ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
15.08.2026 18:00
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Ferro Carril Oeste
Match Timeline
Atlanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
E. Hoyos · Assist: E. Ozuna
Ferro Carril Oeste
53'
L. Parisi · Assist: M. Kabalin
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
58'
J. Puch ↔ C. Bernardi
Atlanta
🔄
58'
B. Rivero ↔ F. Castro
Atlanta
60'
A. Quintana · Assist: G. Mendoza
Atlanta
🔄
64'
E. Dening ↔ F. Garcia
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
64'
N. Gomez ↔ A. Gonzalez
Ferro Carril Oeste
69'
F. Garcia · Assist: E. Hoyos
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
72'
M. Kabalin ↔ G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
72'
E. Hoyos ↔ L. Marra
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
75'
I. Rodriguez ↔ F. Bisanz
Atlanta
🔄
75'
G. Mendoza ↔ A. Morales
Atlanta
🔄
76'
L. Parisi ↔ M. Benegas
Ferro Carril Oeste

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atlanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 65.3%
Draw 4.7%
Atlanta Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferro Carril Oeste1.1
Atlanta1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WWDLW
28 GF / 22 GA
Atlanta Atlanta
WLDWL
29 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 24 matches
Atlanta Atlanta 24 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Statistic Atlanta
14 Wins 12
4 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
28 Goals For 29
22 Goals Against 24
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlanta having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlanta. Atlanta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 43 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a 26:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Atlanta Analysis

Atlanta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 36 points from 22 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 28:22, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Ferro Carril Oeste won 4 times, Atlanta won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Ferro Carril Oeste's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Ferro Carril Oeste wins 4, draws 1, Atlanta wins 8

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation