FC Porto
Match Timeline
Moreirense
FC Porto vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.15 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
2.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.58 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.57 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 88%
Draw 5.6%
Moreirense Win 6.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.8
Moreirense0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto
WWDLW
11 GF / 2 GA
Moreirense
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
1
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
5.75
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
FC Porto
6 matches
Moreirense
8 matches
| FC Porto | Statistic | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 3 |
| 11 | Goals For | 11 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.75 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 12.75 | Total Shots | 6 |
| 6.5 | Corners | 2.67 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 40.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 12 times, Moreirense won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 42:10 from FC Porto's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Moreirense 3-4-3
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 12, draws 2, Moreirense wins 1
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
Home
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 9 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Moreirense
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2