SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Kybunpark
Referee: J. von Mandach
FC ST. Gallen
Match Timeline
FC Thun
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Chima Okoroji
FC ST. Gallen
🟨
43'
Corsin Konietzke
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
46'
D. Besio ↔ A. Vogt
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
64'
C. Boukhalfa ↔ B. Fazliji
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
64'
L. Daschner ↔ C. Witzig
FC ST. Gallen
65'
C. Konietzke
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
66'
L. Dahler ↔ F. Fehr
FC Thun
🔄
67'
V. Matoshi ↔ F. Meichtry
FC Thun
🟨
68'
Kastriot Imeri
FC Thun
73'
M. Heule · Assist: K. Imeri
FC Thun
🟨
76'
Betim Fazliji
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
77'
C. Konietzke ↔ J. Quintilla
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
77'
H. Vandermersch ↔ J. Ruiz
FC ST. Gallen
🔄
77'
B. Labeau ↔ F. Dursun
FC Thun
🔄
77'
K. Imeri ↔ N. Reichmuth
FC Thun
🔄
89'
E. Rastoder ↔ M. Gutbub
FC Thun
🟨
90+7'
Michael Heule
FC Thun

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC ST. Gallen Win 73%
Draw 0%
FC Thun Win 27.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC ST. Gallen1.7
FC Thun1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen
WWDLW
71 GF / 46 GA
FC Thun FC Thun
WLDWL
79 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
2.14
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
27
BTTS Yes
26
27
Over 2.5
28
5.57
Shots on Goal
5.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC ST. Gallen FC ST. Gallen 37 matches
FC Thun FC Thun 37 matches
FC ST. Gallen Statistic FC Thun
20 Wins 24
9 Draws 2
8 Losses 11
71 Goals For 79
46 Goals Against 51
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.14
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
27 BTTS Yes 26
32 Over 1.5 31
27 Over 2.5 28
14 Over 3.5 16
8 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
5.57 Shots On Goal 5.81
15.89 Total Shots 16.95
5.49 Corners 5.73
44.6% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Thun. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Thun arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC ST. Gallen expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and FC Thun in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Thun having the stronger overall control.

FC ST. Gallen Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 66 points from 36 games, FC ST. Gallen bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 68:45, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Vogt (15 goals), C. Boukhalfa (11 goals), A. Balde (10 goals), with creative support from Lukas Görtler (6 assists), C. Witzig (4 assists), A. Vogt (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FC Thun Analysis

FC Thun approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 1 with 74 points from 36 matches. Their record of 24 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 76:43, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through E. Rastoder (13 goals), C. Ibayi (10 goals), L. Bertone (10 goals), with creative support from Kastriot Imeri (7 assists), F. Fehr (7 assists), E. Rastoder (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 12 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC ST. Gallen won 6 times, FC Thun won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:22 from FC ST. Gallen's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: FC ST. Gallen 3-1-4-2 / FC Thun 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: FC ST. Gallen wins 6, draws 4, FC Thun wins 5

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 24 2 7 75:37 38 74
D L L L L
2 33 17 9 7 64:40 24 60
D W W L W
3 33 16 9 8 50:38 12 57
W D L W W
4 33 15 8 10 51:45 6 53
L L L W L
5 33 13 13 7 51:35 16 52
D D W W W
6 33 13 9 11 65:60 5 48
D W W L L
7 33 10 10 13 64:61 3 40
W W D W W
8 33 9 13 11 57:57 0 40
W W D W W
9 33 10 9 14 47:57 -10 39
L L L L W
10 33 10 4 19 45:63 -18 34
L L W D L
11 33 6 9 18 40:65 -25 27
W D W W L
12 33 4 7 22 35:86 -51 19
L L W D L
Championship round
Relegation Round