Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
59.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Fenerbahçe
Başakşehir
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fenerbahçe
47 matches
Başakşehir
37 matches
| Fenerbahçe | Statistic | Başakşehir |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wins | 17 |
| 14 | Draws | 10 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 90 | Goals For | 63 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 19 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.66 | Shots On Goal | 4.51 |
| 15.47 | Total Shots | 12.68 |
| 6.26 | Corners | 4.78 |
| 57.2% | Ball Possession | 54.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Başakşehir. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Fenerbahçe approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 67 points after 31 outings. They have recorded 19 wins, 10 draws, and 2 losses, with a 68:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Talisca (16 goals), M. Asensio (11 goals), Dorgeles Nene (9 goals), with creative support from M. Asensio (12 assists), K. Akturkoglu (5 assists), Talisca (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Başakşehir arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 51 points after 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 52:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Shomurodov (20 goals), D. Selke (9 goals), B. Yildirim (7 goals), with creative support from Yusuf Sarı (6 assists), Miguel Crespo (5 assists), E. Shomurodov (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fenerbahçe won 11 times, Başakşehir won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:12 from Fenerbahçe's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Fenerbahçe
9
4
5
8
8
3
Lineups
Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
Lask Linz
Fenerbahçe
Pogon Szczecin
Fenerbahçe
Admira Wacker
Fenerbahçe
Eyüpspor
Fenerbahçe
Konyaspor
Fenerbahçe
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Rizespor
Fenerbahçe
Kayserispor
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Gaziantep FK
Fenerbahçe
Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Antalyaspor
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahçe
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
Inter Turku
Başakşehir
Puskas Academy
Başakşehir
Red Bull Salzburg
Başakşehir
Ried
Başakşehir
Cracovia Krakow
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
Başakşehir
Galatasaray
Başakşehir
Göztepe
Başakşehir
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Alanyaspor
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
Başakşehir
Eyüpspor
Başakşehir
Rizespor
Başakşehir
Kayserispor
Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
Pogon Szczecin
Fenerbahçe
Eyüpspor
Fenerbahçe
Rizespor
Fenerbahçe
Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe
Gaziantep FK
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Kasımpaşa
Fenerbahçe
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe
Göztepe
Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Konyaspor
Fenerbahçe
Galatasaray
Fenerbahçe
Ferencvarosi TC
Fenerbahçe
Kayserispor
Fenerbahçe
VfB Stuttgart
Fenerbahçe
Fatih Karagümrük
Fenerbahçe
Nice
Başakşehir
Puskas Academy
Başakşehir
Red Bull Salzburg
Başakşehir
Ried
Başakşehir
Cracovia Krakow
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
Başakşehir
Galatasaray
Başakşehir
Alanyaspor
Başakşehir
Eyüpspor
Başakşehir
Kayserispor
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
Başakşehir
Rizespor
Başakşehir
Göztepe
Başakşehir
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Fatih Karagümrük
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 77 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Fenerbahçe
Home
|
34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 40 | 74 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 22 | 69 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 19 | 60 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Başakşehir
Away
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 23 | 57 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 10 | 55 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 1 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | -12 | 37 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 37 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | -16 | 35 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | -11 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 32 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | -35 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | -23 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
L
|