Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
FC Sion
FC Lugano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Sion
36 matches
FC Lugano
40 matches
| FC Sion | Statistic | FC Lugano |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 19 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 7 | Losses | 11 |
| 58 | Goals For | 57 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.69 | Shots On Goal | 4.4 |
| 14.14 | Total Shots | 12.45 |
| 5.61 | Corners | 3.63 |
| 51.2% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with FC Sion expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Lugano in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Lugano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Lugano. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
FC Sion approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 61 points after 36 outings. With 16 wins, 13 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 58:35, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Nivokazi (13 goals), Y. Chouaref (8 goals), B. Kololli (7 goals), with creative support from Y. Chouaref (7 assists), N. Hefti (6 assists), R. Nivokazi (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
FC Lugano approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 63 points after 36 outings. They have recorded 18 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, with a 53:40 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Kevin Behrens (11 goals), A. Grgic (7 goals), R. Steffen (7 goals), with creative support from D. Dos Santos (10 assists), A. Grgic (6 assists), R. Steffen (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Sion won 4 times, FC Lugano won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:26 from FC Sion's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 75:37 | 38 | 74 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64:40 | 24 | 60 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
FC Lugano
Away
|
33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | 12 | 57 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 51:45 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
FC Sion
Home
|
33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 52 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 65:60 | 5 | 48 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 64:61 | 3 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 57:57 | 0 | 40 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 47:57 | -10 | 39 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 45:63 | -18 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 40:65 | -25 | 27 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 35:86 | -51 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|