Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
FC Tokyo Win 57.8%
Draw 5.8%
Nagoya Grampus Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Tokyo1.64
Nagoya Grampus1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Tokyo
WWDLW
35 GF / 24 GA
Nagoya Grampus
WLDWL
34 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
12
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
14
5.3
Shots on Goal
4.75
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Tokyo
21 matches
Nagoya Grampus
20 matches
| FC Tokyo | Statistic | Nagoya Grampus |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 6 |
| 35 | Goals For | 34 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.75 |
| 15.8 | Total Shots | 13.6 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Tokyo won 6 times, Nagoya Grampus won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from FC Tokyo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Tokyo 4-4-2 / Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: FC Tokyo wins 6, draws 5, Nagoya Grampus wins 4
Last matches: FC Tokyo
29.08.26
J1
FC Tokyo
V-varen Nagasaki
3
0
W
21.08.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
15.08.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
08.08.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
1
5
L
01.08.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Borussia Dortmund
0
1
L
06.06.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
30.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
0
1
L
16.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
3
1
W
24.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
11.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
1
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
01.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
29.08.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
22.08.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
3
1
W
15.08.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kashima
1
2
L
08.08.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Nagoya Grampus
Consadole Sapporo
0
1
L
06.06.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
30.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
4
L
17.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
1
6
L
10.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
29.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
2
3
L
04.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
0
3
L
H2H: FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus
21.07.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
31.08.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
26.02.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
4
1
W
15.05.24
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
3
1
L
24.06.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
29.10.22
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
2
1
L
20.04.22
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
10.10.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
06.10.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
3
1
L
22.09.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
03.04.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
15.11.20
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
1
0
L
02.09.20
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
3
0
W
Last matches: FC Tokyo
21.08.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
08.08.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
1
5
L
01.08.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Borussia Dortmund
0
1
L
06.06.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
1
3
L
10.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3
L
02.05.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
24.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Mito Hollyhock
5
2
W
05.04.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
07.03.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashiwa Reysol
0
2
L
14.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Urawa
1
1
D
07.02.26
J1
FC Tokyo
Kashima
1
1
D
18.01.26
Fri
FC Tokyo
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
3
W
H2H at home: FC Tokyo
21.07.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
26.02.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
4
1
W
24.06.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
0
W
20.04.22
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
10.10.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
W
22.09.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
02.09.20
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
3
0
W
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
15.08.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kashima
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Nagoya Grampus
Consadole Sapporo
0
1
L
06.06.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
23.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
4
L
17.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
1
6
L
03.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
25.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
5
1
W
01.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
15.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
H2H away: Nagoya Grampus
21.07.26
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
L
26.02.25
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
L
14.09.24
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
4
1
L
24.06.23
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
0
L
20.04.22
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
10.10.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
L
22.09.21
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
1
1
D
02.09.20
H2H
FC Tokyo
Nagoya Grampus
3
0
L