'
S. Lindholm · Assist: L. Mane
VPS
16'
S. Lindholm · Assist: J. Turfkruier
VPS
🟨
33'
Emmanuel Okereke
VPS
34'
O. Kass Kawo · Assist: H. Sjogrell
FF Jaro
🔄
46'
E. Okereke ↔ H. Salomaa
VPS
🟨
47'
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
VPS
🔄
66'
A. Vidjeskog ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
66'
J. Muzinga ↔ Y. Daoussi
VPS
🟨
70'
Fabian Östigard Ness
FF Jaro
71'
Y. Daoussi · Assist: H. Salomaa
VPS
🔄
75'
K. Harden ↔ A. Sabriye
FF Jaro
🔄
75'
J. Myrevik ↔ A. Bjonback
FF Jaro
🔄
83'
A. Raisanen ↔ R. Simpson
VPS
🔄
85'
J. Brunell ↔ V. Lofs
FF Jaro
🔄
90+2'
K. Kouassivi-Benissan ↔ C. Holmelund
VPS
🔄
90+2'
O. Ogunniyi ↔ J. Vahtera
VPS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FF Jaro Win 48.6%
Draw 5.8%
VPS Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
FF Jaro1
VPS1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WWDLW
23 GF / 43 GA
VPS VPS
WLDWL
28 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
9
2.17
Shots on Goal
1.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FF Jaro FF Jaro 23 matches
VPS VPS 22 matches
FF Jaro Statistic VPS
4 Wins 8
7 Draws 7
12 Losses 7
23 Goals For 28
43 Goals Against 22
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 6
2.17 Shots On Goal 1.72
5.61 Total Shots 4
2.22 Corners 1.78
25.9% Ball Possession 26.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around VPS's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. VPS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 27 points while FF Jaro sit 10 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward VPS. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FF Jaro expected to line up in 4-3-3 and VPS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FF Jaro Analysis

So far, FF Jaro have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 15 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 17:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Sjögrell (3 goals), R. Vikström (1 goals), with creative support from F. Østigård Ness (2 assists), H. Sjögrell (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

VPS Analysis

VPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 27 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 24:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Smyth (3 goals), Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Turfkruier (1 assists), K. Kouassivi-Benissan (1 assists), J. Muzinga (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 3 times, VPS won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:23 from FF Jaro's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: FF Jaro 4-3-3 / VPS 3-4-3
H2H summary: FF Jaro wins 3, draws 6, VPS wins 6

Lineups

FF Jaro
Formation
VPS
S. Vits
S. Vits
J. Myrevik
J. Myrevik
J. Brunell
J. Brunell
M. Ogungbaro
M. Ogungbaro
F. O. Ness
F. O. Ness
J. Skau
J. Skau
O. Kass Kawo
O. Kass Kawo
A. Vidjeskog
A. Vidjeskog
K. Harden
K. Harden
H. Sjogrell
🎯
H. Sjogrell
R. Vikstrom
R. Vikstrom
M. Jalloh
M. Jalloh
M. Niemi
M. Niemi
E. Okereke
E. Okereke
M. Haukioja
M. Haukioja
O. Ogunniyi
O. Ogunniyi
L. Mane
🎯
L. Mane
A. Raisanen
A. Raisanen
J. Turfkruier
🎯
J. Turfkruier
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
J. Muzinga
J. Muzinga
S. Lindholm
⚽ 2
S. Lindholm
FF Jaro 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
S. Vits
G
21
J. Myrevik
↓ 75'
D
6
J. Brunell
↓ 85'
D
4
M. Ogungbaro
D
19
F. O. Ness
🟨 70'
D
7
J. Skau
M
8
O. Kass Kawo
⚽ 34'
M
16
A. Vidjeskog
↓ 66'
M
22
K. Harden
↓ 75'
F
11
H. Sjogrell
🎯 34'
F
15
R. Vikstrom
F
Substitutes
12
J. Snellman
G
77
A. Sabriye
↑ 75'
2
F. Kass
D
5
A. Bjonback
↑ 75'
D
91
V. Vuorinen
M
20
T. Soderstrom
D
24
V. Lofs
↑ 85'
M
27
J. Vikstrom
↑ 66'
F
30
M. Najafi
F
VPS 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
41
M. Jalloh
G
23
M. Niemi
D
6
E. Okereke
↓ 46' 🟨 33'
D
19
M. Haukioja
D
13
O. Ogunniyi
↓ 90+2' 🟨 47'
M
2
L. Mane
🎯 12'
M
34
A. Raisanen
↓ 83' 🟨 6'
M
7
J. Turfkruier
🎯 16'
M
27
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
↓ 90+2'
F
11
J. Muzinga
↓ 66'
F
14
S. Lindholm
⚽ 12' ⚽ 16'
F
Substitutes
12
L. Vayrynen
G
25
H. Salomaa
🎯 71' ↑ 46'
3
R. Simpson
↑ 83'
D
33
A. Kuek
9
C. Holmelund
↑ 90+2'
F
30
J. Vahtera
↑ 90+2'
M
24
Y. Daoussi
⚽ 71' ↑ 66'
M
Last matches: FF Jaro
01.08.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
2
L
24.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
2
1
W
19.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
Last matches: VPS
14.08.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
1
3
L
02.08.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
1
L
25.07.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
5
1
W
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
22.05.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
09.05.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
VPS
Ilves
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
VPS
Haka
1
1
D
H2H: FF Jaro vs VPS
08.08.26
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
3
L
10.04.26
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
14.02.26
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
1
3
W
25.07.25
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
2
2
D
11.06.25
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
2
2
D
17.05.25
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
25.01.25
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
2
0
L
29.03.24
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
5
1
L
29.03.23
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
1
1
D
26.03.22
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
1
0
L
23.10.21
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
0
1
W
28.07.21
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
2
1
L
23.05.21
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
1
D
20.02.21
H2H
VPS
FF Jaro
3
1
L
Last matches: FF Jaro
24.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
2
1
W
19.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
H2H at home: FF Jaro
08.08.26
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
3
L
14.02.26
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
0
W
25.07.25
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
2
2
D
11.06.25
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
2
2
D
23.05.21
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
1
D
Last matches: VPS
25.07.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
30.05.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
14.03.26
Fri
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
H2H away: VPS
08.08.26
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
3
W
14.02.26
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
0
L
25.07.25
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
2
2
D
11.06.25
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
2
2
D
23.05.21
H2H
FF Jaro
VPS
1
1
D

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 7 1 34:17 17 40
D W W W W
2 19 9 8 2 25:14 11 35
D W L D W
3 19 9 4 6 29:23 6 31
W L W W L
4
VPS Away
20 8 6 6 28:21 7 30
L W L L L
5 19 9 3 7 22:22 0 30
L W D L L
6 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
D L W W W
7 20 8 5 7 27:22 5 29
W D W L L
8 19 7 5 7 22:16 6 26
D W L W W
9 19 7 4 8 31:31 0 25
W L W W L
10 20 4 6 10 24:31 -7 18
L D W L L
11 19 3 6 10 18:38 -20 15
L L W D W
12 20 1 5 14 11:41 -30 8
W L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)