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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
04.09.2026 19:15
Estádio do Dragão
Referee: Antonio Nobre, Portugal
FC Porto
Match Timeline
Moreirense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
D. Pinto
Moreirense
⚽
37'
J. Bednarek · Assist: William Gomes
FC Porto
🟨
44'
João Veloso
Moreirense
⚽
58'
William Gomes · Assist: Pepe
FC Porto
🟨
63'
Francisco Moura
FC Porto
🔄
64'
F. Moura ↔ M. Fernandes
FC Porto
🔄
64'
G. Veiga ↔ Hwang In-Beom
FC Porto
🔄
67'
M. Mendonca ↔ Rodri
Moreirense
🔄
67'
N. John ↔ M. Stjepanovic
Moreirense
🟨
68'
Dinis Pinto
Moreirense
🔄
75'
Andre Silva ↔ S. Gimenez
FC Porto
🔄
75'
William Gomes ↔ B. Sainz
FC Porto
🔄
75'
J. Veloso ↔ K. Bondoso
Moreirense
🔄
75'
Landerson ↔ T. Andrade
Moreirense
🔄
79'
A. Duville-Parsemain ↔ Yan Maranhao
Moreirense
VAR
88'
Guilherme Liberato
Moreirense
🟥
90'
Guilherme Liberato
Moreirense
🔄
90+1'
A. Costa ↔ N. Perez
FC Porto
🔄
90'
V. Froholdt ↔ S. Fofana
FC Porto
🔄
90+3'
D. Pinto ↔ L. Santos
Moreirense

FC Porto vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 88%
Draw 5.6%
Moreirense Win 6.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.8
Moreirense0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
WWDLW
11 GF / 2 GA
Moreirense Moreirense
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
1
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
5.75
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 6 matches
Moreirense Moreirense 8 matches
FC Porto Statistic Moreirense
5 Wins 2
0 Draws 3
1 Losses 3
11 Goals For 11
2 Goals Against 14
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
1 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 7
2 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
5.75 Shots On Goal 3
12.75 Total Shots 6
6.5 Corners 2.67
50.5% Ball Possession 40.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 12 times, Moreirense won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 42:10 from FC Porto's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Moreirense 3-4-3
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 12, draws 2, Moreirense wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 20:4 16 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 24:7 17 19
W L W W W
3 8 5 3 0 20:9 11 18
W D D W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:4 8 18
W D W W D
5 8 4 2 2 11:7 4 14
W D L D W
6 8 4 2 2 11:10 1 14
W W W W L
7 7 3 2 2 6:5 1 11
W D L L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:12 1 11
W W W L D
9 7 3 2 2 8:8 0 11
L D W L W
10 8 2 4 2 14:15 -1 10
L L D W D
11 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L D L L L
12 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D W L L
13 8 1 4 3 10:11 -1 7
L W D D D
14 8 2 1 5 8:17 -9 7
W L D L L
15 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L D L D L
16 8 1 1 6 9:18 -9 4
L L L L L
17 8 1 1 6 3:17 -14 4
L W L D L
18 8 0 2 6 4:12 -8 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2