HUNGARY NB I
--.--.---- --:--
Groupama Arena
Referee: G. Bogar
Ferencvarosi TC
Match Timeline
Paks
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
F. Kovacevic ↔ C. O'Dowda
Ferencvarosi TC
🟨
32'
Callum O'Dowda
Ferencvarosi TC
🟨
35'
Balint Vecsei
Paks
42'
L. Joseph
Ferencvarosi TC
🟨
46'
Martin Adam
Paks
🔄
46'
J. Hahn ↔ M. Adam
Paks
🟨
57'
Marius Corbu
Ferencvarosi TC
🔄
66'
A. Szendrei ↔ D. Bode
Paks
🔄
66'
J. Windecker ↔ C. Mate
Paks
66'
L. Joseph · Assist: G. Kanichowsky
Ferencvarosi TC
🔄
77'
Z. Gruber ↔ K. Lisztes
Ferencvarosi TC
🔄
77'
K. Hinora ↔ E. Silye
Paks
🟨
80'
Dániel Böde
Paks
🟨
83'
Gergő Gyurkits
Paks
🟨
86'
Marius Corbu
Ferencvarosi TC
🟥
86'
Marius Corbu
Ferencvarosi TC
🔄
90'
L. Joseph ↔ K. Zachariassen
Ferencvarosi TC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Ferencvarosi TC Win 76.7%
Draw 9.7%
Paks Win 13.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ferencvarosi TC1.63
Paks1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
WWDLW
87 GF / 57 GA
Paks Paks
WLDWL
59 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
30
BTTS Yes
22
31
Over 2.5
21
4.35
Shots on Goal
3.72

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 48 matches
Paks Paks 36 matches
Ferencvarosi TC Statistic Paks
28 Wins 15
9 Draws 10
11 Losses 11
87 Goals For 59
57 Goals Against 49
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
30 BTTS Yes 22
41 Over 1.5 28
31 Over 2.5 21
18 Over 3.5 11
14 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 9
4.35 Shots On Goal 3.72
11.92 Total Shots 9.78
4.73 Corners 4.42
45.1% Ball Possession 31.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Paks. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ferencvarosi TC Analysis

Ferencvarosi TC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 59 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 18 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 55:29 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Varga (10 goals), Z. Gruber (9 goals), F. Kovacevic (5 goals), with creative support from M. Abu Fani (6 assists), B. Nagy (5 assists), Z. Gruber (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Paks Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 47 points from 30 games, Paks bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 54:41, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Bode (9 goals), J. Hahn (9 goals), A. Szendrei (6 goals), with creative support from E. Silye (4 assists), B. Toth (3 assists), K. Horvath (3 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ferencvarosi TC won 8 times, Paks won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:22 from Ferencvarosi TC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Ferencvarosi TC 3-5-2 / Paks 3-5-2
H2H summary: Ferencvarosi TC wins 8, draws 2, Paks wins 5
Stats
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
Paks Paks
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
7 Corner Kicks 5
15 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 4
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 4
2 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
495 Total passes 362
406 Passes accurate 268
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ferencvarosi TC
Formation
Paks
D. Dibusz
D. Dibusz
T. Raemaekers
T. Raemaekers
M. Gomez
M. Gomez
G. Szalai
G. Szalai
A. Osvath
A. Osvath
P. Rommens
P. Rommens
G. Kanichowsky
🎯
G. Kanichowsky
M. Corbu
M. Corbu
Z. Gruber
Z. Gruber
L. Joseph
⚽ 2
L. Joseph
F. Kovacevic
F. Kovacevic
M. Gyetvan
M. Gyetvan
K. Hinora
K. Hinora
A. Alaxai
A. Alaxai
G. Vas
G. Vas
B. Vecsei
B. Vecsei
M. Zeke
M. Zeke
J. Windecker
J. Windecker
G. Gyurkits
G. Gyurkits
K. Horvath
K. Horvath
A. Szendrei
A. Szendrei
J. Hahn
J. Hahn
Ferencvarosi TC 3-5-2
Starting XI
90
D. Dibusz
G
28
T. Raemaekers
D
4
M. Gomez
D
22
G. Szalai
D
14
A. Osvath
M
88
P. Rommens
M
36
G. Kanichowsky
🎯 66'
M
17
M. Corbu
🟨 57' 🟨 86' 🟥 86'
M
30
Z. Gruber
↓ 77'
M
75
L. Joseph
⚽ 42' ⚽ 66' ↓ 90'
F
19
F. Kovacevic
↓ 15'
F
Substitutes
99
D. Grof
G
16
K. Zachariassen
↑ 90'
M
66
J. Romao
M
76
K. Lisztes
↑ 77'
F
47
C. O'Dowda
↑ 15' 🟨 32'
M
5
N. Keita
M
80
H. Maiga
M
10
J. Levi
F
20
Cadu
M
25
C. Makreckis
M
77
B. Nagy
D
71
C. Lakatos
M
Paks 5-3-2
Starting XI
28
M. Gyetvan
G
17
K. Hinora
↓ 77'
3
A. Alaxai
D
12
G. Vas
D
5
B. Vecsei
🟨 35'
D
20
M. Zeke
D
22
J. Windecker
↓ 66'
M
18
G. Gyurkits
🟨 83'
M
19
K. Horvath
M
15
A. Szendrei
↓ 66'
9
J. Hahn
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Kovacsik
G
25
B. Simon
13
D. Bode
↑ 66' 🟨 80'
F
29
B. Toth
F
26
M. Szekszardi
D
23
C. Mate
↑ 66'
M
7
M. Adam
↑ 46' 🟨 46'
F
14
E. Silye
↑ 77'
D
Last matches: Ferencvarosi TC
16.05.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Zalaegerszegi TE
3
0
W
03.05.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Ujpest
5
0
W
19.04.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
0
1
L
14.04.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Puskas Academy
2
1
W
10.04.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Diosgyori VTK
3
1
W
05.04.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Debreceni VSC
2
0
W
22.03.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Kisvarda FC
1
1
D
18.03.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
SC Braga
0
4
L
12.03.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
SC Braga
2
0
W
08.03.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Nyiregyhaza
3
1
W
01.03.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Kazincbarcikai
2
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Ludogorets
2
0
W
23.02.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
MTK Budapest
3
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Ludogorets
1
2
L
14.02.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
3
L
07.02.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Ujpest
3
0
W
01.02.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
1
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Nottingham Forest
0
4
L
25.01.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
1
3
L
22.01.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
Last matches: Paks
20.06.26
Fri
Paks
Kelen
10
1
W
16.05.26
NB
Paks
Diosgyori VTK
3
1
W
03.05.26
NB
Paks
Debreceni VSC
5
2
W
19.04.26
NB
Paks
Puskas Academy
1
0
W
11.04.26
NB
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
0
2
L
04.04.26
NB
Paks
Kazincbarcikai
5
1
W
20.03.26
NB
Paks
MTK Budapest
2
0
W
14.03.26
NB
Paks
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
1
D
07.03.26
NB
Paks
Ujpest
0
0
D
28.02.26
NB
Paks
Kisvarda FC
1
2
L
22.02.26
NB
Paks
Gyori ETO FC
3
4
L
14.02.26
NB
Paks
Diosgyori VTK
1
2
L
07.02.26
NB
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
01.02.26
NB
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
24.01.26
NB
Paks
Puskas Academy
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Paks
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
13.01.26
Fri
Paks
ŁKS Łódź
0
0
D
11.01.26
Fri
Paks
Ludogorets
2
3
L
09.01.26
Fri
Paks
Sumqayıt
5
1
W
20.12.25
NB
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
2
1
W
H2H: Ferencvarosi TC vs Paks
26.04.26
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
2
0
W
01.02.26
H2H
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
2
3
W
16.02.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
0
2
L
06.10.24
H2H
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
3
1
L
15.05.24
H2H
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
2
0
L
07.04.24
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
1
0
W
10.12.23
H2H
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
3
2
L
27.08.23
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
6
1
W
08.04.23
H2H
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
3
2
L
01.02.23
H2H
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
1
3
W
09.11.22
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
3
2
W
11.05.22
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
3
0
W
Last matches: Ferencvarosi TC
16.05.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Zalaegerszegi TE
3
0
W
14.04.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Puskas Academy
2
1
W
10.04.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Diosgyori VTK
3
1
W
12.03.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
SC Braga
2
0
W
01.03.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Kazincbarcikai
2
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Ludogorets
2
0
W
07.02.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Ujpest
3
0
W
25.01.26
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
1
3
L
22.01.26
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
Ferencvarosi TC
Holstein Kiel
0
2
L
14.12.25
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
11.12.25
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Rangers
2
1
W
07.12.25
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Kisvarda FC
3
0
W
22.11.25
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Nyiregyhaza
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Ludogorets
3
1
W
01.11.25
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
MTK Budapest
4
1
W
26.10.25
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Zalaegerszegi TE
1
2
L
05.10.25
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
2
2
D
25.09.25
UEF
Ferencvarosi TC
Plzen
1
1
D
19.09.25
NB
Ferencvarosi TC
Diosgyori VTK
2
2
D
H2H at home: Ferencvarosi TC
26.04.26
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
2
0
W
05.10.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
1
1
D
16.02.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
0
2
L
07.04.24
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
1
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
6
1
W
09.11.22
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
3
2
W
11.05.22
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
3
0
W
Last matches: Paks
20.06.26
Fri
Paks
Kelen
10
1
W
16.05.26
NB
Paks
Diosgyori VTK
3
1
W
11.04.26
NB
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
0
2
L
20.03.26
NB
Paks
MTK Budapest
2
0
W
07.03.26
NB
Paks
Ujpest
0
0
D
28.02.26
NB
Paks
Kisvarda FC
1
2
L
07.02.26
NB
Paks
Debreceni VSC
0
1
L
24.01.26
NB
Paks
Puskas Academy
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Paks
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
14.12.25
NB
Paks
Kazincbarcikai
2
0
W
29.11.25
NB
Paks
Zalaegerszegi TE
0
1
L
01.11.25
NB
Paks
Gyori ETO FC
0
0
D
25.10.25
NB
Paks
Diosgyori VTK
1
2
L
05.10.25
NB
Paks
Ferencvarosi TC
2
2
D
20.09.25
NB
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
1
1
D
24.08.25
NB
Paks
MTK Budapest
3
2
W
10.08.25
NB
Paks
Ujpest
2
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
Paks
Polessya
0
3
L
03.08.25
NB
Paks
Kisvarda FC
5
1
W
31.07.25
UEF
Paks
Maribor
1
1
D
H2H away: Paks
26.04.26
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
2
0
L
05.10.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
2
2
D
14.05.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
1
1
D
16.02.25
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
0
2
W
07.04.24
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
1
0
L
27.08.23
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
6
1
L
09.11.22
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
3
2
L
11.05.22
H2H
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
3
0
L

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 65:30 35 69
W W D W W
2 33 21 5 7 67:31 36 68
W W W L W
3
Paks Away
33 15 8 10 63:46 17 53
W W L W L
4 33 14 11 8 51:41 10 53
W L D W D
5 33 13 9 11 49:43 6 48
L L L W L
6 33 13 7 13 43:43 0 46
D W W L L
7 33 11 7 15 48:57 -9 40
L L L W W
8 33 11 7 15 36:49 -13 40
L L L L D
9 33 10 10 13 47:57 -10 40
D D W L W
10 33 9 11 13 55:62 -7 38
D D D W W
11 33 6 10 17 39:65 -26 28
L L W L L
12 33 6 4 23 31:70 -39 22
D W D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - NB II.