Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
18.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC ST. Gallen
37 matches
FC Thun
37 matches
| FC ST. Gallen | Statistic | FC Thun |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 24 |
| 9 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 71 | Goals For | 79 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.14 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 28 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.57 | Shots On Goal | 5.81 |
| 15.89 | Total Shots | 16.95 |
| 5.49 | Corners | 5.73 |
| 44.6% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Thun. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Thun arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC ST. Gallen expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and FC Thun in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Thun having the stronger overall control.
Operating from 2 place with 66 points from 36 games, FC ST. Gallen bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:45, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Vogt (15 goals), C. Boukhalfa (11 goals), A. Balde (10 goals), with creative support from Lukas Görtler (6 assists), C. Witzig (4 assists), A. Vogt (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
FC Thun approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 1 with 74 points from 36 matches. Their record of 24 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 76:43, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through E. Rastoder (13 goals), C. Ibayi (10 goals), L. Bertone (10 goals), with creative support from Kastriot Imeri (7 assists), F. Fehr (7 assists), E. Rastoder (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 12 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC ST. Gallen won 6 times, FC Thun won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:22 from FC ST. Gallen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Thun
Away
|
33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 2 |
FC ST. Gallen
Home
|
33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 24 | 60 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 12 | 57 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 52 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 5 | 48 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 3 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 0 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | -10 | 39 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | -18 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | -25 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | -51 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|