FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
23.05.2026 14:00
Project Liv Arena
Referee: Matti Roth, Finland
FF Jaro
Match Timeline
Mariehamn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
V. Vuorinen
FF Jaro
🔄
17'
J. Myrevik ↔ A. Bjonback
FF Jaro
18'
H. Sjogrell · Assist: K. Harden
FF Jaro
🟨
33'
Emmanuel Patut
Mariehamn
🔄
46'
N. Dosis ↔ J. Nissinen
Mariehamn
🔄
46'
L. Andersson ↔ L. Pearce
Mariehamn
🟨
49'
Pontus Lindgren
Mariehamn
🟨
57'
Jesper Svenungsen Skau
FF Jaro
🔄
70'
K. Harden ↔ A. Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
🔄
71'
A. Huttunen ↔ A. Lundberg
Mariehamn
🔄
71'
S. Ngulube ↔ A. Soiniemi
Mariehamn
🔄
90'
V. Vuorinen ↔ R. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
90'
M. Pedersen ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
90'
R. Vikstrom · Assist: J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 83%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
83%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FF Jaro Win 38%
Draw 45%
Mariehamn Win 17%
Expected Goals (xG)
FF Jaro1.04
Mariehamn1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WWDLW
10 GF / 23 GA
Mariehamn Mariehamn
WLDWL
10 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
1.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FF Jaro FF Jaro 13 matches
Mariehamn Mariehamn 11 matches
FF Jaro Statistic Mariehamn
1 Wins 1
5 Draws 6
7 Losses 4
10 Goals For 10
23 Goals Against 16
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
7 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 4
2 Shots On Goal 1.71
5.63 Total Shots 4
2 Corners 1.71
30.1% Ball Possession 24.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mariehamn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FF Jaro expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Mariehamn in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mariehamn having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

FF Jaro Analysis

So far, FF Jaro have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 4 points from 7 matches. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 4:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Sjogrell (2 goals), L. Weckstrom (1 goals), Michael Ogungbaro (1 goals), with creative support from F. O. Ness (1 assists), M. Pedersen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mariehamn Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Mariehamn have collected 4 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 5:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Dahlstrom (2 goals), A. Huttunen (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Emmanuel Patut (1 assists), T. Koivisto (1 assists), Y. Amankwah (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 4 times, Mariehamn won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from FF Jaro's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (83%)
Predicted formations: FF Jaro 4-5-1 / Mariehamn 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: FF Jaro wins 4, draws 5, Mariehamn wins 6

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)