URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Parque Capurro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Fenix Win 41.8%
Draw 15.3%
Atenas Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fenix1.54
Atenas1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fenix Fenix
WWDLW
28 GF / 19 GA
Atenas Atenas
WLDWL
23 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
12
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fenix Fenix 17 matches
Atenas Atenas 16 matches
Fenix Statistic Atenas
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 2
4 Losses 7
28 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 22
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
12 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atenas. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atenas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 19 points while Fenix sit 5 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atenas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Fenix Analysis

Placed 5 with 13 points from 9 outings, Fenix continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Atenas Analysis

Atenas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 19 points after 9 matches. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 17:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Fenix won 3 times, Atenas won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Fenix's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
H2H summary: Fenix wins 3, draws 0, Atenas wins 4
Last matches: Fenix
13.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Paysandu
0
1
L
05.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
27.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo
2
3
L
20.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
2
2
D
13.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Colón
1
1
D
06.06.26
Seg
Fenix
CA River Plate
3
1
W
31.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Rentistas
1
1
D
25.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Miramar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
1
2
L
09.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
02.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
1
0
W
27.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
4
1
W
19.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
1
2
L
12.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
4
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
3
2
W
22.03.26
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
0
D
15.03.26
Seg
Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
1
2
L
18.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Central Espanol
1
2
L
10.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
4
2
W
Last matches: Atenas
12.07.26
Seg
Atenas
Rentistas
1
3
L
06.07.26
Seg
Atenas
Miramar
1
1
D
27.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
14.06.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
4
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
Atenas
CA River Plate
2
0
W
23.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Paysandu
3
2
W
17.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
08.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
27.04.26
Seg
Atenas
Fenix
1
4
L
18.04.26
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
0
1
L
21.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
3
L
15.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
29.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
22.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
15.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
2
2
D
09.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
H2H: Fenix vs Atenas
27.04.26
H2H
Atenas
Fenix
1
4
W
26.10.25
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
1
2
L
03.08.25
H2H
Atenas
Fenix
1
0
L
21.10.18
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
2
1
W
22.04.18
H2H
Atenas
Fenix
3
1
L
11.04.15
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
3
2
W
05.10.14
H2H
Atenas
Fenix
3
0
L
Last matches: Fenix
05.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
2
2
D
06.06.26
Seg
Fenix
CA River Plate
3
1
W
31.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Rentistas
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
1
2
L
02.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
1
0
W
12.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
4
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
3
2
W
22.03.26
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
0
D
26.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
1
2
L
10.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
4
2
W
27.09.25
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
2
L
15.09.25
Seg
Fenix
Colón
0
1
L
30.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
2
1
W
19.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Albion FC
0
3
L
16.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Artigas
1
3
L
27.07.25
Seg
Fenix
Central Espanol
2
0
W
12.07.25
Seg
Fenix
Rentistas
0
0
D
29.06.25
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
3
2
W
15.06.25
Seg
Fenix
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
H2H at home: Fenix
26.10.25
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
1
2
L
21.10.18
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
2
1
W
11.04.15
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
3
2
W
Last matches: Atenas
06.07.26
Seg
Atenas
Miramar
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
07.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
Atenas
CA River Plate
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
04.04.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
1
2
L
21.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
3
L
15.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
22.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
09.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
Atenas
Fenix
2
1
W
12.10.25
Seg
Atenas
Artigas
7
1
W
06.10.25
Seg
Atenas
Central Espanol
1
0
W
20.09.25
Seg
Atenas
Rentistas
0
2
L
06.09.25
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
3
0
W
23.08.25
Seg
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
16.08.25
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
27.07.25
Seg
Atenas
Rampla Juniors
2
1
W
05.07.25
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
24.06.25
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
1
1
D
H2H away: Atenas
26.10.25
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
1
2
W
21.10.18
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
2
1
L
11.04.15
H2H
Fenix
Atenas
3
2
L

Standings

Segunda Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 7 6 3 23:21 2 27
W D W L L
2 16 7 4 5 19:13 6 25
L W L L W
3 16 6 7 3 23:18 5 25
D L D D W
4
Fenix Home
15 6 6 3 27:18 9 24
W L D D W
5 16 6 6 4 18:14 4 24
W W D W D
6 16 7 2 7 23:22 1 23
L D W W W
7 16 6 5 5 17:18 -1 23
W L W W L
8 16 5 7 4 17:18 -1 22
L L L W W
9 16 6 3 7 23:29 -6 21
W W D L W
10 16 4 6 6 17:19 -2 18
L D W L W
11 16 4 5 7 17:20 -3 17
D L W L L
12 15 3 8 4 11:14 -3 17
L D W L L
13 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L W L W
14 15 3 2 10 15:22 -7 11
W L L L W
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)