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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
24.10.2026 12:00
Sportpark Hohenberg

FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Viktoria Köln Win 74%
Draw 4.2%
Verl Win 21.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Viktoria Köln2.46
Verl1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln
WWDLW
52 GF / 26 GA
Verl Verl
WLDWL
31 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.89
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.81
12
BTTS Yes
10
17
Over 2.5
12
3.89
Shots on Goal
5.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 18 matches
Verl Verl 16 matches
FC Viktoria Köln Statistic Verl
12 Wins 7
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 6
52 Goals For 31
26 Goals Against 29
2.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.81
12 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
17 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
3.89 Shots On Goal 5.44
10 Total Shots 12.78
3.67 Corners 4.67
36% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Viktoria Köln's more proactive style and Verl's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Viktoria Köln come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Verl. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Viktoria Köln expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Verl in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Verl having the stronger overall control. FC Viktoria Köln arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 19 points compared to Verl in 11 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

FC Viktoria Köln Analysis

FC Viktoria Köln come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 19 points after 9 matches. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:13, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by N. Castelle (1 goals), L. Wolf (1 goals), with creative support from N. Castelle (1 assists), P. Fallmann (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Verl Analysis

Verl sit 11 with 12 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 14:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Waidner (2 goals), with creative support from T. Heike (1 assists), A. Leipold (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, FC Viktoria Köln won 4 times, Verl won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from FC Viktoria Köln's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.62 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Viktoria Köln 4-4-2 / Verl 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Viktoria Köln wins 4, draws 5, Verl wins 4

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 26:11 15 24
W W W W L
2 9 6 1 2 26:13 13 19
D W W W W
3 10 5 3 2 18:13 5 18
L W D D W
4 10 5 2 3 24:17 7 17
W L D W D
5 10 4 3 3 17:19 -2 15
L L W D W
6 10 4 2 4 17:18 -1 14
W W D D L
7 10 4 2 4 15:16 -1 14
W L L W L
8 10 4 2 4 13:15 -2 14
W W L L L
9 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
L W D L W
10 9 4 1 4 18:14 4 13
L L W W D
11 10 4 1 5 16:16 0 13
L L W W L
12 10 3 3 4 18:21 -3 12
L L D L D
13
Verl Away
9 3 3 3 14:17 -3 12
D D W D W
14 10 3 3 4 12:15 -3 12
D W W L W
15 10 3 3 4 12:18 -6 12
W D L L D
16 10 3 2 5 15:19 -4 11
W D L L W
17 10 2 4 4 20:19 1 10
D D W D L
18 10 2 4 4 8:11 -3 10
L L D W L
19 9 3 1 5 11:16 -5 10
W D L L L
20 9 1 2 6 12:22 -10 5
D L L L D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation