Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
83%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FF Jaro
13 matches
Mariehamn
11 matches
| FF Jaro | Statistic | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 1 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 10 | Goals For | 10 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 1.63 | Shots On Goal | 1.71 |
| 4.25 | Total Shots | 4 |
| 1.63 | Corners | 1.71 |
| 23.4% | Ball Possession | 24.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mariehamn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FF Jaro expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Mariehamn in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mariehamn having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
So far, FF Jaro have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 4 points from 7 matches. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 4:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Sjogrell (2 goals), L. Weckstrom (1 goals), Michael Ogungbaro (1 goals), with creative support from F. O. Ness (1 assists), M. Pedersen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 7 matches, Mariehamn have collected 4 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 5:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Dahlstrom (2 goals), A. Huttunen (1 goals), A. Larsson (1 goals), with creative support from Emmanuel Patut (1 assists), T. Koivisto (1 assists), Y. Amankwah (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FF Jaro won 4 times, Mariehamn won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:22 from FF Jaro's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Lineups
FF Jaro
Ilves
FF Jaro
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Ilves
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
KuPS
FF Jaro
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
Turku PS
FF Jaro
SJK
FF Jaro
KuPS
FF Jaro
VPS
FF Jaro
Lahti
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
SJK
FF Jaro
Haka
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
JBK
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
Ilves
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Mariehamn
EIF
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Mariehamn
Sleipner
FF Jaro
Ilves
FF Jaro
Gnistan
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
Turku PS
FF Jaro
KuPS
FF Jaro
Lahti
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
FF Jaro
Haka
Mariehamn
VPS
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
Lahti
Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
SJK
Mariehamn
Sandviken
Mariehamn
KuPS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 26 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 24 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 22 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 19 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 19 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 |
FF Jaro
Home
|
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 12 |
Mariehamn
Away
|
14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6:29 | -23 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|