URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Parque Capurro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.32
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.69
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
2.32
BTTS No
65.8%
1.69
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 1-0
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Fenix Win 56.4%
Draw 10.4%
Plaza Colonia Win 33.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fenix1.2
Plaza Colonia1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fenix Fenix
WWDLW
30 GF / 20 GA
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WLDWL
25 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
13
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fenix Fenix 20 matches
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 19 matches
Fenix Statistic Plaza Colonia
8 Wins 9
8 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
30 Goals For 25
20 Goals Against 14
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
13 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Plaza Colonia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Plaza Colonia having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Fenix Analysis

Fenix come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 11 points after 6 matches. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 12 points from 6 games, Plaza Colonia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:2, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fenix won 3 times, Plaza Colonia won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Fenix's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
H2H summary: Fenix wins 3, draws 6, Plaza Colonia wins 6
Last matches: Fenix
08.08.26
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
0
D
02.08.26
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
1
1
D
26.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
1
0
W
13.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Paysandu
0
1
L
05.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
27.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo
2
3
L
20.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
2
2
D
13.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Colón
1
1
D
06.06.26
Seg
Fenix
CA River Plate
3
1
W
31.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Rentistas
1
1
D
25.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Miramar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
1
2
L
09.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
02.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
1
0
W
27.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
4
1
W
19.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
1
2
L
12.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
4
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
3
2
W
22.03.26
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
0
D
15.03.26
Seg
Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
10.08.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
1
1
D
01.08.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
3
0
W
25.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
11.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
2
3
L
04.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
0
1
L
20.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atenas
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
2
1
W
05.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Sportivo Huracan
0
0
D
30.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
22.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
3
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
0
W
17.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
3
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
0
2
L
H2H: Fenix vs Plaza Colonia
09.05.26
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
0
1
W
13.10.23
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
1
4
L
24.06.23
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
1
1
D
05.03.23
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
3
1
L
05.09.22
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
25.02.22
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
1
1
D
14.11.21
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
1
1
D
01.08.21
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
29.01.21
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
3
3
D
07.03.20
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
1
1
D
19.10.19
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
17.08.19
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
31.03.19
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
2
2
D
12.09.17
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
1
3
W
26.02.17
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
4
1
W
Last matches: Fenix
08.08.26
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
0
D
26.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
1
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
2
2
D
06.06.26
Seg
Fenix
CA River Plate
3
1
W
31.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Rentistas
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
1
2
L
02.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
1
0
W
12.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
4
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
3
2
W
22.03.26
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
0
D
26.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
1
2
L
10.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
4
2
W
27.09.25
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
2
L
15.09.25
Seg
Fenix
Colón
0
1
L
30.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
2
1
W
19.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Albion FC
0
3
L
16.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Artigas
1
3
L
27.07.25
Seg
Fenix
Central Espanol
2
0
W
12.07.25
Seg
Fenix
Rentistas
0
0
D
H2H at home: Fenix
13.10.23
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
1
4
L
05.09.22
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
01.08.21
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
29.01.21
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
3
3
D
19.10.19
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
17.08.19
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
26.02.17
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
4
1
W
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
10.08.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
1
1
D
25.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
11.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
2
3
L
28.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
0
1
L
14.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
1
D
22.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
2
0
W
05.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Boston River
1
6
L
06.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Penarol
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Wanderers
0
0
D
16.11.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
1
W
04.11.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
1
0
W
13.10.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Albion FC
1
2
L
H2H away: Plaza Colonia
13.10.23
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
1
4
W
05.09.22
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
01.08.21
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
29.01.21
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
3
3
D
19.10.19
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
2
W
17.08.19
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
26.02.17
H2H
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
4
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.01
Draw 3.04
Home 2.32
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.87
Over 2.25 2.19
Over 2.5 2.48
Over 2.75 2.99
Under 1.25 3.27
Under 1.5 2.54
Under 1.75 2.24
Under 2.0 1.92
Under 2.25 1.65
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.35
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.00
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 1.95
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.53
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.94
Home 2.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 1.87
Home 3.07
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.53
Draw 2.16
Home 2.74
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.09
Over 1.25 1.26
Over 1.5 1.43
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.77
Over 2.25 2.10
Over 2.5 2.41
Over 2.75 2.83
Over 3.0 3.78
Over 3.25 4.20
Over 3.5 4.60
Over 4.0 8.70
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Under 0.5 6.60
Under 0.75 5.59
Under 1.0 5.30
Under 1.25 3.20
Under 1.5 2.46
Under 1.75 2.15
Under 2.0 1.85
Under 2.25 1.64
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.33
Under 3.0 1.19
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.13
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 2.95
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.02
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 3.5 3.80
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 3.5 1.19

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3
Fenix Home
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D