URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
16.08.2026 18:00
Parque Capurro
Fenix
Match Timeline
Plaza Colonia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
F. Fernandez
Fenix
21'
V. Amoroso
Plaza Colonia
33'
H. Vergara
Plaza Colonia
45+1'
N. Gonzalez
Plaza Colonia
66'
L. Carrizo
Plaza Colonia

Fenix vs Plaza Colonia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fenix Win 56.4%
Draw 10.4%
Plaza Colonia Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fenix1.2
Plaza Colonia1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fenix Fenix
WWDLW
30 GF / 20 GA
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WLDWL
25 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
13
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fenix Fenix 20 matches
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 19 matches
Fenix Statistic Plaza Colonia
8 Wins 9
8 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
30 Goals For 25
20 Goals Against 14
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
13 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Plaza Colonia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Plaza Colonia having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Fenix Analysis

Fenix come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 11 points after 6 matches. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 12 points from 6 games, Plaza Colonia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fenix won 2 times, Plaza Colonia won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:26 from Fenix's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
H2H summary: Fenix wins 2, draws 6, Plaza Colonia wins 7

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3
Fenix Home
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D