SWITZERLAND SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de Tourbillon
Referee: M. Turkes
FC Sion
Match Timeline
FC Lugano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Anto Grgić
FC Lugano
31'
G. Koutsias · Assist: M. Belhadj
FC Lugano
🟨
51'
Nias Hefti
FC Sion
🟨
54'
Kreshnik Hajrizi
FC Sion
55'
Y. Chouaref · Assist: R. Nivokazi
FC Sion
🟨
58'
Baltazar
FC Sion
63'
Baltazar · Assist: A. Kabacalman
FC Sion
🔄
64'
J. Lukembila ↔ L. Chipperfield
FC Sion
🔄
64'
F. Surdez ↔ W. Boteli
FC Sion
🔄
68'
Y. Cimignani ↔ E. Alioski
FC Lugano
🔄
68'
G. Koutsias ↔ E. Pihlstrom
FC Lugano
🔄
70'
R. Nivokazi ↔ T. Berdayes
FC Sion
🔄
74'
M. Belhadj ↔ M. Bottani
FC Lugano
🔄
80'
A. Kabacalman ↔ N. Sow
FC Sion
🔄
80'
Y. Chouaref ↔ D. Rrudhani
FC Sion
🔄
89'
A. Grgic ↔ A. Kendouci
FC Lugano
🟨
90+1'
Winsley Boteli Mokango
FC Sion
90'
A. Papadopoulos
FC Lugano

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
FC Sion Win 57.4%
Draw 5.8%
FC Lugano Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Sion1.45
FC Lugano1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Sion FC Sion
WWDLW
58 GF / 35 GA
FC Lugano FC Lugano
WLDWL
57 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
17
BTTS Yes
23
16
Over 2.5
18
4.69
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Sion FC Sion 36 matches
FC Lugano FC Lugano 40 matches
FC Sion Statistic FC Lugano
16 Wins 19
13 Draws 10
7 Losses 11
58 Goals For 57
35 Goals Against 48
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
17 BTTS Yes 23
27 Over 1.5 27
16 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 11
15 Clean Sheets 12
8 Failed To Score 7
4.69 Shots On Goal 4.4
14.14 Total Shots 12.45
5.61 Corners 3.63
51.2% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Sion expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Lugano in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Lugano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Lugano. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

FC Sion Analysis

FC Sion approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 61 points after 36 outings. With 16 wins, 13 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 58:35, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Nivokazi (13 goals), Y. Chouaref (8 goals), B. Kololli (7 goals), with creative support from Y. Chouaref (7 assists), N. Hefti (6 assists), R. Nivokazi (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

FC Lugano Analysis

FC Lugano approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 63 points after 36 outings. They have recorded 18 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, with a 53:40 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Kevin Behrens (11 goals), A. Grgic (7 goals), R. Steffen (7 goals), with creative support from D. Dos Santos (10 assists), A. Grgic (6 assists), R. Steffen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Sion won 4 times, FC Lugano won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from FC Sion's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Sion 4-2-3-1 / FC Lugano 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: FC Sion wins 4, draws 4, FC Lugano wins 7

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 24 2 7 75:37 38 74
D L L L L
2 33 17 9 7 64:40 24 60
D W W L W
3 33 16 9 8 50:38 12 57
W D L W W
4 33 15 8 10 51:45 6 53
L L L W L
5 33 13 13 7 51:35 16 52
D D W W W
6 33 13 9 11 65:60 5 48
D W W L L
7 33 10 10 13 64:61 3 40
W W D W W
8 33 9 13 11 57:57 0 40
W W D W W
9 33 10 9 14 47:57 -10 39
L L L L W
10 33 10 4 19 45:63 -18 34
L L W D L
11 33 6 9 18 40:65 -25 27
W D W W L
12 33 4 7 22 35:86 -51 19
L L W D L
Championship round
Relegation Round