GERMANY 2. BUNDESLIGA
09.08.2026 11:30
Millerntor-Stadion
Referee: Harm Osmers, Germany
FC St. Pauli
Match Timeline
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
46'
M. Mathisen · Assist: B. Hrgota
FC St. Pauli
51'
F. Klaus · Assist: J. Dehm
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🟨
61'
Arkadiusz Pyrka
FC St. Pauli
🔄
70'
O. Pohlmann ↔ A. Keller
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
73'
T. Hara ↔ R. Jones
FC St. Pauli
🔄
76'
S. Banse ↔ D. Arifi
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
76'
F. Klaus ↔ O. Sillah
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
79'
A. Pyrka ↔ R. Jansson
FC St. Pauli
🔄
85'
M. Rasmussen ↔ E. Smith
FC St. Pauli
🔄
85'
L. Oppie ↔ E. Ahlstrand
FC St. Pauli
🔄
87'
J. Dehm ↔ L. Reich
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔄
87'
S. Appelkamp ↔ M. Wallentowitz
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC St. Pauli Win 44.4%
Draw 4.9%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC St. Pauli1.94
SpVgg Greuther Fürth1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WWDLW
18 GF / 11 GA
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLDWL
14 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.57
Average Goals Scored
2
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 7 matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 7 matches
FC St. Pauli Statistic SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 3
18 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 7
2.57 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC St. Pauli won 5 times, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from FC St. Pauli's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2 / SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-4-2
H2H summary: FC St. Pauli wins 5, draws 4, SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins 6

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 15:6 9 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 15:6 9 13
W D W W W
3 5 4 0 1 12:10 2 12
W W W L W
4 5 3 0 2 10:8 2 9
W L W W L
5 5 2 2 1 10:7 3 8
L D W W D
6 5 2 2 1 5:4 1 8
L W W D D
7 5 2 1 2 13:12 1 7
W D L L W
8 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
D W L W L
9 5 1 3 1 7:7 0 6
W D L D D
10 5 2 0 3 8:11 -3 6
L W W L L
11 5 1 2 2 8:10 -2 5
D L W L D
12 5 1 2 2 6:11 -5 5
L D L D W
13 5 1 1 3 12:12 0 4
D L L L W
14 5 1 1 3 8:10 -2 4
L D L W L
15 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
L D W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:8 -4 4
W L L L D
17 5 1 1 3 7:12 -5 4
D L L W L
18 5 0 3 2 6:9 -3 3
L D L D D
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