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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
27.09.2025 13:30
Millerntor-Stadion
Referee: Martin Petersen, Germany
FC St. Pauli
Match Timeline
Bayer Leverkusen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Jarell Quansah
Bayer Leverkusen
⚽
25'
E. Tapsoba
Bayer Leverkusen
⚽
32'
H. Wahl
FC St. Pauli
🔄
46'
R. Andrich ↔ E. Fernandez
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
50'
Joel Chima Fujita
FC St. Pauli
🔄
56'
A. Tape ↔ Lucas
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
56'
E. Ben Seghir ↔ E. Poku
Bayer Leverkusen
⚽
58'
E. Poku · Assist: A. Grimaldo
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
60'
Lucas Vázquez
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
68'
L. Ritzka ↔ A. Dzwigala
FC St. Pauli
🔄
68'
A. Hountondji ↔ M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli
🔄
75'
M. Tillman ↔ J. Hofmann
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
80'
J. Fujita ↔ C. Metcalfe
FC St. Pauli
🔄
81'
M. Pereira Lage ↔ O. Afolayan
FC St. Pauli
🟨
86'
Eric Smith
FC St. Pauli
🔄
87'
M. Saliakas ↔ A. Ceesay
FC St. Pauli
🔄
89'
P. Schick ↔ C. Kofane
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
90+8'
Abdoulie Ceesay
FC St. Pauli
🟨
90+9'
Christian Kofane
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
90+2'
Loïc Badé
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
90+2'
Ezequiel Fernández
Bayer Leverkusen

FC St. Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
FC St. Pauli Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bayer Leverkusen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC St. Pauli1.77
Bayer Leverkusen1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
2
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
4
5.5
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 4 matches
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 5 matches
FC St. Pauli Statistic Bayer Leverkusen
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
7 Goals For 10
6 Goals Against 9
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
2 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
5.5 Shots On Goal 5.4
12.5 Total Shots 12.6
4.25 Corners 5
51.5% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, FC St. Pauli won 0 times, Bayer Leverkusen won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:15 from FC St. Pauli's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

Predicted formations: FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2 / Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: FC St. Pauli wins 0, draws 1, Bayer Leverkusen wins 6

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
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