BRAZIL SERIE C
20.09.2026 21:30
Arena Fonte Luminosa

Ferroviária vs Brusque Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.92
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.25
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.8%
1.92
BTTS Yes
82.5%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.25
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.08
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Ferroviária Win 60.8%
Draw 12%
Brusque Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferroviária1.22
Brusque1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferroviária Ferroviária
WWDLW
26 GF / 18 GA
Brusque Brusque
WLDWL
32 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.52
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
7
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferroviária Ferroviária 21 matches
Brusque Brusque 21 matches
Ferroviária Statistic Brusque
9 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
5 Losses 5
26 Goals For 32
18 Goals Against 25
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
7 BTTS Yes 14
10 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Brusque. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brusque having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ferroviária Analysis

Placed 3 with 30 points from 19 outings, Ferroviária continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 22:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Brusque Analysis

Placed 2 with 32 points from 19 outings, Brusque continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 28:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ferroviária won 1 times, Brusque won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Ferroviária's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: Ferroviária wins 1, draws 0, Brusque wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation