PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

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FC Porto

Moreirense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 88%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	88%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

FC Porto Win 88%

Draw 5.6%

Moreirense Win 6.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Porto1.8

Moreirense0.96

Recent Form (Last 5)

FC Porto

WWDLW

11 GF / 2 GA

Moreirense

WLDWL

11 GF / 14 GA

Key Stats

1.83

Average Goals Scored

1.38

0.33

Average Goals Conceded

1.75

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.75

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto 6 matches

Moreirense 8 matches

FC Porto	Statistic	Moreirense
5	Wins	2
0	Draws	3
1	Losses	3
11	Goals For	11
2	Goals Against	14
1.83	Avg Goals Scored	1.38
0.33	Avg Goals Conceded	1.75
1	BTTS Yes	5
5	Over 1.5	7
2	Over 2.5	6
0	Over 3.5	4
4	Clean Sheets	2
1	Failed To Score	1
5.75	Shots On Goal	3
12.75	Total Shots	6
6.5	Corners	2.67
50.5%	Ball Possession	40.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 12 times, Moreirense won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 42:10 from FC Porto's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)

Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Moreirense 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: FC Porto wins 12, draws 2, Moreirense wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto Home	4	4	0	0	9:0	9	12	W W W W
2	Sporting CP	4	3	1	0	12:5	7	10	W W W D
3	Arouca	4	3	0	1	7:3	4	9	W L W W
4	Santa Clara	4	2	2	0	5:3	2	8	D W W D
5	Benfica	3	2	1	0	11:3	8	7	W W D
6	GIL Vicente	3	2	1	0	3:0	3	7	D W W
7	Maritimo	4	2	1	1	6:5	1	7	L D W W
8	Estrela	3	1	2	0	7:6	1	5	W D D
9	SC Braga	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4	W D
10	Nacional	4	1	1	2	6:6	0	4	L L W D
11	Moreirense Away	3	1	1	1	3:6	-3	4	W L D
12	Vitória SC	4	1	0	3	3:5	-2	3	L W L L
13	Rio Ave	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3	L W L L
14	Famalicao	4	0	2	2	2:4	-2	2	D L L D
15	Academico Viseu	4	0	2	2	4:8	-4	2	L D L D
16	Alverca	4	0	2	2	4:8	-4	2	D L D L
17	Estoril	4	0	1	3	2:7	-5	1	L L L D
18	Casa Pia	4	0	0	4	0:11	-11	0	L L L L