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RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
09.10.2026 16:30
Rostov Arena
Referee: Danil Naboka

FC Rostov vs Akron Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.7%
Odds 1.24
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.93
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76.5%
Odds 2.08
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.7%
1.24 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.1%
1.93 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76.5%
2.08 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
1.42 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.73 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.40 ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Rostov Win 49.5%
Draw 20.3%
Akron Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Rostov1.41
Akron1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Rostov FC Rostov
WWDLW
28 GF / 37 GA
Akron Akron
WLDWL
32 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
11
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
14
4.89
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Rostov FC Rostov 21 matches
Akron Akron 23 matches
FC Rostov Statistic Akron
6 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
10 Losses 8
28 Goals For 32
37 Goals Against 35
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
11 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 7
4.89 Shots On Goal 4
14.22 Total Shots 11.78
4.78 Corners 4.56
46.2% Ball Possession 53.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. FC Rostov have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Akron. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

FC Rostov Analysis

FC Rostov sit 12 with 8 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 10:17 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Suleymanov (2 goals), A. Langovich (1 goals), K. Kuchaev (1 goals), with creative support from A. Langovich (2 assists), K. Kuchaev (2 assists), O. Olusegun (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with I. Zhbanov, A. Mironov unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Akron Analysis

Akron are currently 13 in the standings with 8 points from 9 matches. The record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 11:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gilson Benchimol (4 goals), S. Lončar (1 goals), Dudu (1 goals), with creative support from Gilson Benchimol (2 assists), R. Fernández (2 assists), S. Lončar (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Djurasovic, Y. Zheleznov unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, FC Rostov won 3 times, Akron won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:7 from FC Rostov's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: FC Rostov 4-3-3 / Akron 4-3-3
Missing players: FC Rostov 2, Akron 2
H2H summary: FC Rostov wins 3, draws 0, Akron wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 14:7 7 21
D D D W W
2 9 6 1 2 14:8 6 19
W W W W W
3 9 5 4 0 15:9 6 19
W D W D W
4 9 6 1 2 16:7 9 19
W W L D W
5 9 6 0 3 19:9 10 18
W W L W L
6 9 2 6 1 12:11 1 12
D D D W D
7 9 4 0 5 15:16 -1 12
L L W L L
8 9 3 2 4 14:12 2 11
L D L W D
9 9 2 5 2 13:14 -1 11
D W D D W
10 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
L W D D W
11 9 1 6 2 7:10 -3 9
D L D D D
12 9 2 2 5 10:17 -7 8
L L W L L
13
Akron Away
9 1 5 3 11:18 -7 8
W D D D L
14 9 1 4 4 8:11 -3 7
D L W L L
15 9 1 2 6 10:22 -12 5
D L L L L
16 9 0 3 6 6:13 -7 3
L D L L D
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL