SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
18.04.2026 18:30
Stockhorn Arena
Referee: M. Turkes
FC Thun
Match Timeline
FC Basel 1893
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Genís Montolio
FC Thun
🟨
27'
Ibrahim Salah
FC Basel 1893
28'
C. Ibayi · Assist: E. Rastoder
FC Thun
🔄
46'
I. Salah ↔ J. Duranville
FC Basel 1893
53'
M. Heule · Assist: K. Imeri
FC Thun
56'
J. Duranville · Assist: A. Ajeti
FC Basel 1893
🟨
58'
Leo Leroy
FC Basel 1893
🔄
59'
N. Vouilloz ↔ K. Ruegg
FC Basel 1893
🔄
63'
K. Imeri ↔ M. Kait
FC Thun
🔄
63'
F. Meichtry ↔ N. Rupp
FC Thun
64'
E. Rastoder · Assist: M. Heule
FC Thun
🔄
69'
L. Leroy ↔ K. Koindredi
FC Basel 1893
🔄
69'
A. Ajeti ↔ G. Koloto
FC Basel 1893
🔄
74'
J. Roth ↔ B. Labeau
FC Thun
🔄
74'
C. Ibayi ↔ V. Matoshi
FC Thun
🟨
80'
Xherdan Shaqiri
FC Basel 1893
🟨
90+3'
Marco Burki
FC Thun
🔄
90'
M. Heule ↔ M. Burki
FC Thun
🔄
90'
Metinho ↔ M. Broschinski
FC Basel 1893

FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
83.3%
-
Probability Distribution
FC Thun Win 70%
Draw 0%
FC Basel 1893 Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Thun1.9
FC Basel 18931.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Thun FC Thun
WWDLW
72 GF / 36 GA
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
WLDWL
60 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
23
BTTS Yes
26
25
Over 2.5
24
6.03
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Thun FC Thun 32 matches
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 42 matches
FC Thun Statistic FC Basel 1893
23 Wins 17
2 Draws 9
7 Losses 16
72 Goals For 60
36 Goals Against 58
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
23 BTTS Yes 26
27 Over 1.5 35
25 Over 2.5 24
13 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 9
6.03 Shots On Goal 5.43
17.5 Total Shots 15.14
6 Corners 5.29
46.7% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Basel 1893. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Thun expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Basel 1893 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Basel 1893 having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Thun arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 71 points compared to FC Basel 1893 in 4 on 53, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Thun Analysis

FC Thun arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 71 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 23 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 72:36 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Rastoder (12 goals), L. Bertone (10 goals), C. Ibayi (9 goals), with creative support from F. Fehr (7 assists), Kastriot Imeri (6 assists), E. Rastoder (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FC Basel 1893 Analysis

FC Basel 1893 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 53 points after 32 matches. The return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 50:42, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Xherdan Shaqiri (11 goals), Bénie Traoré (9 goals), P. Otele (5 goals), with creative support from Xherdan Shaqiri (10 assists), D. Schmid (5 assists), P. Otele (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Thun won 5 times, FC Basel 1893 won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:30 from FC Thun's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC Thun 4-4-2 / FC Basel 1893 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Thun wins 5, draws 2, FC Basel 1893 wins 8

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 24 2 7 75:37 38 74
D L L L L
2 33 17 9 7 64:40 24 60
D W W L W
3 33 16 9 8 50:38 12 57
W D L W W
4 33 15 8 10 51:45 6 53
L L L W L
5 33 13 13 7 51:35 16 52
D D W W W
6 33 13 9 11 65:60 5 48
D W W L L
7 33 10 10 13 64:61 3 40
W W D W W
8 33 9 13 11 57:57 0 40
W W D W W
9 33 10 9 14 47:57 -10 39
L L L L W
10 33 10 4 19 45:63 -18 34
L L W D L
11 33 6 9 18 40:65 -25 27
W D W W L
12 33 4 7 22 35:86 -51 19
L L W D L
Championship round
Relegation Round