Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
83.3%
|
- |
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Thun
32 matches
FC Basel 1893
42 matches
| FC Thun | Statistic | FC Basel 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 17 |
| 2 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 16 |
| 72 | Goals For | 60 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 2.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 6.03 | Shots On Goal | 5.43 |
| 17.5 | Total Shots | 15.14 |
| 6 | Corners | 5.29 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Basel 1893. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Thun expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Basel 1893 in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Basel 1893 having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. FC Thun arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 71 points compared to FC Basel 1893 in 4 on 53, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
FC Thun arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 71 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 23 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 72:36 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Rastoder (12 goals), L. Bertone (10 goals), C. Ibayi (9 goals), with creative support from F. Fehr (7 assists), Kastriot Imeri (6 assists), E. Rastoder (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
FC Basel 1893 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 53 points after 32 matches. The return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 50:42, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Xherdan Shaqiri (11 goals), Bénie Traoré (9 goals), P. Otele (5 goals), with creative support from Xherdan Shaqiri (10 assists), D. Schmid (5 assists), P. Otele (4 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Thun won 5 times, FC Basel 1893 won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:32 from FC Thun's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
FC Thun
8
5
2
6
7
6
Lineups
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
FC Thun
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Thun
SV Elversberg
FC Thun
Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
FC Thun
FC Sion
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
FC Thun
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Zurich
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
FC Luzern
FC Thun
FC Winterthur
FC Thun
FC Sion
FC Thun
Lausanne
FC Thun
Servette FC
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Juventus
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
Yverdon Sport
FC Basel 1893
Rapperswil
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Thun
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Vaduz
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
Servette FC
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
Grasshoppers
FC Basel 1893
Lausanne
FC Basel 1893
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
FC Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
FC Thun
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Thun
SV Elversberg
FC Thun
Neuchatel Xamax FC
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
FC Thun
FC Lugano
FC Thun
Grasshoppers
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
FC Luzern
FC Thun
FC Sion
FC Thun
Lausanne
FC Thun
BSC Young Boys
FC Thun
FC WIL 1900
FC Thun
Rapperswil
FC Thun
FC Zurich
FC Thun
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
FC Luzern
FC Thun
FC Lugano
FC Thun
FC Sion
FC Thun
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
Rapperswil
FC Basel 1893
FC Lugano
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
FC ST. Gallen
FC Basel 1893
Lausanne
FC Basel 1893
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC Sion
FC Basel 1893
FC Zurich
FC Basel 1893
Red Bull Salzburg
FC Basel 1893
Slavia Praha
FC Basel 1893
FC Luzern
FC Basel 1893
FC Winterthur
FC Basel 1893
Genk
FC Basel 1893
Grasshoppers
FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys
FC Basel 1893
Lausanne
FC Basel 1893
Lyon
FC Basel 1893
Servette FC
FC Basel 1893
SC Freiburg
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Thun
Home
|
33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 24 | 60 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 12 | 57 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FC Basel 1893
Away
|
33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 52 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 5 | 48 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 3 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 0 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | -10 | 39 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | -18 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | -25 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | -51 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|